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For continuous-time linear stochastic dynamical systems driven by Wiener processes, we consider the problem of designing ensemble filters when the observation process is randomly time-sampled. We propose a continuous-discrete McKean--Vlasov…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Aneel Tanwani , Olga Yufereva

Climate change poses significant challenges for accurate climate modeling due to the complexity and variability of non-Gaussian climate systems. To address the complexities of non-Gaussian systems in climate modeling, this thesis proposes a…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-28 Yunjin Tong

Classical discriminant analysis assumes identically distributed training data, yet in many applications observations are collected over time and the class-conditional distributions drift. This population drift renders stationary classifiers…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Shuilian Xie , Mahdi Imani , Edward R. Dougherty , Ulisses M. Braga-Neto

This report derives a generalized, converted measurement Kalman filter for the class of filtering problems with a linear state equation and nonlinear measurement equation, for which a bijective mapping exists between the state and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-13 Steven V. Bordonaro , Tod E. Luginbuhl , Michael J. Walsh

Reconstruction of turbulent flow based on data assimilation methods is of significant importance for improving the estimation of flow characteristics by incorporating limited observations. Existing works mainly focus on using only one…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-03-30 Xin-Lei Zhang , Heng Xiao , Guo-Wei He , Shi-Zhao Wang

This manuscript derives locally weighted ensemble Kalman methods from the point of view of ensemble-based function approximation. This is done by using pointwise evaluations to build up a local linear or quadratic approximation of a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-07 Philipp Wacker

State-space models can be used to incorporate subject knowledge on the underlying dynamics of a time series by the introduction of a latent Markov state-process. A user can specify the dynamics of this process together with how the state…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-14 Paul Fearnhead , Hans Künsch

This paper is concerned with the linear/nonlinear Kalman-like filtering problem under binary sensors. Since innovation represents new information in the sensor measurement and serves to correct the prediction for the Kalman-like filter…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-28 Zhongyao Hu , Bo Chen , Yuchen Zhang , Li Yu

The ensemble Kalman filter has become a popular data assimilation technique in the geosciences. However, little is known theoretically about its long term stability and accuracy. In this paper, we investigate the behavior of an ensemble…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-02-11 Jana de Wiljes , Sebastian Reich , Wilhelm Stannat

The Kalman filter (KF) is an optimal linear state estimator for linear systems, and numerous extensions, including the extended Kalman filter (EKF), unscented Kalman filter (UKF), and cubature Kalman filter (CKF), have been developed for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-07 Shida Jiang , Junzhe Shi , Scott Moura

The Gaussian process state-space models (GPSSMs) represent a versatile class of data-driven nonlinear dynamical system models. However, the presence of numerous latent variables in GPSSM incurs unresolved issues for existing variational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Zhidi Lin , Yiyong Sun , Feng Yin , Alexandre Hoang Thiéry

We consider the solution of inverse problems in dynamic contrast-enhanced imaging by means of Ensemble Kalman Filters. Our quantity of interest is blood perfusion, i.e. blood flow rates in tissue. While existing approaches to compute blood…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-10-23 Peter Zaspel

Motivated by the maneuvering target tracking with sensors such as radar and sonar, this paper considers the joint and recursive estimation of the dynamic state and the time-varying process noise covariance in nonlinear state space models.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-09 Hua Lan , Jinjie Hu , Zengfu Wang , Qiang Cheng

This paper extends the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) for inverse problems to identify trending model coefficients. This is done by repeatedly inflating the ensemble while maintaining the mean of the particles. As a benchmark serves a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-30 M. Schwenzer , G. Visconti , M. Ay , T. Bergs , M. Herty , D. Abel

The ensemble Gaussian mixture filter combines the simplicity and power of Gaussian mixture models with the provable convergence and power of particle filters. The quality of the ensemble Gaussian mixture filter heavily depends on the choice…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-21 Andrey A Popov , Renato Zanetti

We show that modifying a Bayesian data assimilation scheme by incorporating kinematically-consistent displacement corrections produces a scheme that is demonstrably better at estimating partially observed state vectors in a setting where…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-12-06 W. Steven Rosenthal , Shankar C. Venkataramani , Arthur J. Mariano , Juan M. Restrepo

The kinematics of many systems encountered in robotics, mechatronics, and avionics are naturally posed on homogeneous spaces; that is, their state lies in a smooth manifold equipped with a transitive Lie group symmetry. This paper proposes…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-19 Pieter van Goor , Tarek Hamel , Robert Mahony

We consider the problem of estimating the means $\mu_i$ of $n$ random variables $Y_i \sim N(\mu_i,1)$, $i=1,\ldots ,n$. Assuming some structure on the $\mu$ process, e.g., a state space model, one may use a summary statistics for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-05 E. Greenshtein , A. Mansura , Y. Ritov

Kalman filtering has been traditionally applied in three application areas of estimation, state estimation, parameter estimation (a.k.a. model updating), and dual estimation. However, Kalman filter is often not sufficient when experimenting…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-11 Johnny Condori , Amin Maghareh , Shirley Dyke

We consider Kalman filtering problems when the observations are intermittently erased or lost. It was known that the estimates are mean-square unstable when the erasure probability is larger than a certain critical value, and stable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-08-29 Se Yong Park , Anant Sahai