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We propose a robust inferential procedure for assessing uncertainties of parameter estimation in high-dimensional linear models, where the dimension $p$ can grow exponentially fast with the sample size $n$. Our method combines the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-19 Tianqi Zhao , Mladen Kolar , Han Liu

We consider a linear minimum mean squared error (LMMSE) estimation framework with model mismatch where the assumed model order is smaller than that of the underlying linear system which generates the data used in the estimation process. By…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-26 Martin Hellkvist , Ayça Özçelikkale

When we are interested in high-dimensional system and focus on classification performance, the $\ell_{1}$-penalized logistic regression is becoming important and popular. However, the Lasso estimates could be problematic when penalties of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-12 Huamei Huang , Yujing Gao , Huiming Zhang , Bo Li

Should prediction models always deliver a prediction? In the pursuit of maximum predictive performance, critical considerations of reliability and fairness are often overshadowed, particularly when it comes to the role of uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Anna Sokol , Nuno Moniz , Nitesh Chawla

A difficulty in MSE estimation occurs because we do not specify a full distribution for the survey weights. This obfuscates the use of fully parametric bootstrap procedures. To overcome this challenge, we develop a novel MSE estimator. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Yanghyeon Cho , Emily Berg

Independent sampling of orthogonal polynomial bases via Monte Carlo is of interest for uncertainty quantification of models, using Polynomial Chaos (PC) expansions. It is known that bounding the spectral radius of a random matrix consisting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-23 Jerrad Hampton , Alireza Doostan

Asymmetry along with heteroscedasticity or contamination often occurs with the growth of data dimensionality. In ultra-high dimensional data analysis, such irregular settings are usually overlooked for both theoretical and computational…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Bin Luo , Xiaoli Gao

Probabilistic models analyze data by relying on a set of assumptions. Data that exhibit deviations from these assumptions can undermine inference and prediction quality. Robust models offer protection against mismatch between a model's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-20 Yixin Wang , Alp Kucukelbir , David M. Blei

Due to the well-known computational showstopper of the exact Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) for large geospatial observations, a variety of approximation methods have been proposed in the literature, which usually require tuning…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-10 Yiping Hong , Sameh Abdulah , Marc G. Genton , Ying Sun

Consider the task of estimating a 3-order $n \times n \times n$ tensor from noisy observations of randomly chosen entries in the sparse regime. We introduce a similarity based collaborative filtering algorithm for estimating a tensor from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Devavrat Shah , Christina Lee Yu

We describe and analyze a variance reduction approach for Monte Carlo (MC) sampling that accelerates the estimation of statistics of computationally expensive simulation models using an ensemble of models with lower cost. These lower cost…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-04 Alex A. Gorodetsky , Gianluca Geraci , Mike Eldred , John D. Jakeman

We propose new methods for multivariate linear regression when the regression coefficient matrix is sparse and the error covariance matrix is dense. We assume that the error covariance matrix has equicorrelation across the response…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-13 Daeyoung Ham , Bradley S. Price , Adam J. Rothman

In safety-critical applications data-driven models must not only be accurate but also provide reliable uncertainty estimates. This property, commonly referred to as calibration, is essential for risk-aware decision-making. In regression a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Jelke Wibbeke , Nico Schönfisch , Sebastian Rohjans , Andreas Rauh

This paper introduces a new method for testing the statistical significance of estimated parameters in predictive regressions. The approach features a new family of test statistics that are robust to the degree of persistence of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-04 Jean-Yves Pitarakis

Recent advances in computer vision have made training object detectors more efficient and effective; however, assessing their performance in real-world applications still relies on costly manual annotation. To address this limitation, we…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Seungju Yoo , Hyuk Kwon , Joong-Won Hwang , Kibok Lee

We propose a Multi-step Screening Procedure (MSP) for the recovery of sparse linear models in high-dimensional data. This method is based on a repeated small penalty strategy that quickly converges to an estimate within a few iterations.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-13 Yuehan Yang , Ji Zhu , Edward I. George

We propose a minimum distance estimation method for robust regression in sparse high-dimensional settings. The traditional likelihood-based estimators lack resilience against outliers, a critical issue when dealing with high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-12 Aurélie C. Lozano , Nicolai Meinshausen

We study the excess mean square error (EMSE) above the minimum mean square error (MMSE) in large linear systems where the posterior mean estimator (PME) is evaluated with a postulated prior that differs from the true prior of the input…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-05-18 Yanting Ma , Dror Baron , Ahmad Beirami

In this article we investigate consistency of selection in regression models via the popular Lasso method. Here we depart from the traditional linear regression assumption and consider approximations of the regression function $f$ with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Florentina Bunea

The a posteriori analysis of the discretization error and the modeling error is studied for a compliance cost functional in the context of the optimization of composite elastic materials and a two-scale linearized elasticity model. A…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-03-14 Sergio Conti , Benedict Geihe , Martin Lenz , Martin Rumpf