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Trend change prediction in complex systems with a large number of noisy time series is a problem with many applications for real-world phenomena, with stock markets as a notoriously difficult to predict example of such systems. We approach…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-30 Ben Moews , J. Michael Herrmann , Gbenga Ibikunle

Predicting fine-grained interests of users with temporal behavior is important to personalization and information filtering applications. However, existing interest prediction methods are incapable of capturing the subtle degreed user…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-24 Tong Chen , Lin Wu , Yang Wang , Jun Zhang , Hongxu Chen , Xue Li

This paper integrates deep neural networks (DNNs) into structural economic models to increase flexibility and capture rich heterogeneity while preserving interpretability. Economic structure and machine learning are complements in empirical…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-28 Max H. Farrell , Tengyuan Liang , Sanjog Misra

Temporality, a crucial characteristic in the formation of social relationships, was used to quantify the long-term time effects of networks for link prediction models, ignoring the heterogeneity of time effects on different time scales. In…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-06-17 Yueran Duan , Mateusz Nurek , Qing Guan , Radosław Michalski , Petter Holme

Advances in deep neural network (DNN) architectures have enabled new prediction techniques for stock market data. Unlike other multivariate time-series data, stock markets show two unique characteristics: (i) \emph{multi-order dynamics}, as…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-28 Thanh Trung Huynh , Minh Hieu Nguyen , Thanh Tam Nguyen , Phi Le Nguyen , Matthias Weidlich , Quoc Viet Hung Nguyen , Karl Aberer

For a long time, the vision community tries to learn the spatio-temporal representation by combining convolutional neural network together with various temporal models, such as the families of Markov chain, optical flow, RNN and temporal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Hao Shao , Shengju Qian , Yu Liu

Deep Material Networks (DMNs) are structure-preserving, mechanistic machine learning models that embed micromechanical principles into their architectures, enabling strong extrapolation capabilities and significant potential to accelerate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Xiaolong He , Haoyan Wei , Wei Hu , Henan Mao , C. T. Wu

Fault diagnosis in multimode processes plays a critical role in ensuring the safe operation of industrial systems across multiple modes. It faces a great challenge yet to be addressed - that is, the significant distributional differences…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-24 Guangqiang Li , M. Amine Atoui , Xiangshun Li

Transfer learning aims to learn robust classifiers for the target domain by leveraging knowledge from a source domain. Since the source and the target domains are usually from different distributions, existing methods mainly focus on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-19 Jindong Wang , Yiqiang Chen , Wenjie Feng , Han Yu , Meiyu Huang , Qiang Yang

We introduce a simple benchmark model of dynamic matching in networked markets, where agents arrive and depart stochastically and the network of acceptable transactions among agents forms a random graph. We analyze our model from three…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-02-18 Mohammad Akbarpour , Shengwu Li , Shayan Oveis Gharan

An automatic program that generates constant profit from the financial market is lucrative for every market practitioner. Recent advance in deep reinforcement learning provides a framework toward end-to-end training of such trading agent.…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-10 Chien Yi Huang

We propose the Temporal Point Cloud Networks (TPCN), a novel and flexible framework with joint spatial and temporal learning for trajectory prediction. Unlike existing approaches that rasterize agents and map information as 2D images or…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-05 Maosheng Ye , Tongyi Cao , Qifeng Chen

Estimating mutual correlations between random variables or data streams is essential for intelligent behavior and decision-making. As a fundamental quantity for measuring statistical relationships, mutual information has been extensively…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Zhengyang Hu , Song Kang , Qunsong Zeng , Kaibin Huang , Yanchao Yang

Through several studies, it has been highlighted that mobility patterns in mobile networks are driven by human behaviors. This effect has been particularly observed in intermittently connected networks like DTN (Delay Tolerant Networks).…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Mohamed-Haykel Zayani , Vincent Gauthier , Ines Slama , Djamal Zeghlache

In complex processes, various events can happen in different sequences. The prediction of the next event given an a-priori process state is of importance in such processes. Recent methods have proposed deep learning techniques such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-04 Julian Theis , Houshang Darabi

Temporal action recognition always depends on temporal action proposal generation to hypothesize actions and algorithms usually need to process very long video sequences and output the starting and ending times of each potential action in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-21 Tian Wang , Shiye Lei , Youyou Jiang , Choi Chang , Hichem Snoussi , Guangcun Shan

The application of deep learning to non-stationary temporal datasets can lead to overfitted models that underperform under regime changes. In this work, we propose a modular machine learning pipeline for ranking predictions on temporal…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-11 Thomas Wong , Mauricio Barahona

While deep learning is facing an homogenization across modalities led by Transformers, they are still challenged by shallow linear models in the time series forecasting task. Our hypothesis is that models should learn a direct link from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Alexis-Raja Brachet , Pierre-Yves Richard , Céline Hudelot

Asynchronous event sequence clustering aims to group similar event sequences in an unsupervised manner. Mixture models of temporal point processes have been proposed to solve this problem, but they often suffer from overfitting, leading to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Yiwei Dong , Shaoxin Ye , Yuwen Cao , Qiyu Han , Hongteng Xu , Hanfang Yang

As the role played by statistical and computational sciences in climate and environmental modelling and prediction becomes more important, Machine Learning researchers are becoming more aware of the relevance of their work to help tackle…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-23 Federico Amato , Fabian Guignard , Sylvain Robert , Mikhail Kanevski