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In safety-critical machine learning applications, it is crucial to defend models against adversarial attacks -- small modifications of the input that change the predictions. Besides rigorously studied $\ell_p$-bounded additive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-16 Mikhail Pautov , Nurislam Tursynbek , Marina Munkhoeva , Nikita Muravev , Aleksandr Petiushko , Ivan Oseledets

Reliable uncertainty quantification is essential in survival prediction, particularly in clinical settings where erroneous decisions carry high risk. Conformal prediction has attracted substantial attention as it offers a model-agnostic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-04 Jaeyoung Shin , Chi Hyun Lee , Sangwook Kang

We consider the problem of adaptive stabilization for discrete-time, multi-dimensional linear systems with bounded control input constraints and unbounded stochastic disturbances, where the parameters of the true system are unknown. To…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-04 Seth Siriya , Jingge Zhu , Dragan Nešić , Ye Pu

We prove risk bounds for binary classification in high-dimensional settings when the sample size is allowed to be smaller than the dimensionality of the training set observations. In particular, we prove upper bounds for both 'compressive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-29 Ata Kaban , Robert J. Durrant

Though black-box predictors are state-of-the-art for many complex tasks, they often fail to properly quantify predictive uncertainty and may provide inappropriate predictions for unfamiliar data. Instead, we can learn more reliable models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-14 Jean Feng , Arjun Sondhi , Jessica Perry , Noah Simon

In safety-critical applications of reinforcement learning such as healthcare and robotics, it is often desirable to optimize risk-sensitive objectives that account for tail outcomes rather than expected reward. We prove the first regret…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-12 O. Bastani , Y. J. Ma , E. Shen , W. Xu

Inspired by the recent work [28] on the statistical robustness of empirical risks in reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) where the training data are potentially perturbed or even corrupted, we take a step further in this paper to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-18 Sainan Zhang , Huifu Xu , Hailin Sun

Classical Bayesian persuasion assumes that senders fully understand how receivers form beliefs and make decisions--an assumption that rarely holds when receivers possess private information or exhibit non-Bayesian behavior. In this paper,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-11 Heeseung Bang , Andreas A. Malikopoulos

Conformal prediction (CP) is a general framework to quantify the predictive uncertainty of machine learning models that uses a set prediction to include the true label with a valid probability. To align the uncertainty measured by CP,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Xuesong Jia , Yuanjie Shi , Ziquan Liu , Yi Xu , Yan Yan

Conformal prediction (CP) is an emerging uncertainty quantification framework that allows us to construct a prediction set to cover the true label with a pre-specified marginal or conditional probability. Although the valid coverage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-09 Yuanjie Shi , Subhankar Ghosh , Taha Belkhouja , Janardhan Rao Doppa , Yan Yan

As machine learning models, specifically neural networks, are becoming increasingly popular, there are concerns regarding their trustworthiness, specially in safety-critical applications, e.g. actions of an autonomous vehicle must be safe.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Kshitij Goyal , Sebastijan Dumancic , Hendrik Blockeel

Conformal Prediction (CP) has recently received a tremendous amount of interest, leading to a wide range of new theoretical and methodological results for predictive inference with formal theoretical guarantees. However, the vast majority…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-22 Manit Paul , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

We develop fast distribution-free conformal prediction algorithms for obtaining multivalid coverage on exchangeable data in the batch setting. Multivalid coverage guarantees are stronger than marginal coverage guarantees in two ways: (1)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-03 Christopher Jung , Georgy Noarov , Ramya Ramalingam , Aaron Roth

Universal Approximation Theorems establish the density of various classes of neural network function approximators in $C(K, \mathbb{R}^m)$, where $K \subset \mathbb{R}^n$ is compact. In this paper, we aim to extend these guarantees by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-16 Naveen Durvasula

Science and technology have a growing need for effective mechanisms that ensure reliable, controlled performance from black-box machine learning algorithms. These performance guarantees should ideally hold conditionally on the input-that is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-28 Vincent Blot , Anastasios N Angelopoulos , Michael I Jordan , Nicolas J-B Brunel

Conformal prediction is a distribution-free and model-agnostic uncertainty-quantification method that provides finite-sample prediction intervals with guaranteed coverage. In this work, for the first time, we apply conformal-prediction to…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2026-02-02 Habib Yousefi Dezdarani , Ryan Curry , Alexandros Gezerlis

We study distribution-free predictive inference for data with group symmetries, aiming to establish near-conditional coverage guarantees beyond exchangeability for structured data. While many predictive inference methods achieve a target…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Yichen Shen , Mengxin Yu

Training certifiable neural networks enables one to obtain models with robustness guarantees against adversarial attacks. In this work, we introduce a framework to bound the adversary-free region in the neighborhood of the input data by a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-21 Chen Liu , Mathieu Salzmann , Sabine Süsstrunk

Conformal Prediction (CP) is a popular framework for constructing prediction bands with valid coverage in finite samples, while being free of any distributional assumption. A well-known limitation of conformal prediction is the lack of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Louis Allain , Sébastien da Veiga , Brian Staber

As robustness verification methods are becoming more precise, training certifiably robust neural networks is becoming ever more relevant. To this end, certified training methods compute and then optimize an upper bound on the worst-case…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-29 Yuhao Mao , Mark Niklas Müller , Marc Fischer , Martin Vechev
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