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We develop a novel approach towards causal inference. Rather than structural equations over a causal graph, we learn stochastic differential equations (SDEs) whose stationary densities model a system's behavior under interventions. These…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Lars Lorch , Andreas Krause , Bernhard Schölkopf

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are increasingly used in longitudinal data analysis, compartmental models, growth modelling, and other applications in a number of disciplines. Parameter estimation, however, currently requires…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-12 Oscar García

Diffusion (score-based) generative models have been widely used for modeling various types of complex data, including images, audios, and point clouds. Recently, the deep connection between forward-backward stochastic differential equations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Weitao Du , Tao Yang , He Zhang , Yuanqi Du

We consider conditional McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations (SDEs), such as the ones arising in the large-system limit of mean field games and particle systems with mean field interactions when common noise is present. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-02 Daniel Lacker , Mykhaylo Shkolnikov , Jiacheng Zhang

In this paper, we aim to study the asymptotic behavior for multi-scale McKean-Vlasov stochastic dynamical systems. Firstly, we obtain a central limit type theorem, i.e, the deviation between the slow component $X^{\varepsilon}$ and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-02 Wei Hong , Shihu Li , Wei Liu , Xiaobin Sun

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are a ubiquitous modeling framework that finds applications in physics, biology, engineering, social science, and finance. Due to the availability of large-scale data sets, there is growing interest…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-04 Ziheng Guo , James Greene , Ming Zhong

We propose a micro-macro parallel-in-time Parareal method for scalar McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations (SDEs). In the algorithm, the fine Parareal propagator is a Monte Carlo simulation of an ensemble of particles, while an…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-31 Ignace Bossuyt , Stefan Vandewalle , Giovanni Samaey

Stochastic processes have found numerous applications in science, as they are broadly used to model a variety of natural phenomena. Due to their intrinsic randomness and uncertainty, they are, however, difficult to characterize. Here, we…

McKean-Vlasov SDEs describe systems where the dynamics depend on the law of the process. The corresponding Fokker-Planck equation is a nonlinear, nonlocal PDE for the corresponding measure flow. In the presence of common noise and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Fabio Bugini , Peter K. Friz , Wilhelm Stannat

Under a Lipschitz condition on distribution dependent coefficients, the central limit theorem and the moderate deviation principle are obtained for solutions of McKean-Vlasov type stochastic differential equations, which extend from the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Yongqiang Suo , Chenggui Yuan

In this paper, we first establish well-posedness of McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations (McKean-Vlasov SDEs) with common noise, possibly with coefficients having super-linear growth in the state variable. Second, we present…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-02 Chaman Kumar , Neelima , Christoph Reisinger , Wolfgang Stockinger

We discuss numerical aspects related to a new class of nonlinear Stochastic Differential Equations in the sense of McKean, which are supposed to represent non conservative nonlinear Partial Differential equations (PDEs). We propose an…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-03 Anthony Le Cavil , Nadia Oudjane , Francesco Russo

We establish the well-posedness for a class of McKean-Vlasov SDEs driven by symmetric $\alpha$-stable L\'{e}vy process ($1/2<\alpha\leq1$), where the drift coefficient is H\"{o}lder continuous in space variable, while the noise coefficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-23 Chang-Song Deng , Xing Huang

Diffusion-based generative models use stochastic differential equations (SDEs) and their equivalent ordinary differential equations (ODEs) to establish a smooth connection between a complex data distribution and a tractable prior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-25 Defang Chen , Zhenyu Zhou , Can Wang , Chunhua Shen , Siwei Lyu

This paper addresses the difficulty of characterizing the time-varying nature of fading channels. The current time-invariant models often fall short of capturing and tracking these dynamic characteristics. To overcome this limitation, we…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-22 Eya Ben Amar , Nadhir Ben Rached , Raul Tempone , Mohamed-Slim Alouini

In this paper we study stochastic control problems with delayed information, that is, the control at time $t$ can depend only on the information observed before time $t-H$ for some delay parameter $H$. Such delay occurs frequently in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-23 Yuri F. Saporito , Jianfeng Zhang

We introduce a novel paradigm for learning non-parametric drift and diffusion functions for stochastic differential equation (SDE). The proposed model learns to simulate path distributions that match observations with non-uniform time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-01 Cagatay Yildiz , Markus Heinonen , Jukka Intosalmi , Henrik Mannerström , Harri Lähdesmäki

Inspired by [Fehrman, Gess; Invent. Math., 2023], we provide a fine analysis of the McKean-Vlasov PDE with singular interactions and drift terms of square root form. As the corresponding skeleton equation of Dean-Kawasaki equation with…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-29 Zhengyan Wu , Rangrang Zhang

In this article we study the convergence of a stochastic particle system that interacts through threshold hitting times towards a novel equation of McKean-Vlasov type. The particle system is motivated by an original model for the behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-15 James Inglis , Denis Talay

We consider a load balancing model where a Poisson stream of jobs arrive at a system of many servers whose service time distribution possesses a finite second moment. A small fraction of arrivals pass through the so called power-of-choice…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-16 Rami Atar , Gershon Wolansky
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