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This paper proposes a probabilistic Bayesian formulation for system identification (ID) and estimation of nonseparable Hamiltonian systems using stochastic dynamic models. Nonseparable Hamiltonian systems arise in models from diverse…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-09-19 Harsh Sharma , Nicholas Galioto , Alex A. Gorodetsky , Boris Kramer

Multi-sensor state space models underpin fusion applications in networks of sensors. Estimation of latent parameters in these models has the potential to provide highly desirable capabilities such as network self-calibration. Conventional…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-01-04 Murat Uney , Bernard Mulgrew , Daniel E Clark

Our article considers a Gaussian variational approximation of the posterior density in a high-dimensional state space model. The variational parameters to be optimized are the mean vector and the covariance matrix of the approximation. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-20 Matias Quiroz , David J. Nott , Robert Kohn

This paper presents new methods for set-valued state estimation and active fault diagnosis of linear descriptor systems. The algorithms are based on constrained zonotopes, a generalization of zonotopes capable of describing strongly…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-11 Brenner S. Rego , Davide M. Raimondo , Guilherme V. Raffo

Dynamical system state estimation and parameter calibration problems are ubiquitous across science and engineering. Bayesian approaches to the problem are the gold standard as they allow for the quantification of uncertainties and enable…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-11-12 Kairui Hao , Ilias Bilionis

Estimating the parameters of nonlinear block-oriented state-space models from input-output data typically involves solving a highly non-convex optimization problem, which is prone to poor local minima and slow convergence. This paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-08 Merijn Floren , Jean-Philippe Noël , Jan Swevers

Bayesian methods are increasingly being applied to parameterize mechanistic process models used in environmental prediction and forecasting. In particular, models describing ecosystem dynamics with multiple states that are linear and…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-19 John W. Smith , Leah R. Johnson , Robert Q. Thomas

Atmospheric models used for weather and climate prediction are traditionally formulated in a deterministic manner. In other words, given a particular state of the resolved scale variables, the most likely forcing from the sub-grid scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Hannah M. Christensen , Salah Kouhen , Greta Miller , Raghul Parthipan

Quantifying predictive uncertainty of deep semantic segmentation networks is essential in safety-critical tasks. In applications like autonomous driving, where video data is available, convolutional long short-term memory networks are…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Laura Fieback , Bidya Dash , Jakob Spiegelberg , Hanno Gottschalk

This paper discusses a novel initialization algorithm for the estimation of nonlinear state-space models. Good initial values for the model parameters are obtained by identifying separately the linear dynamics and the nonlinear terms in the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-25 A. Marconato , J. Sjöberg , J. A. K. Suykens , J. Schoukens

As autonomous systems increasingly rely on onboard sensing for localization and perception, the parallel tasks of motion planning and state estimation become more strongly coupled. This coupling is well-captured by augmenting the planning…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-09-14 Kristoffer M. Frey , Ted J. Steiner , Jonathan P. How

State-space models have been successfully used for more than fifty years in different areas of science and engineering. We present a procedure for efficient variational Bayesian learning of nonlinear state-space models based on sparse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-11-04 Roger Frigola , Yutian Chen , Carl E. Rasmussen

The paper investigates the problem of estimating the state of a time-varying system with a linear measurement model; in particular, the paper considers the case where the number of measurements available can be smaller than the number of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-07 Guido Cavraro , Emiliano Dall'Anese , Joshua Comden , Andrey Bernstein

We develop and analyze a set of new sequential simulation-optimization algorithms for large-scale multi-dimensional discrete optimization via simulation problems with a convexity structure. The "large-scale" notion refers to that the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-20 Haixiang Zhang , Zeyu Zheng , Javad Lavaei

How can we perform efficient inference and learning in directed probabilistic models, in the presence of continuous latent variables with intractable posterior distributions, and large datasets? We introduce a stochastic variational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-13 Diederik P Kingma , Max Welling

The paper provides global optimization algorithms for two particularly difficult nonconvex problems raised by hybrid system identification: switching linear regression and bounded-error estimation. While most works focus on local…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-27 Fabien Lauer

State-space models are ubiquitous in the statistical literature since they provide a flexible and interpretable framework for analyzing many time series. In most practical applications, the state-space model is specified through a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-18 Thi Tuyet Trang Chau , Pierre Ailliot , Valérie Monbet

In this paper we revisit random linear under-determined systems with sparse solutions. We consider $\ell_1$ optimization heuristic known to work very well when used to solve these systems. A collection of fundamental results that relate to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-12-20 Mihailo Stojnic

This paper introduces new techniques for using convex optimization to fit input-output data to a class of stable nonlinear dynamical models. We present an algorithm that guarantees consistent estimates of models in this class when a small…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-03-19 Mark M. Tobenkin , Ian R. Manchester , Alexandre Megretski

We consider a network of sensors deployed to sense a spatio-temporal field and estimate a parameter of interest. We are interested in the case where the temporal process sensed by each sensor can be modeled as a state-space process that is…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2008-04-12 S. Sundhar Ram , V. V. Veeravalli , A. Nedic
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