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We propose a posterior for Bayesian Likelihood-Free Inference (LFI) based on generalized Bayesian inference. To define the posterior, we use Scoring Rules (SRs), which evaluate probabilistic models given an observation. In LFI, we can…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-24 Lorenzo Pacchiardi , Sherman Khoo , Ritabrata Dutta

Modelling a complex system is almost invariably a challenging task. The incorporation of experimental observations can be used to improve the quality of a model, and thus to obtain better predictions about the behavior of the corresponding…

Computational Physics · Physics 2015-11-24 Massimiliano Bonomi , Carlo Camilloni , Andrea Cavalli , Michele Vendruscolo

Generalized Bayesian inference (GBI) is an alternative inference framework motivated by robustness to modeling errors, where a specific loss function is used to link the model parameters with observed data, instead of the log-likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Marko Järvenpää , Jukka Corander , Henri Pesonen

Empirical Bayes (EB) improves the accuracy of simultaneous inference "by learning from the experience of others" (Efron, 2012). Classical EB theory focuses on latent variables that are iid draws from a fitted prior (Efron, 2019). Modern…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-24 Bohan Wu , Eli N. Weinstein , David M. Blei

Determining subgroups that respond especially well (or poorly) to specific interventions (medical or policy) requires new supervised learning methods tailored specifically for causal inference. Bayesian Causal Forest (BCF) is a recent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-16 Nikolay Krantsevich , Jingyu He , P. Richard Hahn

In many scenarios, the observational data needed for causal inferences are spread over two data files. In particular, we consider scenarios where one file includes covariates and the treatment measured on one set of individuals, and a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-22 Sharmistha Guha , Jerome P. Reiter , Andrea Mercatanti

Survival analysis is a statistical framework for modeling time-to-event data, particularly valuable in healthcare for predicting outcomes like patient discharge or recurrence. This study implements and compares several survival models -…

In recent medical studies, the combination of longitudinal measurements with time-to-event data has increased the demand for more sophisticated models without unbiased estimates. Joint models for longitudinal and survival data have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-01 Dionisio Silva Neto , Denis Rustand , Haavard Rue , Danilo Alvares , Vera L. Tomazella

While developing artificial intelligence (AI)-based algorithms to solve problems, the amount of data plays a pivotal role - large amount of data helps the researchers and engineers to develop robust AI algorithms. In the case of building…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-25 Amartya Bhattacharya , Manish Gawali , Jitesh Seth , Viraj Kulkarni

Methods for combining predictions from different models in a supervised learning setting must somehow estimate/predict the quality of a model's predictions at unknown future inputs. Many of these methods (often implicitly) make the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-25 Thijs van Ommen

We address modelling and computational issues for multiple treatment effect inference under many potential confounders. Our main contribution is providing a trade-off between preventing the omission of relevant confounders, while not…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , David Rossell , Miquel Torrens-i-Dinarès

The use of multi-centric analyses is crucial for obtaining sufficient sample sizes and representative clinical populations in experimental studies. In this setting, data harmonization techniques are typically employed to address systematic…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-22 Santiago Silva , Ghiles Reguig , Neil P Oxtoby , Andre Altmann , Marco Lorenzi

Meta-analysis aims to generalize results from multiple related statistical analyses through a combined analysis. While the natural outcome of a Bayesian study is a posterior distribution, traditional Bayesian meta-analyses proceed by…

Mathematical models support inference and forecasting in ecology and epidemiology, but results depend on the estimation framework. We compare Bayesian and Frequentist approaches across three biological models using four datasets:…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-31 Mohammed A. Y. Mohammed , Hamed Karami , Gerardo Chowell

Calculation of Bayesian posteriors and model evidences typically requires numerical integration. Bayesian quadrature (BQ), a surrogate-model-based approach to numerical integration, is capable of superb sample efficiency, but its lack of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Masaki Adachi , Satoshi Hayakawa , Martin Jørgensen , Harald Oberhauser , Michael A. Osborne

Balanced representation learning methods have been applied successfully to counterfactual inference from observational data. However, approaches that account for survival outcomes are relatively limited. Survival data are frequently…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-04 Paidamoyo Chapfuwa , Serge Assaad , Shuxi Zeng , Michael J. Pencina , Lawrence Carin , Ricardo Henao

This paper addresses the challenges of data privacy and collaborative modeling in cross-institution financial risk analysis. It proposes a risk assessment framework based on federated learning. Without sharing raw data, the method enables…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-22 Yue Yao , Zhen Xu , Youzhu Liu , Kunyuan Ma , Yuxiu Lin , Mohan Jiang

Survival analysis is a subfield of statistics concerned with modeling the occurrence time of a particular event of interest for a population. Survival analysis found widespread applications in healthcare, engineering, and social sciences.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Alberto Archetti , Matteo Matteucci

The rapid development of high-throughput technologies has enabled the generation of data from biological or disease processes that span multiple layers, like genomic, proteomic or metabolomic data, and further pertain to multiple sources,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-25 Subhabrata Majumdar , George Michailidis

We consider integrative modeling of multiple gene networks and diverse genomic data, including protein-DNA binding, gene expression and DNA sequence data, to accurately identify the regulatory target genes of a transcription factor (TF).…

Applications · Statistics 2012-03-21 Peng Wei , Wei Pan
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