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Inverse problems, i.e., estimating parameters of physical models from experimental data, are ubiquitous in science and engineering. The Bayesian formulation is the gold standard because it alleviates ill-posedness issues and quantifies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-28 Sharmila Karumuri , Ilias Bilionis

The Fisher Information Matrix formalism is extended to cases where the data is divided into two parts (X,Y), where the expectation value of Y depends on X according to some theoretical model, and X and Y both have errors with arbitrary…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-02-20 A. F. Heavens , M. Seikel , B. D. Nord , M. Aich , Y. Bouffanais , B. A. Bassett , M. P. Hobson

Highly accurate numerical or physical experiments are often time-consuming or expensive to obtain. When time or budget restrictions prohibit the generation of additional data, the amount of available samples may be too limited to provide…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-12-22 Mengwu Guo , Andrea Manzoni , Maurice Amendt , Paolo Conti , Jan S. Hesthaven

Causal inference is known to be very challenging when only observational data are available. Randomized experiments are often costly and impractical and in instrumental variable regression the number of instruments has to exceed the number…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-19 Dominik Rothenhäusler , Peter Bühlmann , Nicolai Meinshausen

We consider inference problems for a class of continuous state collective hidden Markov models, where the data is recorded in aggregate (collective) form generated by a large population of individuals following the same dynamics. We propose…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-27 Rahul Singh , Yongxin Chen

Causal inference is a critical research area with multi-disciplinary origins and applications, ranging from statistics, computer science, economics, psychology to public health. In many scientific research, randomized experiments provide a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-26 Jingying Zeng

Many algorithms and applications involve repeatedly solving variations of the same inference problem; for example we may want to introduce new evidence to the model or perform updates to conditional dependencies. The goal of adaptive…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Umut A. Acar , Alexander T. Ihler , Ramgopal Mettu , Ozgur Sumer

Active inference is a state-of-the-art framework in neuroscience that offers a unified theory of brain function. It is also proposed as a framework for planning in AI. Unfortunately, the complex mathematics required to create new models --…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Théophile Champion , Marek Grześ , Howard Bowman

Approximate Bayesian computing is a powerful likelihood-free method that has grown increasingly popular since early applications in population genetics. However, complications arise in the theoretical justification for Bayesian inference…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-03 Suzanne Thornton , Wentao Li , Min-ge Xie

The variational autoencoder (VAE) is a popular model for density estimation and representation learning. Canonically, the variational principle suggests to prefer an expressive inference model so that the variational approximation is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-10 Rui Shu , Hung H. Bui , Shengjia Zhao , Mykel J. Kochenderfer , Stefano Ermon

Bayesian inference requires specification of a single, precise prior distribution, whereas frequentist inference only accommodates a vacuous prior. Since virtually every real-world application falls somewhere in between these two extremes,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-26 Ryan Martin

A framework is presented for fitting inverse problem models via variational Bayes approximations. This methodology guarantees flexibility to statistical model specification for a broad range of applications, good accuracy and reduced model…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-05 Luca Maestrini , Robert G. Aykroyd , Matt P. Wand

Bayesian inference usually requires running potentially costly inference procedures separately for every new observation. In contrast, the idea of amortized Bayesian inference is to initially invest computational cost in training an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-25 Manuel Glöckler , Michael Deistler , Jakob H. Macke

Despite the versatility of generalized linear mixed models in handling complex experimental designs, they often suffer from misspecification and convergence problems. This makes inference on the values of coefficients problematic. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-31 Angela Andreella , Jelle Goeman , Jesse Hemerik , Livio Finos

Deepfake detection models face two critical challenges: generalization to unseen manipulations and demographic fairness among population groups. However, existing approaches often demonstrate that these two objectives are inherently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Harry Cheng , Ming-Hui Liu , Yangyang Guo , Tianyi Wang , Liqiang Nie , Mohan Kankanhalli

Deep learning has become the standard approach for most machine learning tasks. While its impact is undeniable, interpreting the predictions of deep learning models from a human perspective remains a challenge. In contrast to model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-13 Kyriakos Axiotis , Sami Abu-al-haija , Lin Chen , Matthew Fahrbach , Gang Fu

Imputation of data with general structures (e.g., data with continuous, binary, unordered categorical, and ordinal variables) is commonly performed with fully conditional specification (FCS) instead of joint modeling. A key drawback of FCS…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-11 Michael W. Robbins

How can we efficiently gather information to optimize an unknown function, when presented with multiple, mutually dependent information sources with different costs? For example, when optimizing a robotic system, intelligently trading off…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-05 Jialin Song , Yuxin Chen , Yisong Yue

Ensuring trustworthiness in machine learning -- by balancing utility, fairness, and privacy -- remains a critical challenge, particularly in representation learning. In this work, we investigate a family of closely related…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-06 João Machado de Freitas , Bernhard C. Geiger

Amortized variational inference is an often employed framework in simulation-based inference that produces a posterior approximation that can be rapidly computed given any new observation. Unfortunately, there are few guarantees about the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-26 Yash Patel , Declan McNamara , Jackson Loper , Jeffrey Regier , Ambuj Tewari