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We propose a pointwise inference algorithm for high-dimensional linear models with time-varying coefficients. The method is based on a novel combination of the nonparametric kernel smoothing technique and a Lasso bias-corrected ridge…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-17 Xiaohui Chen , Yifeng He

This paper is concerned with high-dimensional panel data models where the number of regressors can be much larger than the sample size. Under the assumption that the true parameter vector is sparse we propose a panel-Lasso estimator and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-14 Anders Bredahl Kock

This paper derives new asymptotic results for the adaptive LASSO estimator in cointegrating regressions, allowing for uncertainty about whether the regressors are exact unit root processes. We study model selection probabilities, estimator…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-13 Karsten Reichold , Ulrike Schneider

The paper establishes the central limit theorems and proposes how to perform valid inference in factor models. We consider a setting where many counties/regions/assets are observed for many time periods, and when estimation of a global…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-22 Stanislav Anatolyev , Anna Mikusheva

We study time-uniform statistical inference for parameters in stochastic approximation (SA), which encompasses a bunch of applications in optimization and machine learning. To that end, we analyze the almost-sure convergence rates of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-22 Chuhan Xie , Kaicheng Jin , Jiadong Liang , Zhihua Zhang

The problem of statistical inference for regression coefficients in a high-dimensional single-index model is considered. Under elliptical symmetry, the single index model can be reformulated as a proxy linear model whose regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-02 Hamid Eftekhari , Moulinath Banerjee , Ya'acov Ritov

This paper presents a selective survey of recent developments in statistical inference and multiple testing for high-dimensional regression models, including linear and logistic regression. We examine the construction of confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-26 T. Tony Cai , Zijian Guo , Yin Xia

Expected shortfall is defined as the average over the tail below (or above) a certain quantile of a probability distribution. Expected shortfall regression provides powerful tools for learning the relationship between a response variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-03 Shushu Zhang , Xuming He , Kean Ming Tan , Wen-Xin Zhou

These lecture notes provide an overview of existing methodologies and recent developments for estimation and inference with high dimensional time series regression models. First, we present main limit theory results for high dimensional…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-01 Christis Katsouris

Statistical inference on the explained variation of an outcome by a set of covariates is of particular interest in practice. When the covariates are of moderate to high-dimension and the effects are not sparse, several approaches have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-24 Hua Yun Chen

Data-driven models are subject to model errors due to limited and noisy training data. Key to the application of such models in safety-critical domains is the quantification of their model error. Gaussian processes provide such a measure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-23 Armin Lederer , Jonas Umlauft , Sandra Hirche

We develop methodology to detect structural breaks in the slope function of a concurrent functional linear regression model for functional time series in $C[0,1]$. Our test is based on a CUSUM process of regressor-weighted OLS residual…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-16 Rupsa Basu , Sven Otto

We consider estimation and inference in panel data models with additive unobserved individual specific heterogeneity in a high dimensional setting. The setting allows the number of time varying regressors to be larger than the sample size.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-05 Alexandre Belloni , Victor Chernozhukov , Christian Hansen , Damian Kozbur

This paper studies simultaneous inference of conditional distributions in nonlinear time series from a sieve M-regression perspective. Existing literature on sieve M-regression has primarily focused on pointwise asymptotics, leaving the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Tianpai Luo , Zhou Zhou

Inference for the parameters indexing generalised linear models is routinely based on the assumption that the model is correct and a priori specified. This is unsatisfactory because the chosen model is usually the result of a data-adaptive…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-16 Stijn Vansteelandt , Oliver Dukes

We propose a methodology for testing linear hypothesis in high-dimensional linear models. The proposed test does not impose any restriction on the size of the model, i.e. model sparsity or the loading vector representing the hypothesis.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-09 Yinchu Zhu , Jelena Bradic

There are many settings where researchers are interested in estimating average treatment effects and are willing to rely on the unconfoundedness assumption, which requires that the treatment assignment be as good as random conditional on…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-02 Susan Athey , Guido W. Imbens , Stefan Wager

This paper looks at effects, due to the boundary, on inference in logistic regression. It shows that first -- and, indeed, higher -- order asymptotic results are not uniform across the model. Near the boundary, effects such as high…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-04-08 Karim Anaya-Izquierdo , Frank Critchley , Paul Marriott

For data segmentation in high-dimensional linear regression settings, the regression parameters are often assumed to be sparse segment-wise, which enables many existing methods to estimate the parameters locally via $\ell_1$-regularised…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Haeran Cho , Tobias Kley , Housen Li

We study confidence intervals based on hard-thresholding, soft-thresholding, and adaptive soft-thresholding in a linear regression model where the number of regressors $k$ may depend on and diverge with sample size $n$. In addition to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-08 Ulrike Schneider