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Conformal prediction offers a practical framework for distribution-free uncertainty quantification, providing finite-sample coverage guarantees under relatively mild assumptions on data exchangeability. However, these assumptions cease to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-25 Derck W. E. Prinzhorn , Thijmen Nijdam , Putri A. van der Linden , Alexander Timans

We present a novel solution technique for the blind subspace deconvolution (BSSD) problem, where temporal convolution of multidimensional hidden independent components is observed and the task is to uncover the hidden components using the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-01-04 Zoltan Szabo , Barnabas Poczos , Andras Lorincz

Dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) has recently become a popular tool for the non-intrusive analysis of dynamical systems. Exploiting Proper Orthogonal Decomposition (POD) as a dimensionality reduction technique, DMD is able to approximate a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Francesco Andreuzzi , Nicola Demo , Gianluigi Rozza

The extraction of invariant causal relationships from time series data with environmental attributes is critical for robust decision-making in domains such as climate science and environmental monitoring. However, existing methods either…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Ziruo Hao , Tao Yang , Xiaofeng Wu , Bo Hu

This paper introduces a data-driven time embedding method for modeling long-range seasonal dependencies in spatiotemporal forecasting tasks. The proposed approach employs Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) to extract temporal modes directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Menglin Kong , Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Xudong Wang , Lijun Sun

Learning causal structures from observational data is a fundamental problem facing important computational challenges when the number of variables is large. In the context of linear structural equation models (SEMs), this paper focuses on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-21 Shuyu Dong , Kento Uemura , Akito Fujii , Shuang Chang , Yusuke Koyanagi , Koji Maruhashi , Michèle Sebag

Spatiotemporal data analysis is pivotal across various domains, such as transportation, meteorology, and healthcare. The data collected in real-world scenarios are often incomplete due to device malfunctions and network errors.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Yakun Chen , Kaize Shi , Zhangkai Wu , Juan Chen , Xianzhi Wang , Julian McAuley , Guandong Xu , Shui Yu

Seasonal time series exhibit intricate long-term dependencies, posing a significant challenge for accurate future prediction. This paper introduces the Multi-scale Seasonal Decomposition Model (MSSD) for seasonal time-series forecasting.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Yining Pang , Chenghan Li

We introduce a computationally efficient method for the automation of inverse design in science and engineering. Based on simple least-square regression, the underlying dynamic mode decomposition algorithm can be used to construct a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-14 Yunpeng Zhu , Liangliang Cheng , Anping Jing , Hanyu Huo , Ziqiang Lang , Bo Zhang , J. Nathan Kutz

Inference of the conditional dependence structure is challenging when many covariates are present. In numerous applications, only a low-dimensional projection of the covariates influences the conditional distribution. The smallest subspace…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-05 Thomas Nagler , Gerda Claeskens , Irène Gijbels

Multivariate spatio-temporal data arise more and more frequently in a wide range of applications; however, there are relatively few general statistical methods that can readily use that incorporate spatial, temporal and variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-15 Elynn Yi Chen , Qiwei Yao , Rong Chen

We consider the model reduction problem for linear time-invariant dynamical systems having nonzero (but otherwise indeterminate) initial conditions. Building upon the observation that the full system response is decomposable as a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-04 Christopher A. Beattie , Serkan Gugercin , Volker Mehrmann

Understanding how time delays impact the stability of a delay differential equation is important for modeling many natural and technological systems that experience time delays. Here we introduce a new stability criterion for…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-08-25 Quinlan Leishman , Benjamin Webb

Learning guarantees often rely on assumptions of i.i.d. data, which will likely be violated in practice once predictors are deployed to perform real-world tasks. Domain adaptation approaches thus appeared as a useful framework yielding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-29 Joao Monteiro , Xavier Gibert , Jianqiao Feng , Vincent Dumoulin , Dar-Shyang Lee

Unsupervised multi-object scene decomposition is a fast-emerging problem in representation learning. Despite significant progress in static scenes, such models are unable to leverage important dynamic cues present in video. We propose a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-06-29 Polina Zablotskaia , Edoardo A. Dominici , Leonid Sigal , Andreas M. Lehrmann

We propose a robust method for constructing conditionally valid prediction intervals based on models for conditional distributions such as quantile and distribution regression. Our approach can be applied to important prediction problems…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-26 Victor Chernozhukov , Kaspar Wüthrich , Yinchu Zhu

High-dimensional multivariate spatial-temporal data arise frequently in a wide range of applications; however, there are relatively few statistical methods that can simultaneously deal with spatial, temporal and variable-wise dependencies…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-05 Elynn Y. Chen , Xin Yun , Rong Chen , Qiwei Yao

In this paper, we propose a Bayesian matrix-variate spatiotemporal modeling framework for jointly analyzing multiple response variables observed at spatial locations over time. The approach relaxes the standard assumption of spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-23 Rodrigo de Souza Bulhões , Marina Silva Paez , Dani Gamerman

We propose a method for learning dynamical systems from high-dimensional empirical data that combines variational autoencoders and (spatio-)temporal attention within a framework designed to enforce certain scientifically-motivated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Kai Lagemann , Christian Lagemann , Sach Mukherjee

Video compression performance is closely related to the accuracy of inter prediction. It tends to be difficult to obtain accurate inter prediction for the local video regions with inconsistent motion and occlusion. Traditional video coding…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-01-30 Xihua Sheng , Li Li , Dong Liu , Houqiang Li
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