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In this paper we introduce a novel model for Gaussian process (GP) regression in the fully Bayesian setting. Motivated by the ideas of sparsification, localization and Bayesian additive modeling, our model is built around a recursive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-06 Hengrui Luo , Giovanni Nattino , Matthew T. Pratola

Gaussian belief propagation (GBP) is a recursive computation method that is widely used in inference for computing marginal distributions efficiently. Depending on how the factorization of the underlying joint Gaussian distribution is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-01-22 Jian Du , Shaodan Ma , Yik-Chung Wu , Soummya Kar , José M. F. Moura

In the usual Bayesian setting, a full probabilistic model is required to link the data and parameters, and the form of this model and the inference and prediction mechanisms are specified via de Finetti's representation. In general, such a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Yu Luo , David A. Stephens , Daniel J. Graham , Emma J. McCoy

Deep Gaussian process models typically employ discrete hierarchies, but recent advancements in differential Gaussian processes (DiffGPs) have extended these models to infinite depths. However, existing DiffGP approaches often overlook the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Jian Xu , Zhiqi Lin , Min Chen , Junmei Yang , Delu Zeng , John Paisley

We examine the dependence of parton distribution functions (PDFs) on the value of the QCD coupling strength $\alpha_{s}(M_{Z})$. We explain a simple method that is rigorously valid in the quadratic approximation normally applied in PDF…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2014-11-20 Hung-Liang Lai , Joey Huston , Zhao Li , Pavel Nadolsky , Jon Pumplin , Daniel Stump , C. -P. Yuan

Out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization has long been a challenging problem that remains largely unsolved. Gaussian processes (GP), as popular probabilistic model classes, especially in the small data regime, presume strong OOD…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Xilong Zhao , Siyuan Bian , Yaoyun Zhang , Yuliang Zhang , Qinying Gu , Xinbing Wang , Chenghu Zhou , Nanyang Ye

We consider a Bayesian nonparametric approach to a family of linear inverse problems in a separable Hilbert space setting with Gaussian noise. We assume Gaussian priors, which are conjugate to the model, and present a method of identifying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-05 Sergios Agapiou , Stig Larsson , Andrew M. Stuart

Global data association is an essential prerequisite for robot operation in environments seen at different times or by different robots. Repetitive or symmetric data creates significant challenges for existing methods, which typically rely…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Yixuan Jia , Mason B. Peterson , Qingyuan Li , Yulun Tian , Jonathan P. How

Bayesian inference and Gaussian processes are widely used in applications ranging from robotics and control to biological systems. Many of these applications are safety-critical and require a characterization of the uncertainty associated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-26 Luca Cardelli , Marta Kwiatkowska , Luca Laurenti , Andrea Patane

We study the correlation between different sets of parton distributions (PDFs). Specifically, viewing different PDF sets as distinct determinations, generally correlated, of the same underlying physical quantity, we examine the extent to…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2021-12-09 Richard D. Ball , Stefano Forte , Roy Stegeman

Parton Distribution Functions (PDFs) model the parton content of the proton. Among the many collaborations which focus on PDF determination, NNPDF pioneered the use of Neural Networks to model the probability of finding partons (quarks and…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-07-21 Juan M Cruz-Martinez , Stefano Carrazza , Roy Stegeman

Bayesian methods estimate a measure of uncertainty by using the posterior distribution. One source of difficulty in these methods is the computation of the normalizing constant. Calculating exact posterior is generally intractable and we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-17 Farzaneh Mahdisoltani

We propose a Bayesian inference framework to estimate uncertainties in inverse scattering problems. Given the observed data, the forward model and their uncertainties, we find the posterior distribution over a finite parameter field…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-17 Ana Carpio , Sergei Iakunin , Georg Stadler

We revise the relation between Parton Distribution Functions (PDFs) and matrix elements computable from lattice QCD, focusing on the quasi-Parton Distribution Functions (qPDFs) approach. We exploit the relation between PDFs and qPDFs in the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2020-01-08 Krzysztof Cichy , Luigi Del Debbio , Tommaso Giani

We consider a prior for nonparametric Bayesian estimation which uses finite random series with a random number of terms. The prior is constructed through distributions on the number of basis functions and the associated coefficients. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-10 Weining Shen , Subhashis Ghosal

This work proposes a Bayesian inference method for the reduced-order modeling of time-dependent systems. Informed by the structure of the governing equations, the task of learning a reduced-order model from data is posed as a Bayesian…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Mengwu Guo , Shane A. McQuarrie , Karen E. Willcox

Many inferential tasks involve fitting models to observed data and predicting outcomes at new covariate values, requiring interpolation or extrapolation. Conventional methods select a single best-fitting model, discarding fits that were…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Soonhong Cho , Doeun Kim , Chad Hazlett

Reasoning about the pose, i.e. position and orientation of objects is one of the cornerstones of robotic manipulation under uncertainty. In a number of joint research projects our group is developing a robotic perception system that…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-07-10 Wendelin Feiten , Muriel Lang

In global PDF analyses, parton distribution functions (PDFs) are parametrised at a fixed input scale $Q_0$ and evolved to higher scales using the DGLAP equations. Since QCD evolution is fully determined within perturbation theory, the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-11-13 Ivan A. Godino , Eva D. Z. Groenendijk , Tanjona R. Rabemananjara

We develop an iterative framework for Bayesian inference problems where the posterior distribution may involve computationally intensive models, intractable gradients, significant posterior concentration, and pronounced non-Gaussianity. Our…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-16 Daniel Sharp , Bart van Bloemen Waanders , Youssef Marzouk