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Methods to correct class imbalance, i.e. imbalance between the frequency of outcome events and non-events, are receiving increasing interest for developing prediction models. We examined the effect of imbalance correction on the performance…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-21 Ruben van den Goorbergh , Maarten van Smeden , Dirk Timmerman , Ben Van Calster

Objective: ML-based clinical risk prediction models are increasingly used to support decision-making in healthcare. While class-imbalance correction techniques are commonly applied to improve model performance in settings with rare…

In medical image classification tasks, it is common to find that the number of normal samples far exceeds the number of abnormal samples. In such class-imbalanced situations, reliable training of deep neural networks continues to be a major…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-06 Sivaramakrishnan Rajaraman , Prasanth Ganesan , Sameer Antani

Advanced classification algorithms are being increasingly used in safety-critical applications like health-care, engineering, etc. In such applications, miss-classifications made by ML algorithms can result in substantial financial or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Disha Ghandwani , Neeraj Sarna , Yuanyuan Li , Yang Lin

This work aims to analyze standard evaluation practices adopted by the research community when assessing chest x-ray classifiers, particularly focusing on the impact of class imbalance in such appraisals. Our analysis considers a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-15 Candelaria Mosquera , Luciana Ferrer , Diego Milone , Daniel Luna , Enzo Ferrante

Class imbalance problems widely exist in the medical field and heavily deteriorates performance of clinical predictive models. Most techniques to alleviate the problem rebalance class proportions and they predominantly assume the rebalanced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-11 Yinan Liu , Xinyu Dong , Weimin Lyu , Richard N. Rosenthal , Rachel Wong , Tengfei Ma , Fusheng Wang

Many real-world classification problems are significantly class-imbalanced to detriment of the class of interest. The standard set of proper evaluation metrics is well-known but the usual assumption is that the test dataset imbalance equals…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-16 Jan Brabec , Tomáš Komárek , Vojtěch Franc , Lukáš Machlica

Calibration has been proposed as a way to enhance the reliability and adoption of machine learning classifiers. We study a particular aspect of this proposal: how does calibrating a classification model affect the decisions made by…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Meir Nizri , Amos Azaria , Chirag Gupta , Noam Hazon

Machine learning models are typically deployed in a test setting that differs from the training setting, potentially leading to decreased model performance because of domain shift. If we could estimate the performance that a pre-trained…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-21 Zeju Li , Konstantinos Kamnitsas , Mobarakol Islam , Chen Chen , Ben Glocker

Overconfidence and underconfidence in machine learning classifiers is measured by calibration: the degree to which the probabilities predicted for each class match the accuracy of the classifier on that prediction. How one measures…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-11 Jeremy Nixon , Mike Dusenberry , Ghassen Jerfel , Timothy Nguyen , Jeremiah Liu , Linchuan Zhang , Dustin Tran

A machine learning model is calibrated if its predicted probability for an outcome matches the observed frequency for that outcome conditional on the model prediction. This property has become increasingly important as the impact of machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Muthu Chidambaram , Rong Ge

In this paper, we study how class imbalance, typical of low-default credit portfolios, affects the performance of logistic regression models. Using a simulation study with controlled data-generating mechanisms, we vary (i) the level of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-24 Willem D. Schutte , Charl Pretorius , Neill Smit , Leandra van der Merwe , Robert Maxwell

Machine Learning models are being extensively used in safety critical applications where errors from these models could cause harm to the user. Such risks are amplified when multiple machine learning models, which are deployed concurrently,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-07 Yuanyuan Li , Neeraj Sarna , Yang Lin

Model learning from class imbalanced training data is a long-standing and significant challenge for machine learning. In particular, existing deep learning methods consider mostly either class balanced data or moderately imbalanced data in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-05-01 Qi Dong , Shaogang Gong , Xiatian Zhu

Proper confidence calibration of deep neural networks is essential for reliable predictions in safety-critical tasks. Miscalibration can lead to model over-confidence and/or under-confidence; i.e., the model's confidence in its prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Shuang Ao , Stefan Rueger , Advaith Siddharthan

As artificial intelligence systems move toward clinical deployment, ensuring reliable prediction behavior is fundamental for safety-critical decision-making tasks. One proposed safeguard is selective prediction, where models can defer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 L. Julián Lechuga López , Farah E. Shamout , Tim G. J. Rudner

Imbalanced data poses a significant challenge in classification as model performance is affected by insufficient learning from minority classes. Balancing methods are often used to address this problem. However, such techniques can lead to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Adrian Stando , Mustafa Cavus , Przemysław Biecek

Mislabeled data is a pervasive issue that undermines the performance of machine learning systems in real-world applications. An effective approach to mitigate this problem is to detect mislabeled instances and subject them to special…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Ilies Chibane , Thomas George , Pierre Nodet , Vincent Lemaire

Defect prediction models that are trained on class imbalanced datasets (i.e., the proportion of defective and clean modules is not equally represented) are highly susceptible to produce inaccurate prediction models. Prior research compares…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2018-02-01 Chakkrit Tantithamthavorn , Ahmed E. Hassan , Kenichi Matsumoto

Calibration is a vital aspect of the performance of risk prediction models, but research in the context of ordinal outcomes is scarce. This study compared calibration measures for risk models predicting a discrete ordinal outcome, and…

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