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A leveraged ETF is a fund aimed at achieving a rate of return several times greater than that of the underlying asset such as Nikkei 225 futures. Recently, it has been suggested that rebalancing trades of a leveraged ETF may destabilize the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-27 Isao Yagi , Shunya Maruyama , Takanobu Mizuta

A one-factor asset pricing model with an Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process as its state variable is studied under partial information: the mean-reverting level and the mean-reverting speed parameters are modeled as hidden/unobservable stochastic…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-18 Takashi Kato , Jun Sekine , Hiromitsu Yamamoto

We present a new model for commodity pricing that enhances accuracy by integrating four distinct risk factors: spot price, stochastic volatility, convenience yield, and stochastic interest rates. While the influence of these four variables…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-28 Luca Vincenzo Ballestra , Christian Tezza

This paper studies pairs trading using a nonlinear and non-Gaussian state-space model framework. We model the spread between the prices of two assets as an unobservable state variable and assume that it follows a mean-reverting process.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-21 Guang Zhang

In this article, we tackle the problem of a market maker in charge of a book of options on a single liquid underlying asset. By using an approximation of the portfolio in terms of its vega, we show that the seemingly high-dimensional…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-03 Bastien Baldacci , Philippe Bergault , Olivier Guéant

We propose a stochastic game modelling the strategic interaction between market makers and traders of optimal execution type. For traders, the permanent price impact commonly attributed to them is replaced by quoting strategies implemented…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-10 Ivan Guo , Shijia Jin

We consider the discretized version of a (continuous-time) two-factor model introduced by Benth and coauthors for the electricity markets. For this model, the underlying is the exponent of a sum of independent random variables. We provide…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-21 Stéphane Goutte , Nadia Oudjane , Francesco Russo

A leveraged exchange traded fund (LETF) is an exchange traded fund that uses financial derivatives to amplify the price changes of a basket of goods. In this paper, we consider the robust hedging of European options on a LETF, finding…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-24 Alexander M. G. Cox , Sam M. Kinsley

The author seeks to develop a model to alter the bid-offer spread, currently quoted by market makers, that varies with the market and trading conditions. The dynamic nature of financial markets and trading, as with the rest of social…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-03 Ravi Kashyap

Predicting the price that has the least error and can provide the best and highest accuracy has been one of the most challenging issues and one of the most critical concerns among capital market activists and researchers. Therefore, a model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-05 Mohammadhossein Rashidi , Mohammad Modarres

This paper studies the market phenomenon of non-convergence between futures and spot prices in the grains market. We postulate that the positive basis observed at maturity stems from the futures holder's timing options to exercise the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-12 Kevin Guo , Tim Leung

Volume imbalance in a limit order book is often considered as a reliable indicator for predicting future price moves. In this work, we seek to analyse the nuances of the relationship between prices and volume imbalance. To this end, we…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-24 Sergio Pulido , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Emmanouil Sfendourakis

Given the promising results on joint modeling of SPX/VIX smiles of the recently introduced quadratic rough Heston model, we consider a multi-asset market making problem on SPX and its derivatives, e.g. VIX futures, SPX and VIX options. The…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-21 Mathieu Rosenbaum , Jianfei Zhang

It is anticipated that large-scale energy storage facility (ESF) will become an essential part of the future energy markets to increase the penetration of renewables. In this paper, a new optimization algorithm is developed to participate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-02 Farhad Samadi Gazijahani , Rasoul Esmaeilzadeh

This article explores the optimisation of trading strategies in Constant Function Market Makers (CFMMs) and centralised exchanges. We develop a model that accounts for the interaction between these two markets, estimating the conditional…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-06 Sebastian Jaimungal , Yuri F. Saporito , Max O. Souza , Yuri Thamsten

This paper examines the problem of pricing spread options under some models with jumps driven by Compound Poisson Processes and stochastic volatilities in the form of Cox-Ingersoll-Ross(CIR) processes. We derive the characteristic function…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-04 Pablo Olivares , Matthew Cane

This paper studies subordinate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) processes, i.e., OU diffusions time changed by L\'{e}vy subordinators. We construct their sample path decomposition, show that they possess mean-reverting jumps, study their equivalent…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-18 Lingfei Li , Vadim Linetsky

Peak/off-peak spreads on European electricity forward and spot markets are eroding due to the ongoing nuclear phaseout in Germany and the steady growth in photovoltaic capacity. The reduced profitability of peak/off-peak arbitrage forces…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-05 Kilian Schindler , Napat Rujeerapaiboon , Daniel Kuhn , Wolfram Wiesemann

Empirical studies indicate the existence of long range dependence in the volatility of the underlying asset. This feature can be captured by modeling its return and volatility using functions of a stationary fractional Ornstein--Uhlenbeck…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-12 Jean-Pierre Fouque , Ruimeng Hu

This paper employs machine learning algorithms to forecast German electricity spot market prices. The forecasts utilize in particular bid and ask order book data from the spot market but also fundamental market data like renewable infeed…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-20 Simon Schnürch , Andreas Wagner