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Obtaining guarantees on the convergence of the minimizers of empirical risks to the ones of the true risk is a fundamental matter in statistical learning. Instead of deriving guarantees on the usual estimation error, the goal of this paper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-12 Paul Escande

The American Statistical Association (ASA) statement on statistical significance and P-values \cite{wasserstein2016asa} cautioned statisticians against making scientific decisions solely on the basis of traditional P-values. The statement…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-22 Abhisek Chakraborty , Megan H. Murray , Ilya Lipkovich , Yu Du

This manuscript studies a general approach to construct confidence sets for the solution of stochastic optimization, rendering empirical risk minimization as special cases. Statistical inference for stochastic optimization poses significant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Kenta Takatsu , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Using the techniques of [arXiv:0911.4271], upper bounds for a given confidence level are modified in an optimal fashion to incorporate the a priori information that the parameter being estimated is non-negative. A paradox with different…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-12-09 Fyodor V. Tkachov

We provide Buehler-optimal one-sided and some valid two-sided confidence intervals for the average success probability of a possibly inhomogeneous fixed length Bernoulli chain, based on the number of observed successes. Contrary to some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-09 Lutz Mattner , Christoph Tasto

This paper develops new tools to quantify uncertainty in optimal decision making and to gain insight into which variables one should collect information about given the potential cost of measuring a large number of variables. We investigate…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-11 Yunan Wu , Lan Wang , Haoda Fu

We revisit the problem of testing for multivariate reflected symmetry about an unspecified point. Although this testing problem is invariant with respect to full-rank affine transformations, among the hitherto few proposed tests only the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-18 Norbert Henze , Celeste Mayer

The usual parametric models for survival data are of the following form. Some parametrically specified hazard rate $\alpha(s,\theta)$ is assumed for possibly censored random life times $X_1^0,\ldots,X_n^0$; one observes only…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-25 Nils Lid Hjort

The widely claimed replicability crisis in science may lead to revised standards of significance. The customary frequentist confidence intervals, calibrated through hypothetical repetitions of the experiment that is supposed to have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Luigi Pace , Alessandra Salvan

High-dimensional statistical inference with general estimating equations are challenging and remain less explored. In this paper, we study two problems in the area: confidence set estimation for multiple components of the model parameters,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-28 Jinyuan Chang , Song Xi Chen , Cheng Yong Tang , Tong Tong Wu

We consider a class of semiparametric regression models which are one-parameter extensions of the Cox [J. Roy. Statist. Soc. Ser. B 34 (1972) 187-220] model for right-censored univariate failure times. These models assume that the hazard…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Michael R. Kosorok , Bee Leng Lee , Jason P. Fine

A Bayesian belief network models a joint distribution with an directed acyclic graph representing dependencies among variables and network parameters characterizing conditional distributions. The parameters are viewed as random variables to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Peter Hooper , Yasin Abbasi-Yadkori , Russell Greiner , Bret Hoehn

An important disadvantage of the h-index is that typically it cannot take into account the specific field of research of a researcher. Usually sample point estimates of the average and median h-index values for the various fields are…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2017-08-29 C. Malesios , S. Psarakis

Out-of-bag error is commonly used as an estimate of generalisation error in ensemble-based learning models such as random forests. We present confidence intervals for this quantity using the delta-method-after-bootstrap and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-28 Samyak Rajanala , Stephen Bates , Trevor Hastie , Robert Tibshirani

An empirical Bayes confidence interval has high user demand in many applications. In particular, the second-order empirical Bayes confidence interval, the coverage error of which is of the third order for large number of areas, is widely…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-28 Masayo Y. Hirose

We study the problem of estimating finite sample confidence intervals of the mean of a normal population under the constraint of differential privacy. We consider both the known and unknown variance cases and construct differentially…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2017-11-13 Vishesh Karwa , Salil Vadhan

Two requirements for pivoting a cumulative distribution function (CDF) in order to construct exact confidence intervals or bounds for a real-valued parameter $\theta$ are the monotonicity of this CDF with respect to $\theta$ and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-27 Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan , Erhard Cramer , George Iliopoulos

Regulatory authorities guide the use of permutation tests or randomization tests so as not to increase the type-I error rate when applying covariate-adaptive randomization in randomized clinical trials. For non-inferiority and equivalence…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-27 Masahiro Kojima , Hirotaka Mano , Kana Yamada , Keisuke Hanada , Yuji Tanaka , Junji Moriya

An open question in \emph{Imprecise Probabilistic Machine Learning} is how to empirically derive a credal region (i.e., a closed and convex family of probabilities on the output space) from the available data, without any prior knowledge or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-29 Michele Caprio , David Stutz , Shuo Li , Arnaud Doucet

We consider the problem of constructing robust nonparametric confidence intervals and tests of hypothesis for the median when the data distribution is unknown and the data may contain a small fraction of contamination. We propose a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Victor J. Yohai , Ruben H. Zamar