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Aiming for accurate estimation of system reliability of load-sharing systems, a flexible model for such systems is constructed by approximating the cumulative hazard functions of component lifetimes using piecewise linear functions. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-05 Shilpi Biswas , Ayon Ganguly , Debanjan Mitra

Partial differential equation (PDE) models are widely used in engineering and natural sciences to describe spatio-temporal processes. The parameters of the considered processes are often unknown and have to be estimated from experimental…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-12-21 Romana Boiger , Jan Hasenauer , Sabrina Hross , Barbara Kaltenbacher

Accurate risk assessment is essential for safety-critical autonomous and control systems under uncertainty. In many real-world settings, stochastic dynamics exhibit asymmetric jumps and long-range memory, making long-term risk probabilities…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-07 Yimeng Sun , Zhuoyuan Wang , Xiaole Zhang , Heng Ping , Jintang Xue , Paul Bogdan , Yorie Nakahira

Dynamic assessment of mortality risk in the intensive care unit (ICU) can be used to stratify patients, inform about treatment effectiveness or serve as part of an early-warning system. Static risk scoring systems, such as APACHE or SAPS,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-03 Jonathan Heitz , Joanna Ficek , Martin Faltys , Tobias M. Merz , Gunnar Rätsch , Matthias Hüser

Semi-competing risks refer to the setting where primary scientific interest lies in estimation and inference with respect to a non-terminal event, the occurrence of which is subject to a terminal event. In this paper, we present the R…

Computation · Statistics 2018-04-06 Danilo Alvares , Sebastien Haneuse , Catherine Lee , Kyu Ha Lee

Purpose: We propose a general framework for quantifying predictive uncertainties of dose-related quantities and leveraging this information in a dose mimicking problem in the context of automated radiation therapy treatment planning.…

Medical Physics · Physics 2021-09-08 Tianfang Zhang , Rasmus Bokrantz , Jimmy Olsson

Fractional statistical moments are utilized for various tasks of uncertainty quantification, including the estimation of probability distributions. However, an estimation of fractional statistical moments of costly mathematical models by…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-05 Lukáš Novák , Marcos Valdebenito , Matthias Faes

The complex nature of lithium-ion battery degradation has led to many machine learning based approaches to health forecasting being proposed in literature. However, machine learning can be computationally intensive. Linear approaches are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-02 Samuel Greenbank , David A. Howey

In observational studies, accurately characterizing variance is critical for sample size determination, yet unaccounted-for variability from propensity score estimation and the resulting weights limit the accuracy of standard variance…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Taekwon Hong , Daeyoung Lim , Woojung Bae , Yong Ma

We present Causal Posterior Estimation (CPE), a novel method for Bayesian inference in simulator models, i.e., models where the evaluation of the likelihood function is intractable or too computationally expensive, but where one can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Simon Dirmeier , Antonietta Mira

Excess hazard modeling is one of the main tools in population-based cancer survival research. Indeed, this setting allows for direct modeling of the survival due to cancer even in the absence of reliable information on the cause of death,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 A. Eletti , G. Marra , M. Quaresma , R. Radice , F. J. Rubio

Background: The use of mixed effect models with a specific functional form such as the Sigmoidal Mixed Model and the Piecewise Mixed Model (or Changepoint Mixed Model) with abrupt or smooth random change allows the interpretation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-26 Ana W Capuano , Maude Wagner

Predictive black-box models can exhibit high accuracy but their opaque nature hinders their uptake in safety-critical deployment environments. Explanation methods (XAI) can provide confidence for decision-making through increased…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-27 Lucile Ter-Minassian , Oscar Clivio , Karla Diaz-Ordaz , Robin J. Evans , Chris Holmes

In this paper, an optimization problem with uncertain constraint coefficients is considered. Possibility theory is used to model the uncertainty. Namely, a joint possibility distribution in constraint coefficient realizations, called…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-07 Romain Guillaume , Adam Kasperski , Pawel Zielinski

The paper deals with regression problems, in which the nonsmooth target is assumed to switch between different operating modes. Specifically, piecewise smooth (PWS) regression considers target functions switching deterministically via a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-14 Fabien Lauer

Group sequential designs drive innovation in clinical, industrial, and corporate settings. Early stopping for failure in sequential designs conserves experimental resources, whereas early stopping for success accelerates access to improved…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-27 Luke Hagar , Shirin Golchi , Marina B. Klein

Prediction rule ensembles (PREs) are a relatively new statistical learning method, which aim to strike a balance between predictive accuracy and interpretability. Starting from a decision tree ensemble, like a boosted tree ensemble or a…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-02 Marjolein Fokkema , Carolin Strobl

There are many different ways in which change point analysis can be performed, from purely parametric methods to those that are distribution free. The ecp package is designed to perform multiple change point analysis while making as few…

Computation · Statistics 2013-11-26 Nicholas A. James , David S. Matteson

In cancer research, leveraging patient-derived xenografts (PDXs) in pre-clinical experiments is a crucial approach for assessing innovative therapeutic strategies. Addressing the inherent variability in treatment response among and within…

In recent decades, event studies have emerged as a central methodology in health and social research for evaluating the causal effects of staggered interventions. In this paper, we analyze event studies from experimental design principles…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-25 Zhu Shen , Ambarish Chattopadhyay , Yuzhou Lin , Jose R. Zubizarreta