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The accurate prediction of patient prognosis is a critical challenge in clinical practice. With the availability of various patient information, physicians can optimize medical care by closely monitoring disease progression and therapy…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-28 He Weiyi

Time-to-event prediction, e.g. cancer survival analysis or hospital length of stay, is a highly prominent machine learning task in medical and healthcare applications. However, only a few interpretable machine learning methods comply with…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-25 Hubert Baniecki , Bartlomiej Sobieski , Patryk Szatkowski , Przemyslaw Bombinski , Przemyslaw Biecek

The abundance of modern health data provides many opportunities for the use of machine learning techniques to build better statistical models to improve clinical decision making. Predicting time-to-event distributions, also known as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-15 Zidi Xiu , Chenyang Tao , Benjamin A. Goldstein , Ricardo Henao

Survival analysis is a classic problem in statistics with important applications in healthcare. Most machine learning models for survival analysis are black-box models, limiting their use in healthcare settings where interpretability is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Mike Van Ness , Billy Block , Madeleine Udell

In this paper, we address the "black-box" problem in predictive process analytics by building interpretable models that are capable to inform both what and why is a prediction. Predictive process analytics is a newly emerged discipline…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-26 Bemali Wickramanayake , Zhipeng He , Chun Ouyang , Catarina Moreira , Yue Xu , Renuka Sindhgatta

Discrimination and calibration represent two important properties of survival analysis, with the former assessing the model's ability to accurately rank subjects and the latter evaluating the alignment of predicted outcomes with actual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Shi-ang Qi , Yakun Yu , Russell Greiner

In this study, we present a novel clinical decision support system and discuss its interpretability-related properties. It combines a decision set of rules with a machine learning scheme to offer global and local interpretability. More…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-16 Francisco Valente , Simão Paredes , Jorge Henriques

Modern statistical learning techniques have often emphasized prediction performance over interpretability, giving rise to "black box" models that may be difficult to understand, and to generalize to other settings. We conceptually divide a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-16 Wenjia Wang , Yi-Hui Zhou

Clinical decisions are high-stakes and require explicit justification, making model interpretability essential for auditing deep clinical models prior to deployment. As the ecosystem of model architectures and explainability methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Yongda Fan , John Wu , Andrea Fitzpatrick , Naveen Baskaran , Jimeng Sun , Adam Cross

Artificial intelligence supports healthcare professionals with predictive modeling, greatly transforming clinical decision-making. This study addresses the crucial need for fairness and explainability in AI applications within healthcare to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-27 Chia-Hsuan Chang , Xiaoyang Wang , Christopher C. Yang

This paper introduces an Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE) notion for survival analysis. The ODE notion not only provides a unified modeling framework, but more importantly, also enables the development of a widely applicable, scalable,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-07 Weijing Tang , Kevin He , Gongjun Xu , Ji Zhu

Recent efforts in Machine Learning (ML) interpretability have focused on creating methods for explaining black-box ML models. However, these methods rely on the assumption that simple approximations, such as linear models or decision-trees,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-13 Owen Lahav , Nicholas Mastronarde , Mihaela van der Schaar

Accurately predicting the time of occurrence of an event of interest is a critical problem in longitudinal data analysis. One of the main challenges in this context is the presence of instances whose event outcomes become unobservable after…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-26 Ping Wang , Yan Li , Chandan K. Reddy

Interpretable deep learning is a fundamental building block towards safer AI, especially when the deployment possibilities of deep learning-based computer-aided medical diagnostic systems are so eminent. However, without a computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-27 Anirban Mukhopadhyay

Survival analysis is the branch of statistics that studies the relation between the characteristics of living entities and their respective survival times, taking into account the partial information held by censored cases. A good analysis…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-07 Ammar Shaker , Carolin Lawrence

Deep neural networks for survival prediction outper-form classical approaches in discrimination, which is the ordering of patients according to their time-of-event. Conversely, classical approaches like the Cox Proportional Hazards model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-01 Patrick Fuhlert , Anne Ernst , Esther Dietrich , Fabian Westhaeusser , Karin Kloiber , Stefan Bonn

Hazard and survival functions are natural, interpretable targets in time-to-event prediction, but their inherent non-additivity fundamentally limits standard additive explanation methods. We introduce Survival Functional Decomposition…

Algorithmic fairness is an increasingly important field concerned with detecting and mitigating biases in machine learning models. There has been a wealth of literature for algorithmic fairness in regression and classification however there…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-07-25 Raphael Sonabend , Florian Pfisterer , Alan Mishler , Moritz Schauer , Lukas Burk , Sumantrak Mukherjee , Sebastian Vollmer

Interpretable classification models are built with the purpose of providing a comprehensible description of the decision logic to an external oversight agent. When considered in isolation, a decision tree, a set of classification rules, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-18 Riccardo Guidotti , Salvatore Ruggieri

Survival Analysis (SA) constitutes the default method for time-to-event modeling due to its ability to estimate event probabilities of sparsely occurring events over time. In this work, we show how to improve the training and inference of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Chris Solomou