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We investigate the financial market dynamics by introducing a heterogeneous agent-based opinion formation model. In this work, we organize the individuals in a financial market by their trading strategy, namely noise traders and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-28 Mateus F. B. Granha , André L. M. Vilela , Chao Wang , Kenric P. Nelson , H. Eugene Stanley

We propose a three-state microscopic opinion formation model for the purpose of simulating the dynamics of financial markets. In order to mimic the heterogeneous composition of the mass of investors in a market, the agent-based model…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-14 Bernardo J. Zubillaga , André L. M. Vilela , Chao Wang , Kenric P. Nelson , H. Eugene Stanley

Opinions and beliefs determine the evolution of social systems. This is of particular interest in finance, as the increasing complexity of financial systems is coupled with information overload. Opinion formation, therefore, is not always…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-05 Marco D'Errico , Gulnur Muradoglu , Silvana Stefani , Giovanni Zambruno

The dynamics of opinion formation in large groups of people is a complex non-linear phenomenon whose investigation is just at the beginning. Both collective behaviour and personal view play an important role in this mechanism. In the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-02-17 M. Bartolozzi , B. Leinweber , A. W. Thomas

Social media has emerged as a significant source of information for people. As agents interact with each other through social media platforms, they create numerous complex social networks. Within these networks, information spread among…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-07 Jiarui Dong , Yi-Cheng Zhang , Yixiu Kong

Understanding how opinions spread through a community or how consensus emerges in noisy environments can have a significant impact on our comprehension of social relations among individuals. In this work a model for the dynamics of opinion…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 V. Schwammle , M. C. Gonzalez , A. A. Moreira , J. S. Jr. Andrade , H. J. Herrmann

Opinion formation models typically represent each individual as a single variable. However, in practice each individual holds interconnected beliefs whose internal organization may influence collective outcomes. To explore this dependence,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-21 Irene Ferri , Albert Díaz-Guilera , Hiroki Sayama

We propose a simple stochastic model of market behavior. Dividing market participants into two groups: trend-followers and fundamentalists, we derive the general form of a stochastic equation of market dynamics. The model has two…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Guennadi Saiko

We investigate the impact of noise and topology on opinion diversity in social networks. We do so by extending well-established models of opinion dynamics to a stochastic setting where agents are subject both to assimilative forces by their…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-04-15 Samuel Stern , Giacomo Livan

We study the noisy voter model using a specific non-linear dependence of the rates that takes into account collective interaction between individuals. The resulting model is solved exactly under the all-to-all coupling configuration and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-10-05 A. F. Peralta , A. Carro , M. San Miguel , R. Toral

In this work we study the opinion evolution in a community-based population with intergroup interactions. We address two issues. First, we consider that such intergroup interactions can be negative with some probability $p$. We develop a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-21 André L. Oestereich , Marcelo A. Pires , Nuno Crokidakis

In the present paper a model of a market consisting of real and financial interacting sectors is studied. Agents populating the stock market are assumed to be not able to observe the true underlying fundamental, and their beliefs are biased…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-13 Fausto Cavalli , Ahmad Naimzada , Nicolò Pecora , Marina Pireddu

Behavioral finance has become an increasingly important subfield of finance. However the main parts of behavioral finance, prospect theory included, understand financial markets through individual investment behavior. Behavioral finance…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-23 Jorgen Vitting Andersen , Ioannis Vrontos , Petros Dellaportas , Serge Galam

Agent-based models provide a constructive approach to studying emergent dynamics in life-like systems composed of interacting, adaptive agents. Financial markets serve as a canonical example of such systems, where collective price dynamics…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-28 Ryuji Hashimoto , Ryosuke Takata , Masahiro Suzuki , Yuki Tanaka , Kiyoshi Izumi

Most of the conventional models for opinion dynamics mainly account for a fully local influence, where myopic agents decide their actions after they interact with other agents that are adjacent to them. For example, in the case of social…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-05-10 Babak Fotouhi , Michael G. Rabbat

We study an influence network of voters subjected to correlated disordered external perturbations, and solve the dynamical equations exactly for fully connected networks. The model has a critical phase transition between disordered unimodal…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-09-26 Marlon Ramos , Marcus A. M. de Aguiar , Dan Braha

We present a financial market model, characterized by self-organized criticality, that is able to generate endogenously a realistic price dynamics and to reproduce well-known stylized facts. We consider a community of heterogeneous traders,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-04 A. E. Biondo , A. Pluchino , A. Rapisarda

We present a novel agent-based approach to simulating an over-the-counter (OTC) financial market in which trades are intermediated solely by market makers and agent visibility is constrained to a network topology. Dynamics, such as changes…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-07 James T. Wilkinson , Jacob Kelter , John Chen , Uri Wilensky

Involving effects of media, opinion leader and other agents on the opinion of individuals of market society, a trader based model is developed and utilized to simulate price via supply and demand. Pronounced effects are considered with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Caglar Tuncay

We focus on the influence of external sources of information upon financial markets. In particular, we develop a stochastic agent-based market model characterized by a certain herding behavior as well as allowing traders to be influenced by…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-28 Adrián Carro , Raúl Toral , Maxi San Miguel
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