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It is becoming increasingly apparent that probabilistic approaches can overcome conservatism and computational complexity of the classical worst-case deterministic framework and may lead to designs that are actually safer. In this paper we…

Applications · Statistics 2008-11-01 Xinjia Chen , Kemin Zhou , Jorge L. Aravena

Projection-based model order reduction of dynamical systems usually introduces an error between the high-fidelity model and its counterpart of lower dimension. This unknown error can be bounded by residual-based methods, which are typically…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-03-31 Johannes Rettberg , Dominik Wittwar , Patrick Buchfink , Robin Herkert , Jörg Fehr , Bernard Haasdonk

This guide provides a reference for high-probability regret bounds in empirical risk minimization (ERM). The presentation is modular: we begin with intuition and general proof strategies, then state broadly applicable guarantees under…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-04 Lars van der Laan

In backward error analysis, an approximate solution to an equation is compared to the exact solution to a nearby modified equation. In numerical ordinary differential equations, the two agree up to any power of the step size. If the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-07-21 Robert I McLachlan , Christian Offen

In computational inverse problems, it is common that a detailed and accurate forward model is approximated by a computationally less challenging substitute. The model reduction may be necessary to meet constraints in computing time when…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-14 Daniela Calvetti , Matthew M. Dunlop , Erkki Somersalo , Andrew M. Stuart

The support recovery problem consists of determining a sparse subset of a set of variables that is relevant in generating a set of observations, and arises in a diverse range of settings such as compressive sensing, and subset selection in…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-08-31 Jonathan Scarlett , Volkan Cevher

A new deterministic floating-point arithmetic called precision arithmetic is developed to track precision for arithmetic calculations. It uses a novel rounding scheme to avoid excessive rounding error propagation of conventional…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2025-10-20 Chengpu Wang

Signal processing makes extensive use of point estimators and accompanying error bounds. These work well up until the likelihood function has two or more high peaks. When it is important for an estimator to remain reliable, it becomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Ning Xu , Christopher M. Foster , Jonathan H. Manton

AIMS. The maximum-likelihood method is the standard approach to obtain model fits to observational data and the corresponding confidence regions. We investigate possible sources of bias in the log-likelihood function and its subsequent…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-11 J. Hartlap , P. Simon , P. Schneider

A posteriori error estimates are an important tool to bound discretization errors in terms of computable quantities avoiding regularity conditions that are often difficult to establish. For non-linear and non-differentiable problems,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-06-12 Sören Bartels , Alex Kaltenbach

Coherent lower previsions are general probabilistic models allowing incompletely specified probability distributions. However, for complete description of a coherent lower prevision -- even on finite underlying sample spaces -- an infinite…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-29 Damjan Škulj

Calibrated probability outputs of trained classifiers are increasingly used as inputs to downstream regression estimands such as effects, prevalences, or disparities for a latent group observed only on a small labelled subset. A standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Marcell T. Kurbucz

Selection bias arises when the probability that an observation enters a dataset depends on variables related to the quantities of interest, leading to systematic distortions in estimation and uncertainty quantification. For example, in…

We mechanize the fundamental properties of a rounding error model for floating-point arithmetic based on relative precision, a measure of error proposed as a substitute for relative error in rounding error analysis. A key property of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-16 Max Fan , Ariel E. Kellison , Samuel D. Pollard

We develop the \textit{a posteriori} error analysis of three mixed finite element formulations for rotation-based equations in elasticity, poroelasticity, and interfacial elasticity-poroelasticity. The discretisations use $H^1$-conforming…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-18 VerÓnica Anaya , Arbaz Khan , David Mora , Ricardo Ruiz-Baier

We prove risk bounds for binary classification in high-dimensional settings when the sample size is allowed to be smaller than the dimensionality of the training set observations. In particular, we prove upper bounds for both 'compressive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-29 Ata Kaban , Robert J. Durrant

Algorithms operating on real numbers are implemented as floating-point computations in practice, but floating-point operations introduce roundoff errors that can degrade the accuracy of the result. We propose $\Lambda_{num}$, a functional…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2025-04-10 Ariel E. Kellison , Justin Hsu

In this paper, we develop efficient randomized algorithms for estimating probabilistic robustness margin and constructing robustness degradation curve for uncertain dynamic systems. One remarkable feature of these algorithms is their…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-05-13 Xinjia Chen , Kemin Zhou , Jorge L. Aravena

Compression of floating-point data will play an important role in high-performance computing as data bandwidth and storage become dominant costs. Lossy compression of floating-point data is powerful, but theoretical results are needed to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-03 James Diffenderfer , Alyson Fox , Jeffrey Hittinger , Geoffrey Sanders , Peter Lindstrom

In this paper, we develop a general approach for probabilistic estimation and optimization. An explicit formula and a computational approach are established for controlling the reliability of probabilistic estimation based on a mixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-06 Xinjia Chen