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We employ a parameter-free distribution estimation framework where estimators are random distributions and utilize the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence as a loss function. Wu and Vos [J. Statist. Plann. Inference 142 (2012) 1525-1536] show…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-21 Paul Vos , Qiang Wu

We discuss a class of binary parametric families with conditional probabilities taking the form of generalized linear models and show that this approach allows to model high-dimensional random binary vectors with arbitrary mean and…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-04-09 Christian Schäfer

We present a robust test for composite null hypothesis based on the general $S$-divergence family. This requires a non-trivial extension of the results of Ghosh et al.~(2015). We derive the asymptotic and theoretical robustness properties…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-04 Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu

We study the consistency and optimality of the maximum marginal likelihood estimate (MMLE) in the hyperparameter inference for large-degree-of-freedom models. We perform main analyses within the exponential family, where the natural…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-27 Dye SK Sato , Yukitoshi Fukahata

The indirect effect of an exposure on an outcome through an intermediate variable can be identified by a product of two regression coefficients under certain causal and regression modeling assumptions. In this context, the null hypothesis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-23 Caleb H. Miles , Antoine Chambaz

Score matching is an alternative to maximum likelihood (ML) for estimating a probability distribution parametrized up to a constant of proportionality. By fitting the ''score'' of the distribution, it sidesteps the need to compute this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Chirag Pabbaraju , Dhruv Rohatgi , Anish Sevekari , Holden Lee , Ankur Moitra , Andrej Risteski

The framework of Inferential Models (IMs) has recently been developed in search of what is referred to as the holy grail of statistical theory, that is, prior-free probabilistic inference. Its method of Conditional IMs (CIMs) is a critical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-13 Rongrong Zhang , Michael Y. Zhu , Chuanhai Liu

Some classic second-order sufficient optimality conditions in the calculus of variations are shown to be equivalent, while also introducing a new equivalent second-order condition which is extremely easy to apply: simply integrate a linear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-25 William W. Hager

It is often claimed that Bayesian methods, in particular Bayes factor methods for hypothesis testing, can deal with optional stopping. We first give an overview, using elementary probability theory, of three different mathematical meanings…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-24 Allard Hendriksen , Rianne de Heide , Peter Grünwald

The present paper addresses several puzzles related to the Rule of Existential Generalization, (EG). In solution to these puzzles from the viewpoint of simple type theory, I distinguish (EG) from a modified Rule of Existential Quantifier…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-04-15 Jiří Raclavský

In this paper, we derive closed-form estimators for the parameters of some probability distributions belonging to the exponential family. A bootstrap bias-reduced version of these proposed closed-form estimators are also derived. A Monte…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-24 Roberto Vila , Eduardo Nakano , Helton Saulo

The (general) hypoexponential distribution is the distribution of a sum of independent exponential random variables. We consider the particular case when the involved exponential variables have distinct rate parameters. We prove that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-16 George P. Yanev

This paper proposes a general family of estimators for estimating the population mean in systematic sampling in the presence of non-response adapting the family of estimators proposed by Khoshnevisan et al. (2007). In this paper we have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-09 M. K. Chaudhary , Sachin Malik , Jayant Singh , Rajesh Singh

Matrix completion aims to reconstruct a data matrix based on observations of a small number of its entries. Usually in matrix completion a single matrix is considered, which can be, for example, a rating matrix in recommendation system.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-22 Mokhtar Z. Alaya , Olga Klopp

Estimates of the approximate factor model are increasingly used in empirical work. Their theoretical properties, studied some twenty years ago, also laid the ground work for analysis on large dimensional panel data models with cross-section…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-08-04 Jushan Bai , Serena Ng

The purpose of this article is to formulate a number of probabilistic hidden-variable theorems, to provide proofs in some cases, and counterexamples to some conjectured relationships. The first theorem is the fundamental one. It asserts the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2008-02-03 Patrick Suppes , J. Acacio de Barros , Gary Oas

This paper develops a new framework for indirect statistical inference with guaranteed necessity and sufficiency, applicable to continuous random variables. We prove that when comparing exponentially transformed order statistics from an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-25 Z Zhang , X Hu , C Lu , T Liu

In statistical physics lately a specific kind of average, called the q-expectation value, has been extensively used in the context of q-generalized statistics dealing with distributions following power-laws. In this context q-expectation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Rudolf Hanel , Stefan Thurner

We revisit the fundamental question of simple-versus-simple hypothesis testing with an eye towards computational complexity, as the statistically optimal likelihood ratio test is often computationally intractable in high-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-05 Ankur Moitra , Alexander S. Wein

Multivariate extreme value statistical analysis is concerned with observations on several variables which are thought to possess some degree of tail-dependence. In areas such as the modeling of financial and insurance risks, or as the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-31 Alexis Bienvenüe , Christian Y. Robert