Related papers: Estimating odds and log odds with guaranteed accur…
We present an extension of the famous Littlewood-Offord problem when Bernoulli distributions are replaced with discrete log-concave distributions. A variant of the Littlewood-Offord problem for arithmetic progressions, as well as an…
We calculate the p-the moment of the sum of n independent random variables with respect to symmetric norm in R^n. The order of growth for upper bound p/ln p obtained in ths estimate is optimal. The result extends to generalized Lorentz…
In this paper, we develop a general theory of truncated inverse binomial sampling. In this theory, the fixed-size sampling and inverse binomial sampling are accommodated as special cases. In particular, the classical Chernoff-Hoeffding…
Among the many estimators of first order Sobol indices that have been proposed in the literature, the so-called rank-based estimator is arguably the simplest to implement. This estimator can be viewed as the empirical auto-correlation of…
Suppose that X_1,X_2,...,X_n are independent and identically Bernoulli(theta) distributed. Also suppose that our aim is to find an exact confidence interval for theta that is the intersection of a 1-\alpha/2 upper confidence interval and a…
We introduce a series of numbers which serve as a generalization of Bernoulli, Euler numbers and binomial coefficients. Their properties are applied to solve a probability problem and suggest a statistical test for independence and…
For frequentist settings in which parameter randomness represents variability rather than uncertainty, the ideal measure of the support for one hypothesis over another is the difference in the posterior and prior log odds. For situations in…
This paper develops upper and lower bounds for the probability of Boolean expressions by treating multiple occurrences of variables as independent and assigning them new individual probabilities. Our technique generalizes and extends the…
This paper presents a new estimator of the intercept of a linear regression model in cases where the outcome varaible is observed subject to a selection rule. The intercept is often in this context of inherent interest; for example, in a…
In the setting where we have $n$ independent observations of a random variable $X$, we derive explicit error bounds in total variation distance when approximating the number of observations equal to the maximum of the sample (in the case…
An algorithm is presented that, taking a sequence of independent Bernoulli random variables with parameter $1/2$ as inputs and using only rational arithmetic, simulates a Bernoulli random variable with possibly irrational parameter $\tau$.…
A regression model is proposed for the analysis of an ordinal response variable depending on a set of multiple covariates containing ordinal and potentially other variables. The proportional odds model (McCullagh (1980)) is used for the…
We consider nonparametric maximum-likelihood estimation of a log-concave density in case of interval-censored, right-censored and binned data. We allow for the possibility of a subprobability density with an additional mass at $+\infty$,…
Posterior distributions often feature intractable normalizing constants, called marginal likelihoods or evidence, that are useful for model comparison via Bayes factors. This has motivated a number of methods for estimating ratios of…
We aim at estimating a function $\lambda:[0,1]\to \mathbb {R}$, subject to the constraint that it is decreasing (or increasing). We provide a unified approach for studying the $\mathbb {L}_p$-loss of an estimator defined as the slope of a…
It is a common contention that it is an ``impossible mission'' to exactly determine the minimum sample size for the estimation of a binomial parameter with prescribed margin of error and confidence level. In this paper, we investigate such…
Estimators derived from score functions that are not the likelihood are in wide use in practical and modern applications. Their regularization is often carried by pseudo-posterior estimation, equivalently by adding penalty to the score…
A new formulation for the proportion of true null hypotheses $(\pi_0)$, based on the sum of all $p$-values and the average of expected $p$-value under the false null hypotheses has been proposed in the current work. This formulation of the…
Computing the probability of evidence even with known error bounds is NP-hard. In this paper we address this hard problem by settling on an easier problem. We propose an approximation which provides high confidence lower bounds on…
In this paper, we study two problems: (1) estimation of a $d$-dimensional log-concave distribution and (2) bounded multivariate convex regression with random design with an underlying log-concave density or a compactly supported…