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While logistic regression models are easily accessible to researchers, when applied to network data there are unrealistic assumptions made about the dependence structure of the data. For temporal networks measured in discrete time, recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-20 Daniel K. Sewell

Contemporary time series data often feature objects connected by a social network that naturally induces temporal dependence involving connected neighbours. The network vector autoregressive model is useful for describing the influence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-18 Weichi Wu , Chenlei Leng

Network dynamics may be viewed as a process of change in the edge structure of a network, in the vertex set on which edges are defined, or in both simultaneously. Though early studies of such processes were primarily descriptive, recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-03-29 Zack W. Almquist , Carter T. Butts

Individuals or companies in a large social or financial network often display rather heterogeneous behaviors for various reasons. In this work, we propose a network vector autoregressive model with a latent group structure to model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-14 Xuening Zhu , Ganggang Xu , Jianqing Fan

Vector autoregressive models characterize a variety of time series in which linear combinations of current and past observations can be used to accurately predict future observations. For instance, each element of an observation vector…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-27 Eric C. Hall , Garvesh Raskutti , Rebecca Willett

An important question in statistical network analysis is how to estimate models of discrete and dependent network data with intractable likelihood functions, without sacrificing computational scalability and statistical guarantees. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Jonathan R. Stewart , Michael Schweinberger

We propose an Embedding Network Autoregressive Model for multivariate networked longitudinal data. We assume the network is generated from a latent variable model, and these unobserved variables are included in a structural peer effect…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-25 Jae Ho Chang , Subhadeep Paul

The presence of unobserved node specific heterogeneity in Exponential Random Graph Models (ERGM) is a general concern, both with respect to model validity as well as estimation instability. We therefore extend the ERGM by including node…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-24 Sevag Kevork , Göran Kauermann

In this paper, we adopt a latent variable method to formulate a network model with arbitrarily dependent structure. We assume that the latent variables follow a multivariate normal distribution and a link between two nodes forms if the sum…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-28 Ting Yan

Exponential random graph models (ERGMs) are very flexible for modeling network formation but pose difficult estimation challenges due to their intractable normalizing constant. Existing methods, such as MCMC-MLE, rely on sequential…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Angelo Mele

We propose a first-order autoregressive (i.e. AR(1)) model for dynamic network processes in which edges change over time while nodes remain unchanged. The model depicts the dynamic changes explicitly. It also facilitates simple and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-12 Binyan Jiang , Jailing Li , Qiwei Yao

Although static networks have been extensively studied in machine learning, data mining, and AI communities for many decades, the study of dynamic networks has recently taken center stage due to the prominence of social media and its…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-12-21 Tony Gracious , Shubham Gupta , Arun Kanthali , Rui M. Castro , Ambedkar Dukkipati

We propose a family of statistical models for social network evolution over time, which represents an extension of Exponential Random Graph Models (ERGMs). Many of the methods for ERGMs are readily adapted for these models, including…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-08-11 Steve Hanneke , Wenjie Fu , Eric Xing

This paper focuses on modeling the dynamic attributes of a dynamic network with a fixed number of vertices. These attributes are considered as time series which dependency structure is influenced by the underlying network. They are modeled…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-11 Jonas Krampe

We define a dynamic model of random networks, where new vertices are connected to old ones with a probability proportional to a sublinear function of their degree. We first give a strong limit law for the empirical degree distribution, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-07-31 Steffen Dereich , Peter Morters

High-dimensional autoregressive point processes model how current events trigger or inhibit future events, such as activity by one member of a social network can affect the future activity of his or her neighbors. While past work has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-18 Lili Zheng , Garvesh Raskutti , Rebecca Willett , Benjamin Mark

A network as a substrate for dynamic processes may have its own dynamics. We propose a model for networks which evolve together with diffusing particles through a coupled dynamics, and investigate emerging structural property. The model…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Sang-Woo Kim , Jae Dong Noh

Models of dynamic networks --- networks that evolve over time --- have manifold applications. We develop a discrete-time generative model for social network evolution that inherits the richness and flexibility of the class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-24 Pavel N. Krivitsky , Mark S. Handcock

Dynamic network data analysis requires joint modelling individual snapshots and time dynamics. This paper proposes a new two-way heterogeneity model towards this goal. The new model equips each node of the network with two heterogeneity…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-15 Binyan Jiang , Chenlei Leng , Ting Yan , Qiwei Yao , Xinyang Yu

We propose an extension of the Contextual Graph Markov Model, a deep and probabilistic machine learning model for graphs, to model the distribution of edge features. Our approach is architectural, as we introduce an additional Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Daniele Atzeni , Federico Errica , Davide Bacciu , Alessio Micheli
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