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This paper introduces a framework for capturing stochasticity of choice probabilities in neural networks, derived from and fully consistent with the Random Utility Maximization (RUM) theory, referred to as RUM-NN. Neural network models show…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-10 Niousha Bagheri , Milad Ghasri , Michael Barlow

Motivated by the successes of deep learning, we propose a class of neural network-based discrete choice models, called RUMnets, inspired by the random utility maximization (RUM) framework. This model formulates the agents' random utility…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-21 Ali Aouad , Antoine Désir

Discrete-choice models are a powerful framework for analyzing decision-making behavior to provide valuable insights for policymakers and businesses. Multinomial logit models (MNLs) with linear utility functions have been used in practice…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Tomoki Nishi , Yusuke Hara

A data-driven approach called CaNN (Calibration Neural Network) is proposed to calibrate financial asset price models using an Artificial Neural Network (ANN). Determining optimal values of the model parameters is formulated as training…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-03 Shuaiqiang Liu , Anastasia Borovykh , Lech A. Grzelak , Cornelis W. Oosterlee

Whereas deep neural network (DNN) is increasingly applied to choice analysis, it is challenging to reconcile domain-specific behavioral knowledge with generic-purpose DNN, to improve DNN's interpretability and predictive power, and to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-06 Shenhao Wang , Baichuan Mo , Jinhua Zhao

Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) have been employed for a range of modelling and prediction tasks using financial data. However, evidence on their predictive performance, especially for time-series data, has been mixed. Whereas some…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-17 Philipp Ratz

We study a dynamic generalization of stochastic rationality in consumer behavior, the Dynamic Random Utility Model (DRUM). Under DRUM, a consumer draws a utility function from a stochastic utility process and maximizes this utility subject…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-04-18 Nail Kashaev , Victor H. Aguiar

This paper examines the Random Utility Model (RUM) in repeated stochastic choice settings where decision-makers lack full information about payoffs. We propose a gradient-based learning algorithm that embeds RUM into an online…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-06-23 Emerson Melo

The present document delineates the analysis, design, implementation, and benchmarking of various neural network architectures within a short-term frequency prediction system for the foreign exchange market (FOREX). Our aim is to simulate…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-15 Theodoros Zafeiriou , Dimitris Kalles

In many choice modeling applications, people demand is frequently characterized as multiple discrete, which means that people choose multiple items simultaneously. The analysis and prediction of people behavior in multiple discrete choice…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-08 Hung Tran , Tien Mai

The (static) utility maximization model of Afriat (1967), which is the standard in analysing choice behavior, is under scrutiny. We propose the Dynamic Random Utility Model (DRUM) that is more flexible than the framework of Afriat (1967)…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-08-04 Nail Kashaev , Victor H. Aguiar , Martin Plávala , Charles Gauthier

Artificial neural networks (ANNs) have recently also been applied to solve partial differential equations (PDEs). In this work, the classical problem of pricing European and American financial options, based on the corresponding PDE…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-26 Beatriz Salvador , Cornelis W. Oosterlee , Remco van der Meer

The Random Utility Model (RUM) is the gold standard in describing the behavior of a population of consumers. The RUM operates under the assumption of transitivity in consumers' preference relationships, but the empirical literature has…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-06-21 Wilfried Youmbi

The Random Utility Model (RUM) is the leading model to represent the aggregate choices of a heterogeneous population of preference maximizers. We show that if (and only if) preferences are sufficiently uncorrelated, RUM choices can also be…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-05-29 Daniele Caliari , Henrik Petri

Artificial Neural Network (ANN)-based inference on battery-powered devices can be made more energy-efficient by restricting the synaptic weights to be binary, hence eliminating the need to perform multiplications. An alternative, emerging,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-16 Hyeryung Jang , Nicolas Skatchkovsky , Osvaldo Simeone

This paper integrates deep neural networks (DNNs) into structural economic models to increase flexibility and capture rich heterogeneity while preserving interpretability. Economic structure and machine learning are complements in empirical…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-28 Max H. Farrell , Tengyuan Liang , Sanjog Misra

This paper introduces the RUMBoost model, a novel discrete choice modelling approach that combines the interpretability and behavioural robustness of Random Utility Models (RUMs) with the generalisation and predictive ability of deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Nicolas Salvadé , Tim Hillel

The random utility model (RUM, McFadden and Richter, 1990) has been the standard tool to describe the behavior of a population of decision makers. RUM assumes that decision makers behave as if they maximize a rational preference over a…

General Economics · Economics 2022-07-05 Victor H. Aguiar , Maria Jose Boccardi , Nail Kashaev , Jeongbin Kim

This study proposes a novel approach that combines theory and data-driven choice models using Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs). In particular, we use continuous vector representations, called embeddings, for encoding categorical or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-01 Ioanna Arkoudi , Carlos Lima Azevedo , Francisco C. Pereira

Artificial neural networks (ANNs), inspired by the interconnection of real neurons, have achieved unprecedented success in various fields such as computer vision and natural language processing. Recently, a novel mathematical ANN model,…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-09-15 Yu Ding , Jun Yu , Chunzhi Gu , Shangce Gao , Chao Zhang
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