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Accurate weather forecasting holds significant importance to human activities. Currently, there are two paradigms for weather forecasting: Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) and Deep Learning-based Prediction (DLP). NWP utilizes atmospheric…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-10 Wenyuan Li , Zili Liu , Keyan Chen , Hao Chen , Shunlin Liang , Zhengxia Zou , Zhenwei Shi

Tropical cyclones (TCs) are among the most devastating natural hazards, yet their intensity remains notoriously difficult to predict. NWP models are constrained by both computational demands and intrinsic predictability, while…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-21 Shan Guo , Lei Chen , Yangyang Zhao , Yuetan Lin , Zeyi Niu , Xinyan Zhang , Ziyao Sun , Xiaohui Zhong , Hao Li

We apply two data assimilation (DA) methods, a smoother and a filter, and a model-free machine learning (ML) shallow network to forecast two weakly turbulent systems. We analyse the effect of the spatial sparsity of observations on accuracy…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-07-16 Vikrant Gupta , Yuanqing Chen , Minping Wan

Dynamic downscaling typically involves using numerical weather prediction (NWP) solvers to refine coarse data to higher spatial resolutions. Data-driven models such as FourCastNet have emerged as a promising alternative to the traditional…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-03-05 Philip Dinenis , Vishwas Rao , Mihai Anitescu

Data-driven deep learning is considered a promising solution for ground-penetrating radar (GPR) full-waveform inversion (FWI), while its generalization ability is limited due to the heavy reliance on abundant labeled samples. In contrast,…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-01-16 Huilin Zhou , Xin Liu , Kexiang Wang , Shufan Hu

Data-driven models, such as FourCastNet (FCN), have shown exemplary performance in high-resolution global weather forecasting. This performance, however, is based on supervision on mesh-gridded weather data without the utilization of raw…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-10-25 Tao Ge , Jaideep Pathak , Akshay Subramaniam , Karthik Kashinath

Data assimilation is a technique for increasing the accuracy of simulations of solutions to partial differential equations by incorporating observable data into the solution as time evolves. Recently, a promising new algorithm for data…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-12-06 Adam Larios , Collin Victor

Deep learning is widely used to predict complex dynamical systems in many scientific and engineering areas. However, the black-box nature of these deep learning models presents significant challenges for carrying out simultaneous data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-04 Chuanqi Chen , Nan Chen , Yinling Zhang , Jin-Long Wu

We identify a strong equivalence between neural network based machine learning (ML) methods and the formulation of statistical data assimilation (DA), known to be a problem in statistical physics. DA, as used widely in physical and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-23 H. D. I. Abarbanel , P. J. Rozdeba , S. Shirman

The rapid rise of air pollution events necessitates accurate, real-time monitoring for informed mitigation strategies. Data Assimilation (DA) methods provide promising solutions, but their effectiveness hinges heavily on optimal measurement…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Ichrak Mokhtari , Walid Bechkit , Mohamed Sami Assenine , Hervé Rivano

Climate field reconstructions (CFR) attempt to estimate spatiotemporal fields of climate variables in the past using climate proxies such as tree rings, ice cores, and corals. Data Assimilation (DA) methods are a recent and promising new…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-06 Trevor Harris , Bo Li , Nathan Steiger , Jason Smerdon , Naveen Narisetty , Derek Tucker

Data-driven machine learning (ML) models are reshaping weather forecasting and have shown the potential to accelerate and surpass traditional physics-based approaches, leading to a second revolution in the field after data assimilation.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Hang Fan , Yi Xiao , Yongquan Qu , Juan Nathaniel , Fenghua Ling , Ben Fei , Lei Bai , Pierre Gentine

The short-term prediction of precipitation is critical in many areas of life. Recently, a large body of work was devoted to forecasting radar reflectivity images. The radar images are available only in areas with ground weather radars.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-01 Jiří Pihrt , Rudolf Raevskiy , Petr Šimánek , Matej Choma

Data assimilation techniques, developed in the last two decades mainly for weather prediction, produce better forecasts by taking advantage of both theoretical/numerical models and real-time observations. In this paper, we explore the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-13 Eric Bélanger , Alain Vincent , Paul Charbonneau

Climate models play a critical role in understanding and projecting climate change. Due to their complexity, their horizontal resolution of about 40-100 km remains too coarse to resolve processes such as clouds and convection, which need to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Birgit Kühbacher , Fernando Iglesias-Suarez , Niki Kilbertus , Veronika Eyring

Starting from limited measurements of a turbulent flow, data assimilation (DA) attempts to estimate all the spatio-temporal scales of motion. Success is dependent on whether the system is observable from the measurements, or how much of the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-02-16 Andrew Cleary , Qi Wang , Tamer A. Zaki

We develop an algebraic framework for sequential data assimilation of partially observed dynamical systems. In this framework, Bayesian data assimilation is embedded in a non-abelian operator algebra, which provides a representation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-29 David Freeman , Dimitrios Giannakis , Brian Mintz , Abbas Ourmazd , Joanna Slawinska

Data Assimilation (DA) is a computational tool that uses value from the model and the real measurement to arrive to an optimally acceptable value. Rather, this technique relies on the idea of Kalman gain. We point out that DA has two…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Mohammad N. Murshed , Zarin Subah , M. Monir Uddin

Meteorological satellite imagery is critical for meteorologists. The data have played an important role in monitoring and analyzing weather and climate changes. However, satellite imagery is a kind of observation data and exists a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-09-26 Fang Huang , Wencong Cheng , PanFeng Wang , ZhiGang Wang , HongHong He

An essential component of therapeutic drug/biomarker monitoring (TDM) is to combine patient data with prior knowledge for model-based predictions of therapy outcomes. Current Bayesian forecasting tools typically rely only on the most…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-09-23 Corinna Maier , Niklas Hartung , Jana de Wiljes , Charlotte Kloft , Wilhelm Huisinga