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For multiple reasons -- such as avoiding overtraining from one data set or because of having received numerical estimates for some parameters in a model from an alternative source -- it is sometimes useful to divide a model's parameters…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-26 Yunrong Wan

We study the impact of eccentricity on gravitational-wave parameter estimation for binary neutron star systems. For signals with small eccentricity injected into the advanced LIGO sensitivity, we perform Bayesian parameter estimation using…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2022-06-13 Hee-Suk Cho

In this article a novel approach for training deep neural networks using Bayesian techniques is presented. The Bayesian methodology allows for an easy evaluation of model uncertainty and additionally is robust to overfitting. These are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-03 Konstantin Posch , Jürgen Pilz

We present improved methods for calculating confidence intervals and $p$-values in situations where standard asymptotic approaches fail due to small sample sizes. We apply these techniques to a specific class of statistical model that can…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-01-11 Enzo Canonero , Alessandra Rosalba Brazzale , Glen Cowan

Deep learning has emerged as a promising paradigm to give access to highly accurate predictions of molecular and materials properties. A common short-coming shared by current approaches, however, is that neural networks only give point…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-05-10 Albert Zhu , Simon Batzner , Albert Musaelian , Boris Kozinsky

The increasing sensitivity of gravitational-wave detectors has brought about an increase in the rate of astrophysical signal detections as well as the rate of "glitches"; transient and non-Gaussian detector noise. Temporal overlap of…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2022-08-18 Sophie Hourihane , Katerina Chatziioannou , Marcella Wijngaarden , Derek Davis , Tyson Littenberg , Neil Cornish

This thesis explores parameter estimation methods for rapidly reconstructing compact binary sources generating gravitational waves. It employs numerical linear algebra and meshfree approximation techniques to expedite waveform generation…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-09-25 Lalit Pathak

This guide offers suggestions/insights on uncertainty quantification of nuclear structure models. We discuss a simple approach to statistical error estimates, strategies to assess systematic errors, and show how to uncover…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2014-05-26 J. Dobaczewski , W. Nazarewicz , P. -G. Reinhard

Neutron noise analysis is a predominant technique for fissile matter identification with passive methods. Quantifying the uncertainties associated with the estimated nuclear parameters is crucial for decision-making. A conservative…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-03 Paul Lartaud , Philippe Humbert , Josselin Garnier

Estimating the parameters of compact binaries which coalesce and produce gravitational waves is a challenging Bayesian inverse problem. Gravitational-wave parameter estimation lies within the class of multifidelity problems, where a variety…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-05-31 Bassel Saleh , Aaron Zimmerman , Peng Chen , Omar Ghattas

In this paper, we present a methodology to estimate the parameters of stochastically contaminated models under two contamination regimes. In both regimes, we assume that the original process is a variable length Markov chain that is…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-23 Denise Duarte , Sokol Ndreca , Wecsley O. Prates

Most network studies rely on an observed network that differs from the underlying network which is obfuscated by measurement errors. It is well known that such errors can have a severe impact on the reliability of network metrics,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-01-09 Christoph Martin , Peter Niemeyer

The accuracy of Bayesian inference can be negatively affected by the use of inaccurate forward models. In the case of gravitational-wave inference, accurate but computationally expensive waveform models are sometimes substituted with faster…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-04-02 Miaoxin Liu , Xiao-Dong Li , Alvin J. K. Chua

Dynamic factor models are often estimated by point-estimation methods, disregarding parameter uncertainty. We propose a method accounting for parameter uncertainty by means of posterior approximation, using variational inference. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-14 Erik Spånberg

Nested sampling is a promising tool for Bayesian statistical analysis because it simultaneously performs parameter estimation and facilitates model comparison. MultiNest is one of the most popular nested sampling implementations, and has…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-24 Alexander J. Dittmann

Survey data are often collected under multistage sampling designs where units are binned to clusters that are sampled in a first stage. The unit-indexed population variables of interest are typically dependent within cluster. We propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-26 Luis G. Leon-Novelo , Terrance D. Savitsky

Metropolis nested sampling evolves a Markov chain from a current livepoint and accepts new points along the chain according to a version of the Metropolis acceptance ratio modified to satisfy the likelihood constraint, characteristic of…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-11 Kamran Javid

Thanks to the recent discoveries of gravitational wave signals from binary black hole mergers by Advanced Laser Interferometer Gravitational Wave Observatory and Advanced Virgo, the genuinely strong-field dynamics of spacetime can now be…

We examine the problem of construction of confidence intervals within the basic single-parameter, single-iteration variation of the method of quasi-optimal weights. Two kinds of distortions of such intervals due to insufficiently large…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-05-27 A. D. Morozov , A. V. Lokhov , F. V. Tkachov

We present in this paper a Bayesian parameter estimation method for the analysis of interferometric gravitational wave observations of an inspiral of binary compact objects using data recorded simultaneously by a network of several…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-11-26 Christian Röver , Renate Meyer , Gianluca M. Guidi , Andrea Viceré , Nelson Christensen
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