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Crash prediction is a critical component of road safety analyses. A widely adopted approach to crash prediction is application of regression based techniques. The underlying calibration process is often time-consuming, requiring significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-20 Guangyuan Pan , Liping Fu , Lalita Thakali , Matthew Muresan , Ming Yu

Urban congestions cause inefficient movement of vehicles and exacerbate greenhouse gas emissions and urban air pollution. Macroscopic emission fundamental diagram (eMFD)captures an orderly relationship among emission and aggregated traffic…

This paper develops a stochastic and unifying framework to examine variability in car-following (CF) dynamics of commercial automated vehicles (AVs) and its direct relation to traffic-level dynamics. The asymmetric behavior (AB) model by…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-02 Xinzhi Zhong , Yang Zhou , Soyoung Ahn , Danjue Chen

Autonomous vehicles use a variety of sensors and machine-learned models to predict the behavior of surrounding road users. Most of the machine-learned models in the literature focus on quantitative error metrics like the root mean square…

Modeling stochastic traffic behaviors at the microscopic level, such as car-following and lane-changing, is a crucial task to understand the interactions between individual vehicles in traffic streams. Leveraging a recently developed theory…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-21 Yun Yuan , Qinzheng Wang , Xianfeng Terry Yang

There is quickly growing literature on machine-learned models that predict human driving trajectories in road traffic. These models focus their learning on low-dimensional error metrics, for example average distance between model-generated…

Non-holonomic vehicle motion has been studied extensively using physics-based models. Common approaches when using these models interpret the wheel/ground interactions using a linear tire model and thus may not fully capture the nonlinear…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Taekyung Kim , Hojin Lee , Wonsuk Lee

Microscopic traffic simulations are used to evaluate the impact of infrastructure modifications and evolving vehicle technologies, such as connected and automated driving. Simulated vehicles are controlled via car-following, lane-changing…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-08-08 Dominik Salles , Steve Oswald , Hans-Christian Reuss

Understanding the probabilistic traffic environment is a vital challenge for the motion planning of autonomous vehicles. To make feasible control decisions, forecasting future trajectories of adjacent cars is essential for intelligent…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Yufei Huang , Mohsen A. Jafari

Both Bayesian and varying coefficient models are very useful tools in practice as they can be used to model parameter heterogeneity in a generalizable way. Motivated by the need of enhancing Marketing Mix Modeling at Uber, we propose a…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-31 Edwin Ng , Zhishi Wang , Athena Dai

Identifying a coupled dynamical system out of many plausible candidates, each of which could serve as the underlying generator of some observed measurements, is a profoundly ill posed problem that commonly arises when modelling real world…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2019-09-17 Amirhossein Jafarian , Peter Zeidman , Vladimir Litvak , Karl Friston

Human trajectory anomaly detection has become increasingly important across a wide range of applications, including security surveillance and public health. However, existing trajectory anomaly detection methods are primarily focused on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Yueyang Liu , Lance Kennedy , Hossein Amiri , Andreas Züfle

Modeling car-following behavior is fundamental to microscopic traffic simulation, yet traditional deterministic models often fail to capture the full extent of variability and unpredictability in human driving. While many modern approaches…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-30 Chengyuan Zhang , Zhengbing He , Cathy Wu , Lijun Sun

In autonomous driving, perceiving the driving behaviors of surrounding agents is important for the ego-vehicle to make a reasonable decision. In this paper, we propose a neural network model based on trajectories information for driving…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-02 He Zhang , Zhixiong Nan , Tao Yang , Yifan Liu , Nanning Zheng

Accurate calibration of car-following models is essential for understanding human driving behaviors and implementing high-fidelity microscopic simulations. This work proposes a memory-augmented Bayesian calibration technique to capture both…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-25 Chengyuan Zhang , Lijun Sun

Modeling car-following behavior is essential for traffic simulation, analyzing driving patterns, and understanding complex traffic flows with varying levels of autonomous vehicles. Traditional models like the Safe Distance Model and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Luwei Zeng , Runze Yan

A fundamental challenge in car-following modeling lies in accurately representing the multi-scale complexity of driving behaviors, particularly the intra-driver heterogeneity where a single driver's actions fluctuate dynamically under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Shirui Zhou , Jiying Yan , Junfang Tian , Tao Wang , Yongfu Li , Shiquan Zhong

Accurately predicting and inferring a driver's decision to brake is critical for designing warning systems and avoiding collisions. In this paper we focus on predicting a driver's intent to brake in car-following scenarios from a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-16 Wenshuo Wang , Junqiang Xi , Ding Zhao

The development of automated vehicles has the potential to revolutionize transportation, but they are currently unable to ensure a safe and time-efficient driving style. Reliable models predicting human behavior are essential for overcoming…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Julian F. Schumann , Aravinda Ramakrishnan Srinivasan , Jens Kober , Gustav Markkula , Arkady Zgonnikov

In this paper, we aim at developing new methods to join machine learning techniques and macroscopic differential models for vehicular traffic estimation and forecast. It is well known that data-driven and model-driven approaches have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Maya Briani , Emiliano Cristiani , Elia Onofri