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We propose a Bayesian method to detect change points for functional data. We extract the features of a sequence of functional data by the discrete wavelet transform (DWT), and treat each sequence of feature independently. We believe there…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-06 Xiuqi Li , Subhashis Ghosal

We develop a new VAR model for structural analysis with mixed-frequency data. The MIDAS-SVAR model allows to identify structural dynamic links exploiting the information contained in variables sampled at different frequencies. It also…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-02-05 Emanuele Bacchiocchi , Andrea Bastianin , Alessandro Missale , Eduardo Rossi

Non-stationarity of the rate or variance of events is a well-known problem in the description and analysis of time series of events, such as neuronal spike trains. A multiple filter test (MFT) for rate homogeneity has been proposed earlier…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-03 Stefan Albert , Michael Messer , Julia Schiemann , Jochen Roeper , Gaby Schneider

Among the various factors affecting the firms positioning and performance in modern day markets, capital structure of the firm has its own way of expressing itself as a crucial one. With the rapid changes in technology, firms are being…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-27 Kurada T S S Satyanarayana , Addada Narasimha Rao

With the emergence of high-frequency connected and automated vehicle data, analysts have become able to extract useful information from them. To this end, the concept of "driving volatility" is defined and explored as deviation from the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-05-16 Mohsen Kamrani , Ramin Arvin , Asad J. Khattak

In this paper, we are concerned with nonparametric inference on the volatility of volatility process in stochastic volatility models. We construct several estimators for its integrated version in a high-frequency setting, all based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-30 Mathias Vetter

We consider the structural change in a class of discrete valued time series that the conditional distribution follows a one-parameter exponential family. We propose a change-point test based on the maximum likelihood estimator of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne

Feature models are widely used to capture the configuration space of software systems. Although automated reasoning has been studied for detecting problematic features and supporting configuration tasks, significantly less attention has…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Jose Manuel Sanchez , Miguel Angel Olivero , Ruben Heradio , Luis Cambelo , David Fernandez-Amoros

Morphological development into evolutionary patterns under structural instability is ubiquitous in living systems and often of vital importance for engineering structures. Here we propose a data-driven approach to understand and predict…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2024-07-23 Yingjie Zhao , Zhiping Xu

To predict the future movements of stock markets, numerous studies concentrate on daily data and employ various machine learning (ML) models as benchmarks that often vary and lack standardization across different research works. This paper…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-16 Han Gui

Real-world systems are often complex, dynamic, and nonlinear. Understanding the dynamics of a system from its observed time series is key to the prediction and control of the system's behavior. While most existing techniques tacitly assume…

Computation · Statistics 2015-05-19 Bing Wang , Jie Sun , Adilson E. Motter

There may be structural principles pertaining to the general behavior of systems that lead to similarities in a variety of different contexts. Classic examples include the descriptive power of fractals, the importance of surface area to…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2013-12-19 Bruce S. Lieberman , Adrian L. Melott

Tests for break points detection in the law of random vectors have been proposed in several papers. Nevertheless, they have often little powers for alternatives involving a change in the dependence between components of vectors. Specific…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-28 Tom Rohmer

We develop a theoretical trading conditioning model subject to price volatility and return information in terms of market psychological behavior, based on analytical transaction volume-price probability wave distributions in which we use…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-02-09 Leilei Shi , Yiwen Wang , Ding Chen , Liyan Han , Yan Piao , Chengling Gou

In many phenomena, data are collected on a large scale and of different frequencies. In this context, functional data analysis (FDA) has become an important statistical methodology for analyzing and modeling such data. The approach of FDA…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-11 Israel Martínez-Hernández , Marc G. Genton

The spectrum and coherency are useful quantities for characterizing the temporal correlations and functional relations within and between point processes. This paper begins with a review of these quantities, their interpretation and how…

Biological Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. R. Jarvis , P. P. Mitra

For many externally driven complex systems neither the noisy driving force, nor the internal dynamics are a priori known. Here we focus on systems for which the time dependent activity of a large number of components can be monitored,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Zoltan Eisler , Janos Kertesz , Soon-Hyung Yook , Albert-Laszlo Barabasi

We propose a novel inverse method that utilizes a set of data to construct a simple equation that governs the stochastic process for which the data have been measured, hence enabling us to reconstruct the stochastic process. As an example,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 J. Peinke , M. Reza Rahimi Tabar , Muhammad Sahimi , F. Ghasemi

We investigate indeterminate points in discrete integrable system. They appear in singularity confinement phenomenon naturally. We develop a method to analyse indeterminate points of dynamical maps and using this method we clarify behaviour…

Exactly Solvable and Integrable Systems · Physics 2017-05-03 Yuki Wakimoto

A major impact of globalization has been the information flow across the financial markets rendering them vulnerable to financial contagion. Research has focused on network analysis techniques to understand the extent and nature of such…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-15 Sayantan Banerjee , Kousik Guhathakurta