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Structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) models are widely used to analyze the simultaneous relationships between multiple time-dependent data. Various statistical inference methods have been studied to overcome the identification problems…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-18 Masato Shimokawa , Kou Fujimori

This paper considers inference for conditional moment inequality models using a multiscale statistic. We derive the asymptotic distribution of this test statistic and use the result to propose feasible critical values that have a simple…

Applications · Statistics 2015-12-10 Timothy B. Armstrong , Hock Peng Chan

We discuss a class of difference-based estimators for the autocovariance in nonparametric regression when the signal is discontinuous (change-point regression), possibly highly fluctuating, and the errors form a stationary $m$-dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-09 Inder Tecuapetla-Gómez , Axel Munk

This work deals with the limiting distribution of the least squares estimators of the coefficients a r of an explosive periodic autoregressive of order 1 (PAR(1)) time series X r = a r X r--1 +u r when the innovation {u k } is strongly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-12 Dominique Dehay

In this paper, we propose deep partial least squares for the estimation of high-dimensional nonlinear instrumental variable regression. As a precursor to a flexible deep neural network architecture, our methodology uses partial least…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-06 Maria Nareklishvili , Nicholas Polson , Vadim Sokolov

This paper investigates the size performance of Wald tests for CAViaR models (Engle and Manganelli, 2004). We find that the usual estimation strategy on test statistics yields inaccuracies. Indeed, we show that existing density estimation…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-03 Alain Hecq , Li Sun

High-dimensional time series are a core ingredient of the statistical modeling toolkit, for which numerous estimation methods are known.But when observations are scarce or corrupted, the learning task becomes much harder.The question is:…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-06 Guillaume Dalle , Yohann de Castro

This paper studies new tests for the number of latent factors in a large cross-sectional factor model with small time dimension. These tests are based on the eigenvalues of variance-covariance matrices of (possibly weighted) asset returns,…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-10-31 Alain-Philippe Fortin , Patrick Gagliardini , Olivier Scaillet

Parametric hypothesis testing associated with two independent samples arises frequently in several applications in biology, medical sciences, epidemiology, reliability and many more. In this paper, we propose robust Wald-type tests for…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-09 Abhik Ghosh , Nirian Martin , Ayanendranath Basu , Leandro Pardo

A wide literature is available on the asymptotic behavior of the Durbin-Watson statistic for autoregressive models. However, it is impossible to find results on the Durbin-Watson statistic for autoregressive models with adaptive control.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-23 Bernard Bercu , Bruno Portier , Victor Vazquez

This paper deals with improvement of linear quantile regression, when there are a few distinct values of the covariates but many replicates. On can improve asymptotic efficiency of the estimated regression coefficients by using suitable…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-30 Kaushik Jana , Debasis Sengupta

This paper derives the asymptotic distribution of variance weighted Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistics for conditional moment inequality models for the case of a one dimensional covariate. The asymptotic distribution depends on the data…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-02 Timothy B. Armstrong

The class of autoregressive (AR) processes is extensively used to model temporal dependence in observed time series. Such models are easily available and routinely fitted using freely available statistical software like R. A potential…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-13 Sigrunn H. Sørbye , Pedro G. Nicolau , Håvard Rue

This paper proposes the capped least squares regression with an adaptive resistance parameter, hence the name, adaptive capped least squares regression. The key observation is, by taking the resistant parameter to be data dependent, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-02 Qiang Sun , Rui Mao , Wen-Xin Zhou

In this paper we propose a solution to the problem of parameter estimation of nonlinearly parameterized regressions--continuous or discrete time--and apply it for system identification and adaptive control. We restrict our attention to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-18 Romeo Ortega , Vladislav Gromov , Emmanuel Nuño , Anton Pyrkin , Jose Guadalupe Romero

Conditions are obtained for a Gaussian vector autoregressive time series of order $k$, VAR($k$), to have univariate margins that are autoregressive of order $k$ or lower-dimensional margins that are also VAR($k$). This can lead to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-25 Lin Zhang , Harry Joe , Natalia Nolde

A novel first-order autoregressive moving average model for analyzing discrete-time series observed at irregularly spaced times is introduced. Under Gaussianity, it is established that the model is strictly stationary and ergodic. In the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-31 Cesar Ojeda , Wilfredo Palma , Susana Eyheramendy , Felipe Elorrieta

The purpose of this paper is to propose a time-varying vector autoregressive model (TV-VAR) for forecasting multivariate time series. The model is casted into a state-space form that allows flexible description and analysis. The volatility…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 K. Triantafyllopoulos

In this note a new high performance least squares parameter estimator is proposed. The main features of the estimator are: (i) global exponential convergence is guaranteed for all identifiable linear regression equations; (ii) it…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Romeo Ortega , Jose Guadalupe Romero , Stanislav Aranovskiy

We propose a pointwise inference algorithm for high-dimensional linear models with time-varying coefficients. The method is based on a novel combination of the nonparametric kernel smoothing technique and a Lasso bias-corrected ridge…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-17 Xiaohui Chen , Yifeng He