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Quantiles are a fundamental concept in probability and theoretical statistics and a daily tool in their applications. While the univariate concept of quantiles is quite clear and well understood, its multivariate extension is more…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-08 Marc Hallin , Dimitri Konen

Characteristic scale is a notion that pervades the geophysical sciences, but it has no widely accepted precise definition. The wavelet transform decomposes a time series into coefficients that are associated with different scales. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-07-26 Michael J. Keim , Donald B. Percival

In the context of post-hoc interpretability, this paper addresses the task of explaining the prediction of a classifier, considering the case where no information is available, neither on the classifier itself, nor on the processed data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-25 Thibault Laugel , Marie-Jeanne Lesot , Christophe Marsala , Xavier Renard , Marcin Detyniecki

Estimating the conditional quantile of the interested variable with respect to changes in the covariates is frequent in many economical applications as it can offer a comprehensive insight. In this paper, we propose a novel semiparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-08 Jing Lv

Variational approaches to approximate Bayesian inference provide very efficient means of performing parameter estimation and model selection. Among these, so-called variational-Laplace or VL schemes rely on Gaussian approximations to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-17 Jean Daunizeau

We show how any dataset of any modality (time-series, images, sound...) can be approximated by a well-behaved (continuous, differentiable...) scalar function with a single real-valued parameter. Building upon elementary concepts from chaos…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-23 Laurent Boué

In the context of supervised parametric models, we introduce the concept of e-values. An e-value is a scalar quantity that represents the proximity of the sampling distribution of parameter estimates in a model trained on a subset of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-19 Subhabrata Majumdar , Snigdhansu Chatterjee

Hidden variable graphical models can sometimes imply constraints on the observable distribution that are more complex than simple conditional independence relations. These observable constraints can falsify assumptions of the model that…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Michael C. Sachs , Erin E. Gabriel , Robin J. Evans , Arvid Sjölander

The ability to calculate precise likelihood ratios is fundamental to many STEM areas, such as decision-making theory, biomedical science, and engineering. However, there is no assumption-free statistical methodology to achieve this. For…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-19 Rachael L. Bond , Yang-Hui He , Thomas C. Ormerod

Suppose (standardized) measurements or statistics are monitored to raise an alarm when a threshold is exceeded. Often, the underlying population is heterogenous with respect to important discrete variables and thus samples may consist of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-10 Ansgar Steland

We propose a new variant of the semiclassical quantisation with two independent parameters. The first one is proportional to the Planck constant as usually and the second one is connected with a deviation of the given potential from a very…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-12-31 N. N. Trunov

In a Bayesian context, theoretical parameters are correlated random variables. Then, the constraints on one parameter can be improved by either measuring this parameter more precisely - or by measuring the other parameters more precisely.…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-02-17 L. Amendola , E. Sellentin

It has been argued that in supervised classification tasks, in practice it may be more sensible to perform model selection with respect to some more focused model selection score, like the supervised (conditional) marginal likelihood, than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Petri Kontkanen , Petri Myllymaki , Henry Tirri

In cases of uncertainty, a multi-class classifier preferably returns a set of candidate classes instead of predicting a single class label with little guarantee. More precisely, the classifier should strive for an optimal balance between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-28 Thomas Mortier , Marek Wydmuch , Krzysztof Dembczyński , Eyke Hüllermeier , Willem Waegeman

We present a simple method for assessing the predictive performance of high-dimensional models directly in data space when only samples are available. Our approach is to compare the quantiles of observables predicted by a model to those of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-01-16 Stephen Thorp , Hiranya V. Peiris , Daniel J. Mortlock , Justin Alsing , Boris Leistedt , Sinan Deger

This paper focuses on variable selection for a partially linear single-index varying-coefficient model. A regularized variable selection procedure by combining basis function approximations with SCAD penalty is proposed. It can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-19 Lijuan Han , Liugen Xue , Junshan Xie

This paper is devoted to the multivariate estimation of a vector of Poisson means. A novel loss function that penalises bad estimates of each of the parameters and the sum (or equivalently the mean) of the parameters is introduced. Under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-25 Emil Aas Stoltenberg , Nils Lid Hjort

The problem of identifying the most discriminating features when performing supervised learning has been extensively investigated. In particular, several methods for variable selection in model-based classification have been proposed.…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-16 Andrea Cappozzo , Francesca Greselin , Thomas Brendan Murphy

Non-parametric methods avoid the problem of having to specify a particular data generating mechanism, but can be computationally intensive, reducing their accessibility for large data problems. Empirical likelihood, a non-parametric…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-15 Adam Jaeger , Nicole Lazar

We propose a measure to compute class similarity in large-scale classification based on prediction scores. Such measure has not been formally pro-posed in the literature. We show how visualizing the class similarity matrix can reveal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-21 Bilal Alsallakh , Zhixin Yan , Shabnam Ghaffarzadegan , Zeng Dai , Liu Ren
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