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Data profiling is an essential process in modern data-driven industries. One of its critical components is the discovery and validation of complex statistics, including functional dependencies, data constraints, association rules, and…

Recommender systems are seen as an effective tool to address information overload, but it is widely known that the presence of various biases makes direct training on large-scale observational data result in sub-optimal prediction…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-04-19 Haoxuan Li , Yanghao Xiao , Chunyuan Zheng , Peng Wu

In supervised learning one wishes to identify a pattern present in a joint distribution $P$, of instances, label pairs, by providing a function $f$ from instances to labels that has low risk $\mathbb{E}_{P}\ell(y,f(x))$. To do so, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-07 Brendan van Rooyen , Robert C. Williamson

Stochastic processes often exhibit sudden systematic changes in pattern a short time before certain failure events. Examples include increase in medical costs before death and decrease in CD4 counts before AIDS diagnosis. To study such…

Applications · Statistics 2010-11-17 Kwun Chuen Gary Chan , Mei-Cheng Wang

We propose novel methods for change-point testing for nonparametric estimators of expected shortfall and related risk measures in weakly dependent time series. We can detect general multiple structural changes in the tails of marginal…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-07 Lin Fan , Junting Duan , Peter W. Glynn , Markus Pelger

Predicting potential credit default accounts in advance is challenging. Traditional statistical techniques typically cannot handle large amounts of data and the dynamic nature of fraud and humans. To tackle this problem, recent research has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-04 Sheikh Rabiul Islam , William Eberle , Sheikh Khaled Ghafoor

Various problems of any credit card fraud detection based on machine learning come from the imbalanced aspect of transaction datasets. Indeed, the number of frauds compared to the number of regular transactions is tiny and has been shown to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-28 François de la Bourdonnaye , Fabrice Daniel

We consider the problem of recovering a low-rank matrix from its clipped observations. Clipping is conceivable in many scientific areas that obstructs statistical analyses. On the other hand, matrix completion (MC) methods can recover a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-05 Takeshi Teshima , Miao Xu , Issei Sato , Masashi Sugiyama

In this work we will develop a new approach to solve the non repayment problem in microfinance due to the problem of asymmetric information. This approach is based on modeling and simulation of ordinary differential systems where time…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-12 Mohammed Kaicer , Abdelilah Kaddar

The traditional information theoretic approach to studying feedback is to consider ideal instantaneous high-rate feedback of the channel outputs to the encoder. This was acceptable in classical work because the results were negative:…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-12-07 Anant Sahai

Since the 1990s, there have been significant advances in the technology space and the e-Commerce area, leading to an exponential increase in demand for cashless payment solutions. This has led to increased demand for credit cards, bringing…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-06 K. S. Naik

We address the problem of estimating the expected shortfall risk of a financial loss using a finite number of i.i.d. data. It is well known that the classical plug-in estimator suffers from poor statistical performance when faced with…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-13 Daniel Bartl , Stephan Eckstein

Change-point detection methods are proposed for the case of temporary failures, or transient changes, when an unexpected disorder is ultimately followed by a readjustment and return to the initial state. A base distribution of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-14 Baron Michael , Malov Sergey

In Artificial Intelligence, interpreting the results of a Machine Learning technique often termed as a black box is a difficult task. A counterfactual explanation of a particular "black box" attempts to find the smallest change to the input…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-23 Dan Wang , Zhi Chen , Ionut Florescu

In the environment of fair lending laws and the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR), the ability to explain a model's prediction is of paramount importance. High quality explanations are the first step in assessing fairness.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-23 Rachana Balasubramanian , Samuel Sharpe , Brian Barr , Jason Wittenbach , C. Bayan Bruss

Instant payment infrastructures have stringent performance requirements, processing millions of transactions daily with zero-downtime expectations. Traditional monitoring approaches fail to bridge the gap between technical infrastructure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Lorenzo Porcelli

Money laundering is a global problem that concerns legitimizing proceeds from serious felonies (1.7-4 trillion euros annually) such as drug dealing, human trafficking, or corruption. The anti-money laundering systems deployed by financial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-20 Ahmad Naser Eddin , Jacopo Bono , David Aparício , David Polido , João Tiago Ascensão , Pedro Bizarro , Pedro Ribeiro

The fragility of financial systems was starkly demonstrated in early 2023 through a cascade of major bank failures in the United States, including the second, third, and fourth largest collapses in the US history. The highly interdependent…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-19 Kamil Fortuna , Janusz Szwabiński

Machine learning plays an essential role in preventing financial losses in the banking industry. Perhaps the most pertinent prediction task that can result in billions of dollars in losses each year is the assessment of credit risk (i.e.,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-01 Jillian M. Clements , Di Xu , Nooshin Yousefi , Dmitry Efimov

Defect reduction planning plays a vital role in enhancing software quality and minimizing software maintenance costs. By training a black box machine learning model and "explaining" its predictions, explainable AI for software engineering…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Khouloud Oueslati , Gabriel Laberge , Maxime Lamothe , Foutse Khomh
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