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We consider a stochastic model for a pathogen population in the presence of an immune response, in which pathogen types are partially ordered by ancestry and the immune system must eliminate ancestor types before it can eliminate their…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Carolina Grejo , Fabio Lopes , Fábio Machado , Alejandro Roldán-Correa

Genetic data are often used to infer demographic history and changes or detect genes under selection. Inferential methods are commonly based on models making various strong assumptions: demography and population structures are supposed…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-28 Clotilde Lepers , Sylvain Billiard , Matthieu Porte , Sylvie Méléard , Viet Chi Tran

Populations are made up of an integer number of individuals and are subject to stochastic birth-death processes whose rates may vary in time. Useful quantities, like the chance of ultimate fixation, satisfy an appropriate difference…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-22 Jayant Pande , Nadav M. Shnerb

Growth models with internal habit formation have been studied in various settings under the assumption of deterministic dynamics. The purpose of this paper is to explore a stochastic version of the model in Carroll et al. [1997, 2000], one…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Michele Aleandri , Alessandro Bondi , Fausto Gozzi

We analyse numerically the effects of small population size in the initial transient regime of a simple example population dynamics. These effects play an important role for the numerical determination of large deviation functions of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-09-28 Esteban Guevara Hidalgo , Vivien Lecomte

This article studies the quasi-stationary behaviour of population processes with unbounded absorption rate, including one-dimensional birth and death processes with catastrophes and multi-dimensional birth and death processes, modeling…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-10 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

In this paper we introduce a class of stochastic population models based on "patch dynamics". The size of the patch may be varied, and this allows one to quantify the departures of these stochastic models from various mean field theories,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-11 A. J. McKane , T. J. Newman

We consider a stochastic individual-based model of adaptive dynamics for an asexually reproducing population with mutation, with linear birth and death rates, as well as a density-dependent competition. To depict repeating changes of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-28 Manuel Esser , Anna Kraut

Here, we consider an SIS epidemic model where the individuals are distributed on several distinct patches. We construct a stochastic model and then prove that it converges to a deterministic model as the total population size tends to…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-16 T. Yeo

We are interested in the dynamics of a population structured by a phenotypic trait. Individuals reproduce sexually, which is represented by a non-linear integral operator. This operator is combined to a multiplicative operator representing…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-04-14 Gaël Raoul

We investigate extinction of a long-lived self-regulating stochastic population, caused by intrinsic (demographic) noise. Extinction typically occurs via one of two scenarios depending on whether the absorbing state n=0 is a repelling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 Michael Assaf , Baruch Meerson

Phenotypically structured equations arise in population biology to describe the interaction of species with their environment that brings the nutrients. This interaction usually leads to selection of the fittest individuals. Models used in…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Alexander Lorz , Benoit Perthame

We introduce a model in which city populations grow at rates proportional to the area of their "sphere of influence", where the influence of a city depends on its population (to power \alpha) and distance from city (to power -\beta) and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-09-25 David Aldous , Bowen Huang

Experimental work regularly finds that individual choices are not deterministically rationalized by well-defined preferences. Nonetheless, recent work shows that data collected from many individuals can be stochastically rationalized by a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-10-22 Changkuk Im , John Rehbeck

We present a generic epidemic model with stochastic parameters, in which the dynamics self-organize to a critical state with suppressed exponential growth. More precisely, the dynamics evolve into a quasi-steady-state, where the effective…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-06-16 Gil Ariel , Yoram Louzoun

We consider two versions of stochastic population models with mutation and selection. The first approach relies on a multitype branching process; here, individuals reproduce and change type (i.e., mutate) independently of each other,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-02-19 E. Baake , R. Bialowons

We study the influence of stochastic effects due to finite population size in the evolutionary dynamics of populations interacting in the multi-person Prisoner's Dilemma game. This paper is an extension of the investigation presented in a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Anders Eriksson , Kristian Lindgren

The rapid development of sequencing technologies represents new opportunities for population genetics research. It is expected that genomic data will increase our ability to reconstruct the history of populations. While this increase in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-12-04 Olivier Mazet , Willy Rodríguez , Lounès Chikhi

We study the long-time behavior of stochastic models with an absorbing state, conditioned on survival. For a large class of processes, in which saturation prevents unlimited growth, statistical properties of the surviving sample attain…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Ronald Dickman , Ronaldo Vidigal

We exhibit a stochastic discrete time model that has exactly the Eigen model as its deterministic continuous limit. Such model can be divided into two phases: reproduction followed by neutral selection. This result suggests that Eigen model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-02-03 Fabio Musso
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