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We consider non-linear evolution equations arising from mean-field limits of particle systems on discrete spaces. We investigate a notion of curvature bounds for these dynamics based on convexity of the free energy along interpolations in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-04 Matthias Erbar , Max Fathi , André Schlichting

We define the projected entropy S(T) at a given temperature T in the context of an Ising model transition matrix calculation as the entropy associated with the distribution of Markov chain realizations in energy-magnetization, E-H, space.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-10-17 David Yevick

We prove sharpness of the phase transition for the random-cluster model with $q \geq 1$ on graphs of the form $\mathcal{S} := \mathcal{G} \times S$, where $\mathcal{G}$ is a planar lattice with mild symmetry assumptions, and $S$ a finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-17 Ioan Manolescu , Aran Raoufi

Consider a low temperature stochastic Ising model in the phase coexistence regime with Markov semigroup $P_t$. A fundamental and still largely open problem is the understanding of the long time behavior of $\d_\h P_t$ when the initial…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-05 Pietro Caputo , Fabio Martinelli

Phase-type distribution has been an important probabilistic tool in the analysis of complex stochastic system evolution. It was introduced by Neuts \cite{Neuts1975} in 1975. The model describes the lifetime distribution of a finite-state…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-14 B. A. Surya

Diffusion models perform remarkably well on high-dimensional data such as images, often using only a modest number of reverse-time steps. Despite this practical success, existing convergence theory does not fully explain why such samplers…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Ahmad Aghapour , Erhan Bayraktar

The Hamiltonian Mean Field (HMF) model has a low-energy phase where $N$ particles are trapped inside a cluster. Here, we investigate some properties of the trapping/untrapping mechanism of a single particle into/outside the cluster. Since…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-11-25 Hiroko Koyama , Tetsuro Konishi , Stefano Ruffo

The dynamics of quantum information in many-body systems with large onsite Hilbert space dimension admits an enlightening description in terms of effective statistical mechanics models. Motivated by this fact, we reveal a connection between…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-06-30 Andrew A. Allocca , Conner LeMaire , Thomas Iadecola , Justin H. Wilson

Many complex dynamical systems in the real world, including ecological, climate, financial, and power-grid systems, often show critical transitions, or tipping points, in which the system's dynamics suddenly transit into a qualitatively…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-05-19 Prosenjit Kundu , Neil G. MacLaren , Hiroshi Kori , Naoki Masuda

Inverse problems arise in situations where data is available, but the underlying model is not. It can therefore be necessary to infer the parameters of the latter starting from the former. Statistical mechanics offers a toolbox of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-07-04 Stefano Bae , Dario Bocchi , Luca Maria Del Bono , Luca Leuzzi

Parallel tempering (PT) methods are a popular class of Markov chain Monte Carlo schemes used to sample complex high-dimensional probability distributions. They rely on a collection of $N$ interacting auxiliary chains targeting tempered…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-28 Saifuddin Syed , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

Traditional initialisation methods, e.g. He and Xavier, have been effective in avoiding the problem of vanishing or exploding gradients in neural networks. However, they only use simple pointwise distributions, which model one-dimensional…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Christian Harder , Moritz Fuchs , Yuri Tolkach , Anirban Mukhopadhyay

Iterative load balancing algorithms for indivisible tokens have been studied intensively in the past. Complementing previous worst-case analyses, we study an average-case scenario where the load inputs are drawn from a fixed probability…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2017-03-28 Leran Cai , Thomas Sauerwald

The stochastic volatility model is a popular tool for modeling the volatility of assets. The model is a nonlinear and non-Gaussian state space model, and consequently is difficult to fit. Many approaches, both classical and Bayesian, have…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-22 Chen Gong , David S. Stoffer

Random metastability occurs when an externally forced or noisy system possesses more than one state of apparent equilibrium. This work investigates fluctuations in a class of random dynamical systems, arising from randomly perturbing a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-05-30 Cecilia González-Tokman , Joshua Peters

Moment-closure methods are popular tools to simplify the mathematical analysis of stochastic models defined on networks, in which high dimensional joint distributions are approximated (often by some heuristic argument) as functions of lower…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-05-25 Tim Rogers

For predictive modeling relying on Bayesian inversion, fully independent, or ``mean-field'', Gaussian distributions are often used as approximate probability density functions in variational inference since the number of variational…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-14 Wyatt Bridgman , Reese Jones , Mohammad Khalil

Finding the correct encoding for a generic dynamical system's trajectory is a complicated task: the symbolic sequence needs to preserve the invariant properties from the system's trajectory. In theory, the solution to this problem is found…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-04-18 Nicolás Rubido , Celso Grebogi , Murilo S. Baptista

Multiplex networks are a common modeling framework for interconnected systems and multimodal data, yet we still lack fundamental insights for how multiplexity affects stochastic processes. We introduce a novel ``Markov chains of Markov…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-05 Dane Taylor

It is common practice in Markov chain Monte Carlo to update the simulation one variable (or sub-block of variables) at a time, rather than conduct a single full-dimensional update. When it is possible to draw from each full-conditional…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-03 Alicia A. Johnson , Galin L. Jones , Ronald C. Neath