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Modern macroeconomic theories were unable to foresee the last Great Recession and could neither predict its prolonged duration nor the recovery rate. They are based on supply-demand equilibria that do not exist during recessionary shocks.…

General Economics · Economics 2019-06-19 Peter Klimek , Sebastian Poledna , Stefan Thurner

Empirical evidence suggests that the rich have higher propensity to save than do the poor. While this observation may appear to contradict the homotheticity of preferences, we theoretically show that that is not the case. Specifically, we…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-02-02 Qingyin Ma , Alexis Akira Toda

An important issue within the present economic crisis is understanding the dynamics of the public debt of a given country, and how the behavior of average consumers and tax payers in that country affects it. Starting from a model of the…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-28 Roberto De Luca , Marco Di Mauro , Angelo Falzarano , Adele Naddeo

In the recent times of global Covid pandemic, the Federal Reserve has raised the concerns of upsurges in prices. Given the complexity of interaction between inflation and inequality, we examine whether the impact of inflation on inequality…

General Economics · Economics 2022-02-14 Edmond Berisha , Ram Sewak Dubey , Orkideh Gharehgozli

This paper adapts ideas from social identity theory to set out a new framework for modelling conspicuous consumption. Agents derive utility from their consumption of a status good and from belonging to an identity group with high status…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-10 Alastair Langtry , Christian Ghiglino

We propose a novel framework for modeling time-varying persistence in economic time series, allowing for smoothly evolving heterogeneity in shock dynamics. We leverage localized regression techniques to flexibly identify changes in…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-06 Jozef Barunik , Lukas Vacha

Understanding the energy consumption patterns of different types of consumers is essential in any planning of energy distribution. However, obtaining consumption information for single individuals is often either not possible or too…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-24 Amanda Lenzi , Camila P. E. de Souza , Ronaldo Dias , Nancy Garcia , Nancy E. Heckman

There are hidden observables for inflation, such as features localized in position space, which do not manifest themselves when only one inflation trajectory is considered. To address this issue, we investigate inflation dynamics in a…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2012-10-02 Francis Duplessis , Yi Wang , Robert Brandenberger

Income segregation measures the extent to which households choose to live near other households with similar incomes. Sociologists theorize that income segregation can exacerbate the impacts of income inequality, and have developed indices…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-24 Matthew Simpson , Scott H. Holan , Christopher K. Wikle , Jonathan R. Bradley

The study of human mobility patterns is a crucially important research field for its impact on several socio-economic aspects and, in particular, the measure of regularity patters of human mobility can provide a across-the-board view of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-20 Fabio Vanni , David Lambert

The study and measurement of economic resilience is ruled by high level of complexity related to the diverse structure, functionality, spatiality, and dynamics describing economic systems. Towards serving the demand of integration, this…

General Economics · Economics 2022-02-18 Dimitrios Tsiotas

The American economy can be thought of as a highly connected random network in terms of both its technological and informational connections. The cumulative size of economic recessions, the fall in output from peak to trough, is analysed…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Paul Ormerod

The distribution of money is analysed in connection with the Boltzmann distribution of energy in the degenerate states of molecules. Plots of the population density of income distribution for various countries are well reproduced by a Gamma…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Juan C. Ferrero

Economic shocks due to Covid-19 were exceptional in their severity, suddenness and heterogeneity across industries. To study the upstream and downstream propagation of these industry-specific demand and supply shocks, we build a dynamic…

General Economics · Economics 2021-02-22 Anton Pichler , Marco Pangallo , R. Maria del Rio-Chanona , François Lafond , J. Doyne Farmer

In this article, I present a new approach and a novel model to the study of the life cycle of wages. The key idea is that wage can be thought as remuneration paid for the competency. It is assumed with the approach that there are three…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 S. I. Maximov

We study the dynamics of correlation and variance in systems under the load of environmental factors. A universal effect in ensembles of similar systems under the load of similar factors is described: in crisis, typically, even before…

Biological Physics · Physics 2010-08-27 A. N. Gorban , E. V. Smirnova , T. A. Tyukina

This study explores the interdependent relationship between consumer credit and consumer confidence in the United States using monthly data from January 1978 to August 2024. Utilizing a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), the analysis…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-29 Samiha Tariq , Weikang Zhang

A microeconomic approach is proposed to derive the fluctuations of risky asset price, where the market participants are modeled as prospect trading agents. As asset price is generated by the temporary equilibrium between demand and supply,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-31 Yipeng Yang , Allanus Tsoi

We analyze the harvesting and stocking of a population that is affected by random and seasonal environmental fluctuations. The main novelty comes from having three layers of environmental fluctuations. The first layer is due to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-10 Alexandru Hening , Ky Q. Tran , Sergiu C. Ungureanu

An innovative method is proposed to construct a quantile dependence system for inflation and money growth. By considering all quantiles and leveraging a novel notion of quantile sensitivity, the method allows the assessment of changes in…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-20 Matteo Iacopini , Aubrey Poon , Luca Rossini , Dan Zhu