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Computing the posterior distribution of a probabilistic program is a hard task for which no one-fit-for-all solution exists. We propose Gaussian Semantics, which approximates the exact probabilistic semantics of a bounded program by means…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2023-11-15 Francesca Randone , Luca Bortolussi , Emilio Incerto , Mirco Tribastone

This work considers the computation of risk measures for quantities of interest governed by PDEs with Gaussian random field parameters using Taylor approximations. While efficient, Taylor approximations are local to the point of expansion,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-08-14 Dingcheng Luo , Joshua Chen , Peng Chen , Omar Ghattas

Gaussian variational approximations are widely used for summarizing posterior distributions in Bayesian models, especially in high-dimensional settings. However, a drawback of such approximations is the inability to capture skewness or more…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-02 Lucas Kock , Linda S. L. Tan , Prateek Bansal , David J. Nott

Expanding a lower-dimensional problem to a higher-dimensional space and then projecting back is often beneficial. This article rigorously investigates this perspective in the context of finite mixture models, namely how to improve inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-10 Andrea Mercatanti , Fan Li , Fabrizia Mealli

Many problems in navigation and tracking require increasingly accurate characterizations of the evolution of uncertainty in nonlinear systems. Nonlinear uncertainty propagation approaches based on Gaussian mixture density approximations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-30 Jackson Kulik , Keith A. LeGrand

We have previously reported a Bayesian algorithm for determining the coordinates of points in three-dimensional space from uncertain constraints. This method is useful in the determination of biological molecular structure. It is limited,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Russ B. Altman , Cheng C. Chen , William B. Poland , Jaswinder Pal Singh

In this paper, we study stochastic ordering results between two finite mixtures with single and multiple outliers, assuming subpopulations follow general exponentiated location-scale distributions. For single-outlier mixtures, several…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Raju Bhakta , Kaushik Gupta , Ghobad Saadat Kia , Suchandan Kayal

This paper deals with Bayesian inference of a mixture of Gaussian distributions. A novel formulation of the mixture model is introduced, which includes the prior constraint that each Gaussian component is always assigned a minimal number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-21 Colin J. Stoneking

Non-Gaussian and multimodal distributions are an important part of many recent robust sensor fusion algorithms. In difference to robust cost functions, they are probabilistically founded and have good convergence properties. Since their…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-01-14 Tim Pfeifer , Peter Protzel

We consider the problem of recovering an unknown matching between a set of $n$ randomly placed points in $\mathbb{R}^d$ and random perturbations of these points. This can be seen as a model for particle tracking and more generally, entity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-27 Lucas da Rocha Schwengber , Roberto Imbuzeiro Oliveira

We propose the finite mixture of skewed sub-Gaussian stable distributions. The maximum likelihood estimator for the parameters of proposed finite mixture model is computed through the expectation-maximization algorithm. The proposed model…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-30 Mahdi Teimouri

The Poisson model is frequently employed to describe count data, but in a Bayesian context it leads to an analytically intractable posterior probability distribution. In this work, we analyze a variational Gaussian approximation to the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Simon Arridge , Kazufumi Ito , Bangti Jin , Chen Zhang

We consider the problem of identifying the parameters of an unknown mixture of two arbitrary $d$-dimensional gaussians from a sequence of independent random samples. Our main results are upper and lower bounds giving a computationally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-05-19 Moritz Hardt , Eric Price

The posterior distribution of the number of components k in a finite mixture satisfies a set of inequality constraints. The result holds irrespective of the parametric form of the mixture components and under assumptions on the prior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Agostino Nobile

This paper studies identifiability and convergence behaviors for parameters of multiple types in finite mixtures, and the effects of model fitting with extra mixing components. First, we present a general theory for strong identifiability,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-13 Nhat Ho , XuanLong Nguyen

We compute quantitative bounds for measuring the discrepancy between the distribution of two min-max statistics involving either pairs of Gaussian random matrices, or one Gaussian and one Gaussian-subordinated random matrix. In the fully…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-28 Giovanni Peccati , Nicola Turchi

The question of polynomial learnability of probability distributions, particularly Gaussian mixture distributions, has recently received significant attention in theoretical computer science and machine learning. However, despite major…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-05-13 Mikhail Belkin , Kaushik Sinha

While mixtures of Gaussian distributions have been studied for more than a century (Pearson, 1894), the construction of a reference Bayesian analysis of those models still remains unsolved, with a general prohibition of the usage of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-01 Kaniav Kamary , Jeong Eun Lee , Christian P. Robert

Detection of sparse signals arises in a wide range of modern scientific studies. The focus so far has been mainly on Gaussian mixture models. In this paper, we consider the detection problem under a general sparse mixture model and obtain…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-11-13 T. Tony Cai , Yihong Wu

We prove that $\tilde{\Theta}(k d^2 / \varepsilon^2)$ samples are necessary and sufficient for learning a mixture of $k$ Gaussians in $\mathbb{R}^d$, up to error $\varepsilon$ in total variation distance. This improves both the known upper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-23 Hassan Ashtiani , Shai Ben-David , Nick Harvey , Christopher Liaw , Abbas Mehrabian , Yaniv Plan