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Almost all neural computations involve making predictions. Whether an organism is trying to catch prey, avoid predators, or simply move through a complex environment, the data it collects through its senses can guide its actions only to the…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-07-02 Jared Salisbury , Stephanie E. Palmer

We discuss Bayesian model uncertainty analysis and forecasting in sequential dynamic modeling of multivariate time series. The perspective is that of a decision-maker with a specific forecasting objective that guides thinking about relevant…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Isaac Lavine , Michael Lindon , Mike West

Active inference is a formal approach to study cognition based on the notion that adaptive agents can be seen as engaging in a process of approximate Bayesian inference, via the minimisation of variational and expected free energies.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Filippo Torresan , Keisuke Suzuki , Ryota Kanai , Manuel Baltieri

The development of the works of the author about adaptive algorithms of teaching the robotic systems with the help of operator is described here. An operator is assumed to be an experience decision-maker and sane carrier of a target which…

Robotics · Computer Science 2015-09-08 Valery Vilisov

The aim of a number of psychophysics tasks is to uncover how mammals make decisions in a world that is in flux. Here we examine the characteristics of ideal and near-ideal observers in a task of this type. We ask when and how performance…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2019-10-10 Adrian E. Radillo , Alan Veliz-Cuba , Krešimir Josić , Zachary P. Kilpatrick

Long-term autonomy requires autonomous systems to adapt as their capabilities no longer perform as expected. To achieve this, a system must first be capable of detecting such changes. In this position paper, we describe a system…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2020-07-24 Peter Stringer , Rafael C. Cardoso , Xiaowei Huang , Louise A. Dennis

Agents acting in the natural world aim at selecting appropriate actions based on noisy and partial sensory observations. Many behaviors leading to decision mak- ing and action selection in a closed loop setting are naturally phrased within…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-06-30 Alex Susemihl , Ron Meir , Manfred Opper

Active sensing is traditionally defined as the expenditure of energy, typically in the form of movement, for obtaining information. Here, we propose that the combination of reliance on adaptive sensors, the linkage between movement and…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-25 Andrew Lamperski , Debojyoti Biswas , Eric S. Fortune , John Guckenheimer , Kathleen Hoffman , Noah J. Cowan

One of the central aims of neuroscience is to reliably predict the behavioral response of an organism using its neural activity. If possible, this implies we can causally manipulate the neural response and design brain-computer-interface…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-01 Jayanth R Taranath

A long-standing challenge in Reinforcement Learning is enabling agents to learn a model of their environment which can be transferred to solve other problems in a world with the same underlying rules. One reason this is difficult is the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-16 Kai Olav Ellefsen , Jim Torresen

Continual learning in robotics seeks systems that can constantly adapt to changing environments and tasks, mirroring human adaptability. A key challenge is refining dynamics models, essential for planning and control, while addressing…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Alejandro Murillo-Gonzalez , Lantao Liu

This paper presents Wanderer, a model of how autonomous adaptive systems coordinate internal biological needs with moment-by-moment assessments of the probabilities of events in the external world. The extent to which Wanderer moves about…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-07-11 Liane Gabora

Building autonomous -- i.e., choosing goals based on one's needs -- and adaptive -- i.e., surviving in ever-changing environments -- agents has been a holy grail of artificial intelligence (AI). A living organism is a prime example of such…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Sungwoo Lee , Younghyun Oh , Hyunhoe An , Hyebhin Yoon , Karl J. Friston , Seok Jun Hong , Choong-Wan Woo

Many biological systems can sense periodical variations in a stimulus input and produce well-timed, anticipatory responses after the input is removed. Such systems show memory effects for retaining timing information in the stimulus and…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-09-09 Ying-Jen Yang , Chun-Chung Chen , Pik-Yin Lai , C. K. Chan

Bio-inspired robotic systems are capable of adaptive learning, scalable control, and efficient information processing. Enabling real-time decision-making for such systems is critical to respond to dynamic changes in the environment. We…

Living systems often function with regulatory interactions, but the question of how activity, stochasticity and regulations work together for achieving different goals still remains puzzling. We propose a stochastic model of an active…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2026-03-02 Tai Han , Fanlong Meng

In any ecosystem, the conditions of the environment and the characteristics of the species that inhabit it are entangled, co-evolving in space and time. We introduce a model that couples active agents with a dynamic environment, interpreted…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-10 G. Briozzo , G. J. Sibona , F. Peruani

This paper presents an innovative optimization framework and algorithm based on the Bayes theorem, featuring adaptive conditioning and jitter. The adaptive conditioning function dynamically modifies the mean objective function in each…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-23 Sarit Maitra

Learning-based model predictive control has been widely applied in autonomous racing to improve the closed-loop behaviour of vehicles in a data-driven manner. When environmental conditions change, e.g., due to rain, often only the…

The energy consumption of private households amounts to approximately 30% of the total global energy consumption, causing a large share of the CO2 emissions through energy production. An intelligent demand response via load shifting…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-12-13 Alona Zharova , Laura Löschmann