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In this paper, we propose a computationally valid and theoretically justified methods, the likelihood ratio scan method (LRSM), for estimating multiple change-points in a piecewise stationary generalized conditional integer-valued…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-23 Danshu Sheng , Dehui Wang

Bayesian variable selection is a powerful tool for data analysis, as it offers a principled method for variable selection that accounts for prior information and uncertainty. However, wider adoption of Bayesian variable selection has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-06 Martin Jankowiak

Parameter estimation connects mathematical models to real-world data and decision making across many scientific and industrial applications. Standard approaches such as maximum likelihood estimation and Markov chain Monte Carlo estimate…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-06 Matthew J Simpson , James S Bennett , Alexander Johnston , Ruth E Baker

In many applied sciences a popular analysis strategy for high-dimensional data is to fit many multivariate generalized linear models in parallel. This paper presents a novel approach to address the resulting multiple testing problem by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-07 Riccardo De Santis , Jelle J. Goeman , Samuel Davenport , Jesse Hemerik , Livio Finos

In this paper we consider the parameter estimation problem associated to partially-observed time changed SDEs, with observations that are given at discrete times. In particular we consider both likelihood and Bayesian estimation. We develop…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Ke Zhao , Ajay Jasra

Constructing a fast and efficient estimator for the B-mode power spectrum of cosmic microwave background (CMB) is of critical importance for CMB science. For a general CMB survey, the Quadratic Maximum Likelihood (QML) estimator for CMB…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-11-17 Jiming Chen , Shamik Ghosh , Hao Liu , Larissa Santos , Wenjuan Fang , Siyu Li , Yang Liu , Hong Li , Jiaxin Wang , Le Zhang , Bin Hu , Wen Zhao

Inference for partially observed Markov process models has been a longstanding methodological challenge with many scientific and engineering applications. Iterated filtering algorithms maximize the likelihood function for partially observed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-26 Edward L. Ionides , Anindya Bhadra , Yves Atchadé , Aaron King

While multislice electron ptychography can provide thermal-vibration limited resolution and 3D information, it relies on the proper selection of many intertwined experimental and computational parameters. Here, we outline a theoretical…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-11-28 Colin Gilgenbach , Xi Chen , James M. LeBeau

This paper describes an algorithm for selecting parameter values (e.g. temperature values) at which to measure equilibrium properties with Parallel Tempering Monte Carlo simulation. Simple approaches to choosing parameter values can lead to…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-05-18 Firas Hamze , Neil Dickson , Kamran Karimi

We study the problem of identifying the parameters of a linear system from its response to multiple unknown waveforms. We assume that the system response is a scaled superposition of time-delayed and frequency-shifted versions of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Mohamed A. Suliman , Wei Dai

We propose Subsampling MCMC, a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) framework where the likelihood function for $n$ observations is estimated from a random subset of $m$ observations. We introduce a highly efficient unbiased estimator of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-31 Matias Quiroz , Robert Kohn , Mattias Villani , Minh-Ngoc Tran

Parallel coordinate plots (PCPs) are a prevalent method to interpret the relationship between the control parameters and metrics. PCPs deliver such an interpretation by color gradation based on a single metric. However, it is challenging to…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Chisa Mori , Shuhei Watanabe , Masaki Onishi , Takayuki Itoh

Maximum Likelihood Estimation of continuous variable models can be very challenging in high dimensions, due to potentially complex probability distributions. The existence of multiple interdependencies among variables can make it very…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-06 Jean-Sébastien Brouillon , Florian Dörfler , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate

Probabilistic model checking aims to prove whether a Markov decision process (MDP) satisfies a temporal logic specification. The underlying methods rely on an often unrealistic assumption that the MDP is precisely known. Consequently,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-02 Murat Cubuktepe , Nils Jansen , Sebastian Junges , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Ufuk Topcu

Calibration of sensors is a fundamental step to validate their operation. This can be a demanding task, as it relies on acquiring a detailed modelling of the device, aggravated by its possible dependence upon multiple parameters. Machine…

We show how thermodynamic properties of molecular models can be computed over a large, multidimensional parameter space by combining multistate reweighting analysis with a linear basis function approach. This approach reduces the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2016-05-18 Levi N. Naden , Michael R. Shirts

The performance of penalized likelihood approaches depends profoundly on the selection of the tuning parameter; however, there is no commonly agreed-upon criterion for choosing the tuning parameter. Moreover, penalized likelihood estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-09 Yang Liu , Peng Wang

In this work, we present, analyze, and implement a class of Multi-Level Markov chain Monte Carlo (ML-MCMC) algorithms based on independent Metropolis-Hastings proposals for Bayesian inverse problems. In this context, the likelihood function…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-06 Juan Pablo Madrigal-Cianci , Fabio Nobile , Raul Tempone

As technology advanced, collecting data via automatic collection devices become popular, thus we commonly face data sets with lengthy variables, especially when these data sets are collected without specific research goals beforehand. It…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-10 Wan-Ping Nicole Chen , Yuan-chin Ivan Chang

We present iterative Monte Carlo algorithm for which the temperature variable is attracted by a critical point. The algorithm combines techniques of single histogram reweighting and linear filtering. The 2d Ising model of ferromagnet is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 M. Gmitra , D. Horvath
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