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We demonstrate the efficacy of a Bayesian statistical inversion framework for reconstructing the likely characteristics of large pre-instrumentation earthquakes from historical records of tsunami observations. Our framework is designed and…

The causes of 2018 Palu bay (Indonesia) tsunami are still not entirely clear. There is still an ongoing debate on whether the main cause of the tsunami waves observed was a significant co-seismic tectonic event which occurred underwater or…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-05-18 Pablo Higuera , Ignacio Sepulveda , Philip L. -F. Liu

Seismic risk estimates will be vastly improved with an increased understanding of historical (and pre-historical) seismic events. However the only existing data for these events is anecdotal and sparse. To address this we developed a…

Landslides plunging into lakes and reservoirs can result in extreme wave runup at shores. This phenomenon has claimed lives and caused damage to near-shore properties. Landslide tsunamis in lakes are different from typical earthquake…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-04-23 Louis-Alexandre Couston , Chiang C Mei , Mohammad-Reza Alam

Ground motion scenarios exists for most of the seismically active areas around the globe. They essentially correspond to shaking level maps at given earthquake return times which are used as reference for the likely areas under threat from…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-02 Luigi Lombardo , Hakan Tanyas

Hazardous tsunamis are known to be generated predominantly at subduction zones. However, the 2018 Mw 7.5 Sulawesi (Indonesia) earthquake on a strike-slip fault generated a tsunami that devastated the city of Palu. The mechanism by which…

Significant tsunamis in Northern Adriatic are rare and only a few historical events were reported in the literature, with sources mostly located along with central and southern parts of the Adriatic coasts. Recently, a tsunami alert system…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-09-15 Antonella Peresan , Hany M. Hassan

Landslides are nearly ubiquitous phenomena and pose severe threats to people, properties, and the environment. Investigators have for long attempted to estimate landslide hazard to determine where, when, and how destructive landslides are…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-04 Luigi Lombardo , Thomas Opitz , Francesca Ardizzone , Fausto Guzzetti , Raphaël Huser

The vast majority of landslide susceptibility studies assumes the slope instability process to be time-invariant under the definition that "the past and present are keys to the future". This assumption may generally be valid. However, the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-02 Luguang Luo , Luigi Lombardo , Cees van Westen , Xiangjun Pei , Runqiu Huang

Using a Bayesian approach we compare anecdotal tsunami runup observations from the 29 December 1820 Flores Sea earthquake with close to 200,000 tsunami simulations to determine the most probable earthquake parameters causing the tsunami.…

Given a distribution of earthquake-induced seafloor elevations, we present a method to compute the probability of the resulting tsunamis reaching a certain size on shore. Instead of sampling, the proposed method relies on optimization to…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-07-05 Shanyin Tong , Eric Vanden-Eijnden , Georg Stadler

Due to the catastrophic consequences of tsunamis, early warnings need to be issued quickly in order to mitigate the hazard. Additionally, there is a need to represent the uncertainty in the predictions of tsunami characteristics…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-04 A. Sarri , S. Guillas , F. Dias

Immediately following a disaster event, such as an earthquake, estimates of the damage extent play a key role in informing the coordination of response and recovery efforts. We develop a novel impact estimation tool that leverages a…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-15 Max Anderson Loake , Hamish Patten , David Steinsaltz

The problem of submarine sediment slide which generates the surface water waves is considered. To simulate numerically the landslide motion it is used the method which permits to take into account detailed rheological properties of slide…

We propose and compare methods for the analysis of extreme events in complex systems governed by PDEs that involve random parameters, in situations where we are interested in quantifying the probability that a scalar function of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Shanyin Tong , Eric Vanden-Eijnden , Georg Stadler

The importance of the study of the propagation of a Tsunami wave came from the complex phenomenon and its natural disasters which represents a major risk for populations. To model this phenomena, we will consider a simplified Boussinesq…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-01-23 Georges Sadaka

Earthquake-induced secondary ground failure hazards, such as liquefaction and landslides, result in catastrophic building and infrastructure damage as well as human fatalities. To facilitate emergency responses and mitigate losses, the U.S.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-04-19 Susu Xu , Joshua Dimasaka , David J. Wald , Hae Young Noh

The main reason for the generation of tsunamis is the deformation of the bottom of the ocean caused by an underwater earthquake. Usually, only the vertical bottom motion is taken into account while the horizontal co-seismic displacements…

Classical Physics · Physics 2020-01-09 Denys Dutykh , Dimitrios Mitsotakis , Leonid Chubarov , Yuriy Shokin

After Aceh's quake many earthquakes have struck Indonesia alternately and even other disasters have been a threat for every citizen in this country. Actually an everyday occurrence on earth and more than 3 million earthquakes occur every…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2010-06-11 H. L. H Spits Warnars

The risk posed by tsunami waves is currently modelled over bare-earth representations by tsunami models. The complex flows around buildings and structures are crucial to represent the true state of the tsunami wave elevation, speed and…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-04-15 Jack Dignan , Joseph O'Connor , Serge Guillas
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