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Fast and accurate prediction of hurricane evolution from genesis onwards is needed to reduce loss of life and enhance community resilience. In this work, a novel model development methodology for predicting storm trajectory is proposed…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-11-25 Rikhi Bose , Adam Pintar , Emil Simiu

Modeling of turbulent flows is still challenging. One way to deal with the large scale separation due to turbulence is to simulate only the large scales and model the unresolved contributions as done in large-eddy simulation (LES). This…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-10-03 Mathis Bode , Michael Gauding , Konstantin Kleinheinz , Heinz Pitsch

Due to limited computational resources, medium-range temperature forecasts typically rely on low-resolution numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, which are prone to systematic and random errors. We propose a method that integrates a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-09 Takuya Inoue , Takuya Kawabata

While machine learning (ML) post-processing of convection-allowing model (CAM) output for severe weather hazards (large hail, damaging winds, and/or tornadoes) has shown promise for very short lead times (0-3 hours), its application to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Montgomery Flora , Samuel Varga , Corey Potvin , Noah Lang

On average once every four years, the Tropical Pacific warms considerably during events called El Ni\~no, leading to weather disruptions over many regions on Earth. Recent machine-learning approaches to El Ni\~no prediction, in particular…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-06-19 G. Lancia , I. J. Goede , C. Spitoni , H. A. Dijkstra

Forecasting fault failure is a fundamental but elusive goal in earthquake science. Here we show that by listening to the acoustic signal emitted by a laboratory fault, machine learning can predict the time remaining before it fails with…

Deep Learning models have achieved state-of-the-art performance in medium-range weather prediction but often fail to maintain physically consistent rollouts beyond 14 days. In contrast, a few atmospheric models demonstrate stability over…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Florian Gallusser , Simon Hentschel , Anna Krause , Andreas Hotho

Climate change is expected to aggravate wildfire activity through the exacerbation of fire weather. Improving our capabilities to anticipate wildfires on a global scale is of uttermost importance for mitigating their negative effects. In…

Monitoring volcanic activity is of paramount importance to safeguarding lives, infrastructure, and ecosystems. However, only a small fraction of known volcanoes are continuously monitored. Satellite-based Interferometric Synthetic Aperture…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Nikolas Papadopoulos , Nikolaos Ioannis Bountos , Maria Sdraka , Andreas Karavias , Gustau Camps-Valls , Ioannis Papoutsis

Robust Mask R-CNN (Mask Regional Convolu-tional Neural Network) methods are proposed and tested for automatic detection of cracks on structures or their components that may be damaged during extreme events, such as earth-quakes. We curated…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-11-20 Yongsheng Bai , Halil Sezen , Alper Yilmaz

Heatwaves, prolonged periods of extreme heat, have intensified in frequency and severity due to climate change, posing substantial risks to public health, ecosystems, and infrastructure. Despite advancements in Machine Learning (ML)…

Earthquake early warning systems are crucial for protecting areas that are subject to these natural disasters. An essential part of these systems is the detection procedure. Traditionally these systems work with seismograph data, but high…

Improving the performance of solar flare forecasting is a hot topic in solar physics research field. Deep learning has been considered a promising approach to perform solar flare forecasting in recent years. We first used the Generative…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-12-15 Zheng Deng , Feng Wang , Hui Deng , Lei Tan , Linhua Deng , Song Feng

Sea level change, one of the most dire impacts of anthropogenic global warming, will affect a large amount of the world's population. However, sea level change is not uniform in time and space, and the skill of conventional prediction…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-10-20 Anne Braakmann-Folgmann , Ribana Roscher , Susanne Wenzel , Bernd Uebbing , Jürgen Kusche

Modern practice for training classification deepnets involves a Terminal Phase of Training (TPT), which begins at the epoch where training error first vanishes; During TPT, the training error stays effectively zero while training loss is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-23 Vardan Papyan , X. Y. Han , David L. Donoho

Most of the two-dimensional (2D) hydraulic/hydrodynamic models are still computationally too demanding for real-time applications. In this paper, an innovative modelling approach based on a deep convolutional neural network (CNN) method is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-17 Syed Kabir , Sandhya Patidar , Xilin Xia , Qiuhua Liang , Jeffrey Neal , Gareth Pender , .

Traditional methods for enhancing tropical cyclone (TC) intensity from climate model outputs or projections have primarily relied on either dynamical or statistical downscaling. With recent advances in deep learning (DL) techniques, a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-10 Minh-Khanh Luong , Chanh Kieu

Heavy precipitation from tropical cyclones (TCs) may result in disasters, such as floods and landslides, leading to substantial economic damage and loss of life. Prediction of TC precipitation based on ensemble post-processing procedures…

In a recent study (Jozinovi\'c et al, 2020) we showed that convolutional neural networks (CNNs) applied to network seismic traces can be used for rapid prediction of earthquake peak ground motion intensity measures (IMs) at distant stations…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-12-15 Dario Jozinović , Anthony Lomax , Ivan Štajduhar , Alberto Michelini

Reliable evaluations of geotechnical hazards like landslides and debris flow require accurate simulation of granular flow dynamics. Traditional numerical methods can simulate the complex behaviors of such flows that involve solid-like to…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-11-14 Yongjin Choi , Krishna Kumar