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Epidemic models describe the evolution of a communicable disease over time. These models are often modified to include the effects of interventions (control measures) such as vaccination, social distancing, school closings etc. Many such…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Heejong Bong , Valérie Ventura , Larry Wasserman

We introduce the \emph{temporal graphlet kernel} for classifying dissemination processes in labeled temporal graphs. Such dissemination processes can be spreading (fake) news, infectious diseases, or computer viruses in dynamic networks.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-09-16 Lutz Oettershagen , Nils M. Kriege , Claude Jordan , Petra Mutzel

We introduce the concept of epidemic-fitted wavelets which comprise, in particular, as special cases the number $I(t)$ of infectious individuals at time $t$ in classical SIR models and their derivatives. We present a novel method for…

The ability to generalize under distributional shifts is essential to reliable machine learning, while models optimized with empirical risk minimization usually fail on non-$i.i.d$ testing data. Recently, invariant learning methods for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Jiashuo Liu , Zheyuan Hu , Peng Cui , Bo Li , Zheyan Shen

Due to the characteristics of COVID-19, the epidemic develops rapidly and overwhelms health service systems worldwide. Many patients suffer from systemic life-threatening problems and need to be carefully monitored in ICUs. Thus the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-20 Liantao Ma , Xinyu Ma , Junyi Gao , Chaohe Zhang , Zhihao Yu , Xianfeng Jiao , Wenjie Ruan , Yasha Wang , Wen Tang , Jiangtao Wang

We present a modelling framework for the spreading of epidemics on temporal networks from which both the individual-based and pair-based models can be recovered. The proposed temporal pair-based model that is systematically derived from…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-17 Rory Humphries , Kieran Mulchrone , Jamie Tratalos , Simon More , Philipp Hövel

The epidemiology has recently witnessed great advances based on computational models. Its scope and impact are getting wider thanks to the new data sources feeding analytical frameworks and models. Besides traditional variables considered…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-11-13 David Pastor-Escuredo

Deep learning has taken part in the competition since not long ago to learn and identify phase transitions in physical systems such as many body quantum systems, whose underlying lattice structures are generally regular as they're in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-01-08 Qi Ni , Jie Kang , Ming Tang , Ying Liu , Yong Zou

The paper presents an algorithm for syndromic surveillance of an epidemic outbreak formulated in the context of stochastic nonlinear filtering. The dynamics of the epidemic is modeled using a generalized compartmental epidemiological model…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2011-10-24 Alex Skvortsov , Branko Ristic

Obtaining accurate forecasts for the evolution of epidemic outbreaks from deterministic compartmental models represents a major theoretical challenge. Recently, it has been shown that these models typically exhibit trajectories' degeneracy,…

With near-term quantum devices available and the race for fault-tolerant quantum computers in full swing, researchers became interested in the question of what happens if we replace a supervised machine learning model with a quantum…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-04-20 Maria Schuld

In this paper, we have studied epidemiological models for Ebola infection using nonlinear ordinary differential equations and optimal control theory. We considered optimal control analysis of SIR and SEIR models for the deadly Ebola…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-08-23 E. Okyere , J. D. Ankamah , A. K. Hunkpe , D. Mensah

The evolution of the COVID-19 epidemic has been accompanied by accumulating evidence on the underlying epidemiological parameters. Hence there is potential for models providing mid-term forecasts of the epidemic trajectory using such…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-10 Peter Congdon

We propose a novel approach to model selection for simulator-based statistical models. The proposed approach defines a mixture of candidate models, and then iteratively updates the weight coefficients for those models as well as the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-08 Takafumi Kajihara , Motonobu Kanagawa , Yuuki Nakaguchi , Kanishka Khandelwal , Kenji Fukumiziu

The COVID-19 pandemic has emphasized the need for a robust understanding of epidemic models. Current models of epidemics are classified as either mechanistic or non-mechanistic: mechanistic models make explicit assumptions on the dynamics…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-14 Arnab Sarker , Ali Jadbabaie , Devavrat Shah

We introduce a novel kernel-based framework for learning differential equations and their solution maps that is efficient in data requirements, in terms of solution examples and amount of measurements from each example, and computational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-07 Yasamin Jalalian , Juan Felipe Osorio Ramirez , Alexander Hsu , Bamdad Hosseini , Houman Owhadi

Epidemic models are used to analyze the progression or outcome of an epidemic under different control policies like vaccinations, quarantines, lockdowns, use of face-masks, pharmaceutical interventions, etc. When these models accurately…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-19 Carlos Hernandez-Suarez , Osval Montsinos Lopez , Ramon Solano-Barajas

This paper presents an online learning with regularized kernel based one-class extreme learning machine (ELM) classifier and is referred as online RK-OC-ELM. The baseline kernel hyperplane model considers whole data in a single chunk with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-10 Chandan Gautam , Aruna Tiwari , Sundaram Suresh , Kapil Ahuja

Epidemiological models describe the spread of an infectious disease within a population. They capture microscopic details on how the disease is passed on among individuals in various different ways, while making predictions about the state…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-02-27 Stefan Hohenegger , Francesco Sannino

Pandemic outbreaks such as COVID-19 occur unexpectedly, and need immediate action due to their potential devastating consequences on global health. Point-of-care routine assessments such as electrocardiogram (ECG), can be used to develop…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-12 Weijie Sun , Sunil Vasu Kalmady , Nariman Sepehrvand , Luan Manh Chu , Zihan Wang , Amir Salimi , Abram Hindle , Russell Greiner , Padma Kaul