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Spatial time series (STS) data are fundamental to climate science, yet conventional approaches often conflate temporal co-evolution with genuine spatial dependence, obscuring subtle but critical climatic anomalies. We introduce a Random…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-10 Madhuchhanda Bhattacharjee , Arup Bose

We present a study on the spatio-temporal pattern underlying the climate dynamics in various locations spread over India, including the Himalayan region, coastal region, central and northeastern parts of India. We try to capture the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-05-13 Joshin John Bejoy , G. Ambika

Global and regional annual mean temperature data have been analysed by many groups to determine the linear trends of temperature over climatological time scales. The near consistent results generally show an increase of about 0.07 {\deg}C…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-08-23 Kamsali Nagaraja , S. C. Chakravarty

Annual maximum temperature data provides crucial insights into the impacts of climate change, especially for regions like India, where temperature variations have significant implications for agriculture, health, and infrastructure. In this…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-03 Chitradipa Chakraborty

We present a study on the spatio-temporal pattern underlying the climate dynamics in various locations spread over India, including the Himalayan region, coastal region, central and northeastern parts of India. We try to capture the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-24 Joshin John Bejoy , Jayesh Dave , G. Ambika

The climatic change is one of the serious concerns nowadays. The impacts of climate change are global in scope and unprecedented in scale. Moreover, a small perturbation in climatic changes affects not only the pristine ecosystem but also…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-01-09 Ayush Prusty , Akshita Gupta , Vivek Ashok Bohara

Recent debates over the changing correlation between Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR) and the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) have raised inconclusive claims about the stability of the ENSO-Monsoon relationship (EMR) and ISMR…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-23 Devabrat Sharma , Shruti Tandon , Gaurav Chopra , R. I. Sujith , B. N. Goswami

Grid (1{\deg} latitude x 1{\deg} longitude) level daily rainfall data over India from June to September for the years 1951 to 2007, generated by India Meteorological Department, was analyzed to build monthly time series of Standardized…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-09-16 M. Naresh Kumar , C. S. Murthy , M. V. R. Sesha Sai , P. S. Roy

Many physical processes involve spatio-temporal observations, which can be studied at different spatial and temporal scales. For example, rainfall data measured daily by rain gauges can be considered at daily, monthly or annual temporal…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-02 Adway Mitra

As global climate change intensifies, accurate weather forecasting is increasingly crucial for sectors such as agriculture, energy management, and environmental protection. Traditional methods, which rely on physical and statistical models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Bangyu Li , Yang Qian

The Earth's climate system is a classical example of a multiscale, multiphysics dynamical system with an extremely large number of active degrees of freedom, exhibiting variability on scales ranging from micrometers and seconds in cloud…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-01-19 Gary Froyland , Dimitrios Giannakis , Benjamin Lintner , Maxwell Pike , Joanna Slawinska

Spatiotemporal variations in thunderstorm occurrence frequency are considered here using an environmental dataset derived from ERA5 reanalysis data. Interannual variability in the thunderstorm environments is examined for the period…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-17 Andrew Dowdy , Andrew Brown , Todd Lane , Mateusz Taszarek

Precipitation is a large-scale, spatio-temporally heterogeneous phenomenon, with frequent anomalies exhibiting unusually high or low values. We use Markov Random Fields (MRFs) to detect spatio-temporally coherent anomalies in gridded annual…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-01 Adway Mitra , Ashwin K. Seshadri

We study the relationship between the El Ni\~no--Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian summer monsoon in ensemble simulations from state-of-the-art climate models, the Max Planck Institute Earth System Model (MPI-ESM) and the Community…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-11-16 Mátyás Herein , Gábor Drótos , Tamás Bódai , Frank Lunkeit , Valerio Lucarini

This paper presents a statistical analysis of air temperature data from 32 stations in Italy and the UK up to 2000 m above sea level, from 2002 to 2021. The data came from both highland and lowland areas, in order to evaluate both the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-27 Chalachew Muluken Liyew , Elvira Di Nardo , Rosa Meo , Stefano Ferraris

The primary objective of this paper is to analyze a set of canonical spatial patterns that approximate the daily rainfall across the Indian region, as identified in the companion paper where we developed a discrete representation of the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-26 Adway Mitra , Amit Apte , Rama Govindarajan , Vishal Vasan , Sreekar Vadlamani

We propose a representation of the Indian summer monsoon rainfall in terms of a probabilistic model based on a Markov Random Field, consisting of discrete state variables representing low and high rainfall at grid-scale and daily rainfall…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-26 Adway Mitra , Amit Apte , Rama Govindarajan , Vishal Vasan , Sreekar Vadlamani

In many problem settings that require spatio-temporal forecasting, the values in the time-series not only exhibit spatio-temporal correlations but are also influenced by spatial diffusion across locations. One such example is forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Malay Pandey , Vaishali Jain , Nimit Godhani , Sachchida Nand Tripathi , Piyush Rai

We investigate the changing nature of the frequency, magnitude and spatial extent of extreme temperatures in Ireland from 1931 to 2022. We develop an extreme value model that captures spatial and temporal non-stationarity in extreme daily…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-03 Dáire Healy , Jonathan Tawn , Peter Thorne , Andrew Parnell

In this study we used the sea surface temperature (SST), El-Nino southern oscillation (ENSO) and Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO) time-series for the time period 1900-2012 in order to investigate plausible manifestation of sharp increases…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-03-08 Belolipetsky P. V. , Bartsev S. I. , Degermendzhi A. G. , Huang-Hsiung Hsu , Varotsos C. A.
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