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We examine behavioral axioms in decision theory that are satisfied approximately rather than exactly. We demonstrate that in key domains -- decisions under risk, uncertainty, and intertemporal choice -- behavior that \emph{almost} satisfies…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-01-30 Christopher P Chambers , Federico Echenique

The problem of demand inversion - a crucial step in the estimation of random utility discrete-choice models - is equivalent to the determination of stable outcomes in two-sided matching models. This equivalence applies to random utility…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-30 Odran Bonnet , Alfred Galichon , Yu-Wei Hsieh , Keith O'Hara , Matt Shum

We study properties of popular near-uniform (Dirichlet) priors for learning undersampled probability distributions on discrete nonmetric spaces and show that they lead to disastrous results. However, an Occam-style phase space argument…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Ilya Nemenman , Fariel Shafee , William Bialek

Inertia and context-dependent choice effects are well-studied classes of behavioural phenomena. While much is known about these effects in isolation, little is known about whether one of them "dominates" the other when both can potentially…

General Economics · Economics 2021-11-29 Miguel Costa-Gomes , Georgios Gerasimou

We propose a model of incomplete \textit{twofold multiprior preferences}, in which an act $f$ is ranked above an act $g$ only when $f$ provides higher utility in a worst-case scenario than what $g$ provides in a best-case scenario. The…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-01-14 Federico Echenique , Masaki Miyashita , Yuta Nakamura , Luciano Pomatto , Jamie Vinson

Most people are risk-averse (risk-seeking) when they expect to gain (lose). Based on a generalization of ``expected utility theory'' which takes this into account, we introduce an automaton mimicking the dynamics of economic operations.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 C. Anteneodo , C. Tsallis , A. S. Martinez

It is common in instrumental variable studies for instrument values to be missing, for example when the instrument is a genetic test in Mendelian randomization studies. In this paper we discuss two apparent paradoxes that arise in so-called…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-19 Edward H. Kennedy , Dylan S. Small

This paper formulates an utility indifference pricing model for investors trading in a discrete time financial market under non-dominated model uncertainty. The investors preferences are described by strictly increasing concave random…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-05 Romain Blanchard , Laurence Carassus

In observational studies, adjusting for confounders is required if a treatment comparison is planned. A crude comparison of the primary endpoint without covariate adjustment will suffer from biases, and the addition of regression models…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-11 Shiyu Shu , Toshimitsu Hamasaki , Scott Evans , Lauren Komarow , David van Duin , Guoqing Diao

The original Deffuant model consists of a finite number of agents whose opinion is a number in $[0,1]$. Two socially connected agents are uniformly randomly selected at each time step and approach each other at a rate $\mu\in [0,1/2]$ if…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Hsin-Lun Li

We show that diagrammatic sets, a topologically sound alternative to polygraphs and strict $\omega$-categories, admit an internal notion of equivalence in the sense of coinductive weak invertibility. We prove that equivalences have the…

Category Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Clémence Chanavat , Amar Hadzihasanovic

In 1931 de Finetti proved what is known as his Dutch Book Theorem. This result implies that the finite additivity {\it axiom} for the probability of the disjunction of two incompatible events becomes a {\it consequence} of de Finetti's…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-21 Daniele Mundici

We relate Reiner, Tenner, and Yong's coincidental down-degree expectations (CDE) property of posets to the minuscule doppelg\"{a}nger pairs studied by Hamaker, Patrias, Pechenik, and Williams. Via this relation, we put forward a series of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-12-21 Sam Hopkins

We first establish a sharp relation between the order of vanishing of a Dirichlet eigenfunction at a point and the leading term of the asymptotic expansion of the Dirichlet eigenvalue variation, as a removed compact set concentrates at that…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-11-22 Laura Abatangelo , Veronica Felli , Luc Hillairet , Corentin Lena

Variational weak-coupling perturbation theory yields converging approximations, uniformly in the coupling strength. This allows us to calculate directly the coefficients of `strong-coupling' expansions. For the anharmonic oscillator we…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-09-08 Wolfhard Janke , Hagen Kleinert

The binary relation framework has been shown to be applicable to many real-life preference handling scenarios. Here we study preference contraction: the problem of discarding selected preferences. We argue that the property of minimality…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-03-12 Denis Mindolin , Jan Chomicki

Let a countable amenable group $G$ act on a \zd\ compact metric space $X$. For two clopen subsets $\mathsf A$ and $\mathsf B$ of $X$ we say that $\mathsf A$ is \emph{subequivalent} to $\mathsf B$ (we write $\mathsf A\preccurlyeq \mathsf…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-09-29 Tomasz Downarowicz , Guohua Zhang

We axiomatize the Choquet rank-dependent utility model within a Savage framework with an exogenous source of pure risk. This model is a decision model under ambiguity, serving as a conceptual generalization of the Choquet expected utility…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-11-11 Zachary Van Oosten , Ruodu Wang

The paper studies the relationship between diffraction and dynamics for uniformly discrete ergodic point processes in real spaces. This relationship takes the form of an isometric embedding of two L^2 spaces. Diffraction (or equivalently…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Xinghua Deng , Robert V. Moody

We study the dynamics of pairs of connected masses in the plane, when nonholonomic (knife-edge) constraints are realized by forces of viscous friction, in particular its relation to constrained dynamics, and its approximation by the method…

Classical Physics · Physics 2017-05-19 Sergiy Koshkin , Vojin Jovanovic