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Wind power forecasting (WPF), as a significant research topic within renewable energy, plays a crucial role in enhancing the security, stability, and economic operation of power grids. However, due to the high stochasticity of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Mingyi Zhu , Zhaoxin Li , Qiao Lin , Li Ding

Wind energy resource assessment typically requires numerical models, but such models are too computationally intensive to consider multi-year timescales. Increasingly, unsupervised machine learning techniques are used to identify a small…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-14 Mariana C A Clare , Simon C Warder , Robert Neal , B Bhaskaran , Matthew D Piggott

Multivariate long-term time series forecasting is critical for applications such as weather prediction, and traffic analysis. In addition, the implementation of Transformer variants has improved prediction accuracy. Following these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Minhyuk Lee , HyeKyung Yoon , MyungJoo Kang

How can short-term energy consumption be accurately forecasted when sensor data is noisy, incomplete, and lacks contextual richness? This question guided our participation in the \textit{2025 Competition on Electric Energy Consumption…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Sarah Al-Shareeda , Gulcihan Ozdemir , Heung Seok Jeon , Khaleel Ahmad

Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) has been successfully applied in many sequence learning problems. Such as handwriting recognition, image description, natural language processing and video motion analysis. After years of development,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-01 Guoqiang Zhong , Guohua Yue , Xiao Ling

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains the leading cause of mortality worldwide, underscoring the need for reliable and efficient predictive tools that support early intervention. Traditional diagnostic approaches rely on handcrafted features…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Tejaswani Dash , Gautam Datla , Anudeep Vurity , Tazeem Ahmad , Mohd Adnan , Saima Rafi , Saisha Patro , Saina Patro

Deep learning methods have gained popularity in recent years through the media and the relative ease of implementation through open source packages such as Keras. We investigate the applicability of popular recurrent neural networks in…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-05 Andrew T. Karl , James Wisnowski , Lambros Petropoulos

Predicting and classifying faults in electricity networks is crucial for uninterrupted provision and keeping maintenance costs at a minimum. Thanks to the advancements in the field provided by the smart grid, several data-driven approaches…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Emad Efatinasab , Francesco Marchiori , Alessandro Brighente , Mirco Rampazzo , Mauro Conti

This work aims to implement Long Short-Term Memory mixture density networks (LSTM-MDNs) for Value-at-Risk forecasting and compare their performance with established models (historical simulation, CMM, and GARCH) using a defined backtesting…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-03 Nico Herrig

The time-series forecasting (TSF) problem is a traditional problem in the field of artificial intelligence. Models such as Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), Long Short Term Memory (LSTM), and GRU (Gate Recurrent Units) have contributed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-29 Sunghyun Sim , Dohee Kim , Hyerim Bae

Accurate weather prediction is essential for many aspects of life, notably the early warning of extreme weather events such as rainstorms. Short-term predictions of these events rely on forecasts from numerical weather models, in which,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Guoxing Chen , Wei-Chyung Wang

Wind power generated by wind has non-schedule nature due to stochastic nature of meteorological variable. Hence energy business and control of wind power generation requires prediction of wind speed (WS) from few seconds to different time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-26 Hasmat Malik , Amit Kumar Yadav , Fausto Pedro García Márquez , Jesús María Pinar-Pérez

Optical turbulence, driven by fluctuations of the atmospheric refractive index, poses a significant challenge to ground-based optical systems, as it distorts the propagation of light. This degradation affects both astronomical observations…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-26 Mary Joe Medlej , Rahul Srinivasan , Simon Prunet , Aziz Ziad , Christophe Giordano

In this paper, we present a novel approach to modeling long-term dependencies in sequential data by introducing a gated recurrent unit (GRU) with a weighted time-delay feedback mechanism. Our proposed model, named $\tau$-GRU, is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-21 N. Benjamin Erichson , Soon Hoe Lim , Michael W. Mahoney

Spatio-temporal forecasting is critical in applications such as traffic prediction, energy demand modeling, and weather monitoring. While Graph Attention Networks (GATs) are popular for modeling spatial dependencies, they rely on predefined…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Sai Vamsi Alisetti , Vikas Kalagi , Sanjukta Krishnagopal

Real-world problems often involve complex and unstructured sets of measurements, which occur when sensors are sparsely placed in either space or time. Being able to model this irregular spatiotemporal data and extract meaningful forecasts…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-17 Arnaud Pannatier , Kyle Matoba , François Fleuret

Accurate real-time traffic forecasting is a core technological problem against the implementation of the intelligent transportation system. However, it remains challenging considering the complex spatial and temporal dependencies among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-23 Jiawei Zhu , Yujiao Song , Ling Zhao , Haifeng Li

A deep-learning-based hybrid strategy for short-term load forecasting is presented. The strategy proposes a novel tree-based ensemble method Warm-start Gradient Tree Boosting (WGTB). Current strategies either ensemble submodels of a single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Yuexin Zhang , Jiahong Wang

Accurate wind power forecasts depend on reliable wind speed forecasts. Numerical Weather Predictions (NWPs) utilize huge amounts of computing time, but still have rather low spatial and temporal resolution. However, stochastic wind speed…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-10 Daniel Ambach , Carsten Croonenbroeck

The ability to predict wind is crucial for both energy production and weather forecasting. Mechanistic models that form the basis of traditional forecasting perform poorly near the ground. In this paper, we take an alternative data-driven…