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Existing methods to summarize posterior inference for mixture models focus on identifying a point estimate of the implied random partition for clustering, with density estimation as a secondary goal (Wade and Ghahramani, 2018; Dahl et al.,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-09 Khai Nguyen , Peter Mueller

Shuffled regression and unlinked regression represent intriguing challenges that have garnered considerable attention in many fields, including but not limited to ecological regression, multi-target tracking problems, image denoising, etc.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-16 Cecile Durot , Debarghya Mukherjee

This paper studies the problem of nonparametric estimation of a smooth function with data distributed across multiple machines. We assume an independent sample from a white noise model is collected at each machine, and an estimator of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-26 Yuancheng Zhu , John Lafferty

In the setting of nonparametric multivariate regression with unknown error variance, we study asymptotic properties of a Bayesian method for estimating a regression function f and its mixed partial derivatives. We use a random series of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-13 William Weimin Yoo , Subhashis Ghosal

Bayesian estimation is increasingly popular for performing model based inference to support policymaking. These data are often collected from surveys under informative sampling designs where subject inclusion probabilities are designed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-13 Luis G. Leon-Novelo , Terrance D. Savitsky

Unlike the ordinary least-squares (OLS) estimator for the linear model, a ridge regression linear model provides coefficient estimates via shrinkage, usually with improved mean-square and prediction error. This is true especially when the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-25 George Karabatsos

In this work, we study the problem of learning the volatility under market microstructure noise. Specifically, we consider noisy discrete time observations from a stochastic differential equation and develop a novel computational method to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-19 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

Spatial concurrent linear models, in which the model coefficients are spatial processes varying at a local level, are flexible and useful tools for analyzing spatial data. One approach places stationary Gaussian process priors on the…

Applications · Statistics 2012-02-03 Zuofeng Shang , Murray K. Clayton

We propose a new prediction method for multivariate linear regression problems where the number of features is less than the sample size but the number of outcomes is extremely large. Many popular procedures, such as penalized regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-20 Yihe Wang , Sihai Dave Zhao

Based on a novel dynamic Whittle likelihood approximation for locally stationary processes, a Bayesian nonparametric approach to estimating the time-varying spectral density is proposed. This dynamic frequency-domain based likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-22 Yifu Tang , Claudia Kirch , Jeong Eun Lee , Renate Meyer

Model averaging methods have become an increasingly popular tool for improving predictions and dealing with model uncertainty, especially in Bayesian settings. Recently, frequentist model averaging methods such as information theoretic and…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-18 Kevin Huynh

We present large sample results for partitioning-based least squares nonparametric regression, a popular method for approximating conditional expectation functions in statistics, econometrics, and machine learning. First, we obtain a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-20 Matias D. Cattaneo , Max H. Farrell , Yingjie Feng

We propose a method to improve the efficiency and accuracy of amortized Bayesian inference by leveraging universal symmetries in the joint probabilistic model of parameters and data. In a nutshell, we invert Bayes' theorem and estimate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Marvin Schmitt , Desi R. Ivanova , Daniel Habermann , Ullrich Köthe , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Stefan T. Radev

We consider a situation where the distribution of a random variable is being estimated by the empirical distribution of noisy measurements of that variable. This is common practice in, for example, teacher value-added models and other…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-08 Koen Jochmans , Martin Weidner

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) provide a formalism to quantify and calibrate uncertainty in deep learning. Current inference approaches for BNNs often resort to few-sample estimation for scalability, which can harm predictive performance,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Zhe Zeng , Guy Van den Broeck

This paper considers the problem of robust adaptive efficient estimating of a periodic function in a continuous time regression model with the dependent noises given by a general square integrable semimartingale with a conditionally…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-24 Evgeny Pchelintsev , Serguei Pergamenshchikov

We apply classical and Bayesian lasso regularizations to a family of models with the presence of mixture and process variables. We analyse the performance of these estimates with respect to ordinary least squares estimators by a simulation…

Distributed estimation of the average value over a Wireless Sensor Network has recently received a lot of attention. Most papers consider single variable sensors and communications with feedback (e.g. peer-to-peer communications). However,…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2015-06-11 Franck Iutzeler , Philippe Ciblat , Walid Hachem

Signal denoising---also known as non-parametric regression---is often performed through shrinkage estimation in a transformed (e.g., wavelet) domain; shrinkage in the transformed domain corresponds to smoothing in the original domain. A key…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-09 Zhengrong Xing , Peter Carbonetto , Matthew Stephens

Negative binomial regression is commonly employed to analyze overdispersed count data. With small to moderate sample sizes, the maximum likelihood estimator of the dispersion parameter may be subject to a significant bias, that in turn…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-06 Euloge Clovis Kenne Pagui , Alessandra Salvan , Nicola Sartori