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A foundational challenge in uncertainty quantification involves estimating a probability measure on the space of uncertain parameters such that its push-forward through a computational model matches an observed probability measure on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Tianyi Jiang , Troy Butler , Timothy Wildey , Tim Kutta , Haonan Wang

The ability to design effective experiments is crucial for obtaining data that can substantially reduce the uncertainty in the predictions made using computational models. An optimal experimental design (OED) refers to the choice of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-17 Troy Butler , John Jakeman , Michael Pilosov , Scott Walsh , Timothy Wildey

We introduce a novel data-driven method to mitigate the risk of cascading failures in delayed discrete-time Linear Time-Invariant (LTI) systems. Our approach involves formulating a distributionally robust finite-horizon optimal control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-19 Guangyi Liu , Arash Amini , Vivek Pandey , Nader Motee

We formulate, and present a numerical method for solving, an inverse problem for inferring parameters of a deterministic model from stochastic observational data (quantities of interest). The solution, given as a probability measure, is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-04 T. Butler , J. D. Jakeman , T. Wildey

A fundamental problem of statistical data analysis, distribution density estimation by experimental data, is considered. A new method with optimal asymptotic behavior, the root density estimator, is developed. The method proposed may be…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Yu. I. Bogdanov

We analyze the convergence of probability density functions utilizing approximate models for both forward and inverse problems. We consider the standard forward uncertainty quantification problem where an assumed probability density on…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-04 T. Butler , J. D. Jakeman , T. Wildey

Over the last decade, a series of applied mathematics papers have explored a type of inverse problem--called by a variety of names including "inverse sensitivity", "pushforward based inference", "consistent Bayesian inference", or…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-30 Peter W. Marcy , Rebecca E. Morrison

Diffusion models have become a successful approach for solving various image inverse problems by providing a powerful diffusion prior. Many studies tried to combine the measurement into diffusion by score function replacement, matrix…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-20 Hanyu Chen , Zhixiu Hao , Liying Xiao

Many stochastic optimization problems include chance constraints that enforce constraint satisfaction with a specific probability; however, solving an optimization problem with chance constraints assumes that the solver has access to the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-21 Joshua Comden , Ahmed S. Zamzam , Andrey Bernstein

We propose optimal dimensionality reduction techniques for the solution of goal-oriented linear-Gaussian inverse problems, where the quantity of interest (QoI) is a function of the inversion parameters. These approximations are suitable for…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-16 Alessio Spantini , Tiangang Cui , Karen Willcox , Luis Tenorio , Youssef Marzouk

We investigate the convergence rates of variational posterior distributions for statistical inverse problems involving nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs). Departing from exact Bayesian inference, variational inference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Shaokang Zu , Junxiong Jia , Deyu Meng

Diffusion models have recently emerged as powerful generative priors for solving inverse problems. However, training diffusion models in the pixel space are both data-intensive and computationally demanding, which restricts their…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-17 Bowen Song , Soo Min Kwon , Zecheng Zhang , Xinyu Hu , Qing Qu , Liyue Shen

This paper introduces a statistical treatment of inverse problems constrained by models with stochastic terms. The solution of the forward problem is given by a distribution represented numerically by an ensemble of simulations. The goal is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-04-17 Emil M. Constantinescu , Noemi Petra , Julie Bessac , Cosmin G. Petra

Bayesian inference provides a powerful tool for leveraging observational data to inform model predictions and uncertainties. However, when such data is limited, Bayesian inference may not adequately constrain uncertainty without the use of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-26 Rebekah D. White , John D. Jakeman , Tim Wildey , Troy Butler

Inverse problems exist in many disciplines of science and engineering. In computer vision, for example, tasks such as inpainting, deblurring, and super resolution can be effectively modeled as inverse problems. Recently, denoising diffusion…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-31 Shayan Mohajer Hamidi , En-Hui Yang

Inverse problems involving systems of partial differential equations (PDEs) with many measurements or experiments can be very expensive to solve numerically. In a recent paper we examined dimensionality reduction methods, both stochastic…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2014-12-02 Farbod Roosta-Khorasani , Kees van den Doel , Uri Ascher

We consider the problem of direct data-driven predictive control for unknown stochastic linear time-invariant (LTI) systems with partial state observation. Building upon our previous research on data-driven stochastic control, this paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-12 Ruiqi Li , John W. Simpson-Porco , Stephen L. Smith

A quality-Bayesian approach, combining the direct sampling method and the Bayesian inversion, is proposed to reconstruct the locations and intensities of the unknown acoustic sources using partial data. First, we extend the direct sampling…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-10 Zhaoxing Li , Yanfang Liu , Jiguang Sun , Liwei Xu

Stochastic inverse problems considered in this article consist of estimating the probability distributions of intrinsically random inputs of computer models. These estimations are based on observable outputs affected by model noise, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-17 Nicolas Bousquet , Mélanie Blazère , Thomas Cerbelaud

Recent studies on inverse problems have proposed posterior samplers that leverage the pre-trained diffusion models as powerful priors. These attempts have paved the way for using diffusion models in a wide range of inverse problems.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Sojin Lee , Dogyun Park , Inho Kong , Hyunwoo J. Kim
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