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Probabilistic electricity price forecasting (PEPF) is subject of increasing interest, following the demand for proper quantification of prediction uncertainty, to support the operation in complex power markets with increasing share of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Alessandro Brusaferri , Andrea Ballarino , Luigi Grossi , Fabrizio Laurini

For quasi-linear interface problems with discontinuous diffusion coefficients, the nonconvex objective functional often leads to optimization stagnation in randomized neural network approximations. This paper Proposes a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Siyuan Lang , Zhiyue Zhang

We propose an adaptive scheme for distributed learning of nonlinear functions by a network of nodes. The proposed algorithm consists of a local adaptation stage utilizing multiple kernels with projections onto hyperslabs and a diffusion…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-09-05 Ban-Sok Shin , Masahiro Yukawa , Renato Luis Garrido Cavalcante , Armin Dekorsy

Understanding and interpreting how machine learning (ML) models make decisions have been a big challenge. While recent research has proposed various technical approaches to provide some clues as to how an ML model makes individual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-09 Wenbo Guo , Sui Huang , Yunzhe Tao , Xinyu Xing , Lin Lin

The recent advances in modelling nonlinear interference of systems operating beyond the C-band are discussed. Estimation accuracy as well as computational complexity of current approaches are compared and addressed.

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-05-08 Daniel Semrau , Robert I. Killey , Polina Bayvel

While neural networks are achieving high predictive accuracy in multi-horizon probabilistic forecasting, understanding the underlying mechanisms that lead to feature-conditioned outputs remains a significant challenge for forecasters. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Alessandro Brusaferri , Danial Ramin , Andrea Ballarino

This work focuses on exploring the potential benefits of introducing a nonlinear Laplacian in Sheaf Neural Networks for graph-related tasks. The primary aim is to understand the impact of such nonlinearity on diffusion dynamics, signal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-04 Olga Zaghen

Existing methods for estimating uncertainty in deep learning tend to require multiple forward passes, making them unsuitable for applications where computational resources are limited. To solve this, we perform probabilistic reasoning over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-08 Javier Antorán , James Urquhart Allingham , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

Recent years have witnessed strong empirical performance of over-parameterized neural networks on various tasks and many advances in the theory, e.g. the universal approximation and provable convergence to global minimum. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-26 Shiyun Xu , Zhiqi Bu

In this paper the application of uncertainty modeling to convolutional neural networks is evaluated. A novel method for adjusting the network's predictions based on uncertainty information is introduced. This allows the network to be either…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-12-23 Rene Grzeszick , Sebastian Sudholt , Gernot A. Fink

We develop a general framework for data-driven approximation of input-output maps between infinite-dimensional spaces. The proposed approach is motivated by the recent successes of neural networks and deep learning, in combination with…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-21 Kaushik Bhattacharya , Bamdad Hosseini , Nikola B. Kovachki , Andrew M. Stuart

Deep nonparametric regression, characterized by the utilization of deep neural networks to learn target functions, has emerged as a focus of research attention in recent years. Despite considerable progress in understanding convergence…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-01 Yuling Jiao , Lican Kang , Jin Liu , Heng Peng , Heng Zuo

We propose and investigate new complementary methodologies for estimating predictive variance networks in regression neural networks. We derive a locally aware mini-batching scheme that result in sparse robust gradients, and show how to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-05 Nicki S. Detlefsen , Martin Jørgensen , Søren Hauberg

In this paper, we propose an incremental abstraction method for dynamically over-approximating nonlinear systems in a bounded domain by solving a sequence of linear programs, resulting in a sequence of affine upper and lower hyperplanes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-06 Syed M. Hassaan , Mohammad Khajenejad , Spencer Jensen , Qiang Shen , Sze Zheng Yong

Deep-learning-based data-driven forecasting methods have produced impressive results for traffic forecasting. A major limitation of these methods, however, is that they provide forecasts without estimates of uncertainty, which are critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-07 Tanwi Mallick , Prasanna Balaprakash , Jane Macfarlane

This paper integrates deep neural networks (DNNs) into structural economic models to increase flexibility and capture rich heterogeneity while preserving interpretability. Economic structure and machine learning are complements in empirical…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-28 Max H. Farrell , Tengyuan Liang , Sanjog Misra

Explanation methods help understand the reasons for a model's prediction. These methods are increasingly involved in model debugging, performance optimization, and gaining insights into the workings of a model. With such critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Mihir Mulye , Matias Valdenegro-Toro

We present here a regress later based Monte Carlo approach that uses neural networks for pricing high-dimensional contingent claims. The choice of specific architecture of the neural networks used in the proposed algorithm provides for…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-27 Vikranth Lokeshwar , Vikram Bhardawaj , Shashi Jain

Network binarization is a promising hardware-aware direction for creating efficient deep models. Despite its memory and computational advantages, reducing the accuracy gap between binary models and their real-valued counterparts remains an…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-04-01 Adrian Bulat , Brais Martinez , Georgios Tzimiropoulos

Machine learning is becoming increasingly important for nonlinear system identification, including dynamical systems with spatially distributed outputs. However, classical identification and forecasting approaches become markedly less…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Achraf El Messaoudi , Noureddine Khaous , Karim Cherifi