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The literature on using yield curves to forecast recessions customarily uses 10-year--three-month Treasury yield spread without verification on the pair selection. This study investigates whether the predictive ability of spread can be…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-19 Jaehyuk Choi , Desheng Ge , Kyu Ho Kang , Sungbin Sohn

Hunger crises are critical global issues affecting millions, particularly in low-income and developing countries. This research investigates how machine learning can be utilized to predict and inform decisions regarding famine and hunger…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Salloni Kapoor , Simeon Sayer

A new approach called NAF (the Neural Attention Forest) for solving regression and classification tasks under tabular training data is proposed. The main idea behind the proposed NAF model is to introduce the attention mechanism into the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-13 Andrei V. Konstantinov , Lev V. Utkin , Alexey A. Lukashin , Vladimir A. Muliukha

Precision agriculture leverages data and machine learning so that farmers can monitor their crops and target interventions precisely. This enables the precision application of herbicide only to weeds, or the precision application of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Madeleine Darbyshire , Elizabeth Sklar , Simon Parsons

We introduce a novel forecasting model for crop yields that explicitly accounts for spatio-temporal dependence and the influence of extreme weather and climatic events. Our approach combines Bayesian Structural Time Series for modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Marie Michaelides , Mélina Mailhot , Yongkun Li

In the field of planting fruit trees, pre-harvest estimation of fruit yield is important for fruit storage and price evaluation. However, considering the cost, the yield of each tree cannot be assessed by directly picking the immature…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-17 Yuqi Li , Yuting He , Yihang Zhou , Zirui Gong , Renjie Huang

As the world population increases and arable land decreases, it becomes vital to improve the productivity of the agricultural land available. Given the weather and soil properties, farmers need to take critical decisions such as which seed…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-10-26 Gunjan Sehgal , Bindu Gupta , Kaushal Paneri , Karamjit Singh , Geetika Sharma , Gautam Shroff

The perspective of developing trustworthy AI for critical applications in science and engineering requires machine learning techniques that are capable of estimating their own uncertainty. In the context of regression, instead of estimating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Quentin Duchemin , Guillaume Obozinski

Random forests are a learning algorithm proposed by Breiman [Mach. Learn. 45 (2001) 5--32] that combines several randomized decision trees and aggregates their predictions by averaging. Despite its wide usage and outstanding practical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-11 Erwan Scornet , Gérard Biau , Jean-Philippe Vert

Computational tools for forecasting yields and prices for fresh produce have been based on traditional machine learning approaches or time series modelling. We propose here an alternate approach based on deep learning algorithms for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-19 Mohita Chaudhary , Mohamed Sadok Gastli , Lobna Nassar , Fakhri Karray

Random forest regression is a powerful non-parametric method that adapts to local data characteristics through data-driven partitioning, making it effective across diverse application domains. However, the piecewise constant nature of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Ziyi Liu , Phuc Luong , Mario Boley , Daniel F. Schmidt

Over the past decade, random forest models have become widely used as a robust method for high-dimensional data regression tasks. In part, the popularity of these models arises from the fact that they require little hyperparameter tuning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-18 Shipra Malhotra , John Karanicolas

Random forests are powerful non-parametric regression method but are severely limited in their usage in the presence of randomly censored observations, and naively applied can exhibit poor predictive performance due to the incurred biases.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-12 Alexander Hanbo Li , Jelena Bradic

We introduce random spatial forests, a method of bagging regression trees allowing for spatial correlation. Our main contribution is the development of a computationally efficient tree building algorithm which selects each split of the tree…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-24 Travis Hee Wai , Michael T. Young , Adam A. Szpiro

We investigate the sources of variability in agricultural production and their relative importance in the context of weather index insurance for smallholder farmers in India. Using parcel-level panel data, multilevel modeling, and Bayesian…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-04 Jeffrey D. Michler , Frederi G. Viens , Gerald E. Shively

This paper describes a methodology for automated univariate time series forecasting using regression trees and their ensembles: bagging and random forests. The key aspects that are addressed are: the use of an autoregressive approach and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Francisco Martínez , María P. Frías

Random forests are powerful non-parametric regression method but are severely limited in their usage in the presence of randomly censored observations, and naively applied can exhibit poor predictive performance due to the incurred biases.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-13 Alexander Hanbo Li , Jelena Bradic

Label ranking aims to learn a mapping from instances to rankings over a finite number of predefined labels. Random forest is a powerful and one of the most successful general-purpose machine learning algorithms of modern times. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-19 Yangming Zhou , Guoping Qiu

As these attacks become more and more difficult to see, the need for the great hi-tech models that detect them is undeniable. This paper examines and compares various machine learning as well as deep learning models to choose the most…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Momen Hesham , Mohamed Essam , Mohamed Bahaa , Ahmed Mohamed , Mohamed Gomaa , Mena Hany , Wael Elsersy

The overall equipment effectiveness (OEE) is a performance measurement metric widely used. Its calculation provides to the managers the possibility to identify the main losses that reduce the machine effectiveness and then take the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-05 Ibtissam El Hassani , Choumicha El Mazgualdi , Tawfik Masrour