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In Oncology, trials evaluating drug combinations are becoming more common. While combination therapies bring the potential for greater efficacy, they also create unique challenges for ensuring drug safety. In Phase-I dose escalation trials…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-23 Lukas A. Widmer , Andrew Bean , David Ohlssen , Sebastian Weber

Background Hybrid clinical trial design integrates randomized controlled trials (RCTs) with real-world data (RWD) to enhance efficiency through dynamic incorporation of external data. Existing methods like the Meta-Analytic Predictive Prior…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Keer Chen , Zengyue Zheng , Pengfei Zhu , Shuping Jiang , Nan Li , Jumin Deng , Pingyan Chen , Zhenyu Wu , Ying Wu

Bayesian Optimization aims at optimizing an unknown non-convex/concave function that is costly to evaluate. We are interested in application scenarios where concurrent function evaluations are possible. Under such a setting, BO could choose…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-05-02 Javad Azimi , Ali Jalali , Xiaoli Fern

Digital twins have been actively explored in many engineering applications, such as manufacturing and autonomous systems. However, model discrepancy is ubiquitous in most digital twin models and has significant impacts on the performance of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Huchen Yang , Chuanqi Chen , Jin-Long Wu

It is crucial to design Phase II cancer clinical trials that balance the efficiency of treatment selection with clinical practicality. Sargent and Goldberg proposed a frequentist design that allow decision-making even when the primary…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-15 Moka Komaki , Satoru Shinoda , Haiyan Zheng , Kouji Yamamoto

Discovering new physical products and processes often demands enormous experimentation and expensive simulation. To design a new product with certain target characteristics, an extensive search is performed in the design space by trying out…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-16 Phuoc Nguyen , Truyen Tran , Sunil Gupta , Santu Rana , Svetha Venkatesh

Important objectives in cancer research are the prediction of a patient's risk based on molecular measurements such as gene expression data and the identification of new prognostic biomarkers (e.g. genes). In clinical practice, this is…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-17 Katrin Madjar , Manuela Zucknick , Katja Ickstadt , Jörg Rahnenführer

Bayesian optimization works effectively optimizing parameters in black-box problems. However, this method did not work for high-dimensional parameters in limited trials. Parameters can be efficiently explored by nonlinearly embedding them…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Shoki Miyagawa , Atsuyoshi Yano , Naoko Sawada , Isamu Ogawa

Scientific advancement is universally based on the dynamic interplay between theoretical insights, modelling, and experimental discoveries. However, this feedback loop is often slow, including delayed community interactions and the gradual…

In recent years, real-world external controls have grown in popularity as a tool to empower randomized placebo-controlled trials, particularly in rare diseases or cases where balanced randomization is unethical or impractical. However, as…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-14 Chenyin Gao , Shu Yang , Mingyang Shan , Wenyu Ye , Ilya Lipkovich , Douglas Faries

Drug combination trials are increasingly common nowadays in clinical research. However, very few methods have been developed to consider toxicity attributions in the dose escalation process. We are motivated by a trial in which the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-23 Jose L. Jimenez , Mourad Tighiouart , Mauro Gasparini

One way to reduce the time of conducting optimization studies is to evaluate designs in parallel rather than just one-at-a-time. For expensive-to-evaluate black-boxes, batch versions of Bayesian optimization have been proposed. They work by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-04 Mickael Binois , Nicholson Collier , Jonathan Ozik

Under a generalised estimating equation analysis approach, approximate design theory is used to determine Bayesian D-optimal designs. For two examples, considering simple exchangeable and exponential decay correlation structures, we compare…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-16 Laura Etfer , James M. S. Wason , Michael J. Grayling

Understanding how stochastic gene expression is regulated in biological systems using snapshots of single-cell transcripts requires state-of-the-art methods of computational analysis and statistical inference. A Bayesian approach to…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-10 Yen Ting Lin , Nicolas E. Buchler

Accelerated discovery in materials science demands autonomous systems capable of dynamically formulating and solving design problems. In this work, we introduce a novel framework that leverages Bayesian optimization over a problem…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-11 Danial Khatamsaz , Joseph Wagner , Brent Vela , Raymundo Arroyave , Douglas L. Allaire

Practical employment of Bayesian trial designs is still rare. Even if accepted in principle, the regulators have commonly required that such designs be calibrated according to an upper bound for the frequentist type I error rate. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-25 Elja Arjas , Dario Gasbarra

The planning and conduct of animal experiments in the European Union is subject to strict legal conditions. Still, many preclinical animal experiments are only poorly designed. As a consequence, discoveries that are made in one animal…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-16 Theresa Unseld

Optimizing high-performance power electronic equipment, such as power converters, requires multiscale simulations that incorporate the physics of power semiconductor devices and the dynamics of other circuit components, especially in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-20 Qingyuan Shi , Chijie Zhuang , Jiapeng Liu , Bo Lin , Xiyu Peng , Dan Wu , Zhicheng Liu , Rong Zeng

This study examines the application of Bayesian approach in the context of clinical trials, emphasizing their increasing importance in contemporary biomedical research. While conventional frequentist approach provides a foundational basis…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Paramahansa Pramanik , Arnab Kumar Maity , Anjan Mandal , Haley Kate Robinson

Platform trials are a more efficient way of testing multiple treatments compared to running separate trials. In this paper we consider platform trials where, if a treatment is found to be superior to the control, it will become the new…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-30 Peter Greenstreet , Thomas Jaki , Alun Bedding , Pavel Mozgunov