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Chaotic dynamical systems exhibit strong sensitivity to initial conditions and often contain unresolved multiscale processes, making deterministic forecasting fundamentally limited. Generative models offer an appealing alternative by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Patrick Wyrod , Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Daniele Venturi

Deep learning offers promising capabilities for the statistical downscaling of climate and weather forecasts, with generative approaches showing particular success in capturing fine-scale precipitation patterns. However, most existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Paula Harder , Christian Lessig , Matthew Chantry , Francis Pelletier , David Rolnick

Joint machine learning models that allow synthesizing and classifying data often offer uneven performance between those tasks or are unstable to train. In this work, we depart from a set of empirical observations that indicate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-06 Kamil Deja , Tomasz Trzcinski , Jakub M. Tomczak

We introduce a general framework for solving partial differential equations (PDEs) using generative diffusion models. In particular, we focus on the scenarios where we do not have the full knowledge of the scene necessary to apply classical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-04 Jiahe Huang , Guandao Yang , Zichen Wang , Jeong Joon Park

Accurate prediction of pedestrian trajectories is crucial for improving the safety of autonomous driving. However, this task is generally nontrivial due to the inherent stochasticity of human motion, which naturally requires the predictor…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Ge Sun , Sheng Wang , Lei Zhu , Ming Liu , Jun Ma

This paper introduces a Multi-modal Diffusion model for Motion Prediction (MDMP) that integrates and synchronizes skeletal data and textual descriptions of actions to generate refined long-term motion predictions with quantifiable…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Leo Bringer , Joey Wilson , Kira Barton , Maani Ghaffari

Short-term (0-24 hours) precipitation forecasting is highly valuable to socioeconomic activities and public safety. However, the highly complex evolution patterns of precipitation events, the extreme imbalance between precipitation and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Shuangliang Li , Siwei Li , Li Li , Weijie Zou , Jie Yang , Maolin Zhang

Spatiotemporal data analysis is pivotal across various domains, such as transportation, meteorology, and healthcare. The data collected in real-world scenarios are often incomplete due to device malfunctions and network errors.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Yakun Chen , Kaize Shi , Zhangkai Wu , Juan Chen , Xianzhi Wang , Julian McAuley , Guandong Xu , Shui Yu

Conditional diffusion models have achieved remarkable success in various generative tasks recently, but their training typically relies on large-scale datasets that inevitably contain imprecise information in conditional inputs. Such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Dong-Dong Wu , Jiacheng Cui , Wei Wang , Zhiqiang Shen , Masashi Sugiyama

One of the primary objectives of satellite remote sensing is to capture the complex dynamics of the Earth environment, which encompasses tasks such as reconstructing continuous cloud-free image sequences, detecting land cover changes, and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-09 Yuxiang Zhang , Shunlin Liang , Wenyuan Li , Han Ma , Jianglei Xu , Yichuan Ma , Jiangwei Xie , Wei Li , Mengmeng Zhang , Ran Tao , Xiang-Gen Xia

In recent years, there has been growing interest in using Precipitable Water Vapor (PWV) derived from Global Positioning System (GPS) signal delays to predict rainfall. However, the occurrence of rainfall is dependent on a myriad of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-01-08 Shilpa Manandhar , Soumyabrata Dev , Yee Hui Lee , Yu Song Meng , Stefan Winkler

Forecasting infectious disease incidence can provide important information to guide public health planning, yet is difficult because epidemic dynamics are complex. Current mechanistic and statistical approaches often struggle to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-29 Joseph Lemaitre , Justin Lessler

Autonomous driving requires an understanding of the static environment from sensor data. Learned Bird's-Eye View (BEV) encoders are commonly used to fuse multiple inputs, and a vector decoder predicts a vectorized map representation from…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Thomas Monninger , Zihan Zhang , Zhipeng Mo , Md Zafar Anwar , Steffen Staab , Sihao Ding

Accurate prediction of human or vehicle trajectories with good diversity that captures their stochastic nature is an essential task for many applications. However, many trajectory prediction models produce unreasonable trajectory samples…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Qingze , Liu , Danrui Li , Samuel S. Sohn , Sejong Yoon , Mubbasir Kapadia , Vladimir Pavlovic

Modern generative modeling is dominated by transport from a noise prior to data. We propose an alternative paradigm in which generation is performed by a discrete stochastic dynamics that leaves the data distribution invariant, initialized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Eshed Gal , Md Shahriar Rahim Siddiqui , Moshe Eliasof , Eldad Haber

Modelling of precipitation and its extremes is important for urban and agriculture planning purposes. We present a method for producing spatial predictions and measures of uncertainty for spatio-temporal data that is heavy-tailed and…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-19 Yang Liu , Philip Kokic

Deep generative models are increasingly used to gain insights in the geospatial data domain, e.g., for climate data. However, most existing approaches work with temporal snapshots or assume 1D time-series; few are able to capture…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-04-27 Konstantin Klemmer , Sudipan Saha , Matthias Kahl , Tianlin Xu , Xiao Xiang Zhu

A recent study in turbulent flow simulation demonstrated the potential of generative diffusion models for fast 3D surrogate modeling. This approach eliminates the need for specifying initial states or performing lengthy simulations,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-07-30 Abdullah Saydemir , Marten Lienen , Stephan Günnemann

Climate downscaling is a crucial technique within climate research, serving to project low-resolution (LR) climate data to higher resolutions (HR). Previous research has demonstrated the effectiveness of deep learning for downscaling tasks.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Naufal Shidqi , Chaeyoon Jeong , Sungwon Park , Elke Zeller , Arjun Babu Nellikkattil , Karandeep Singh

Data-driven and controllable human motion synthesis and prediction are active research areas with various applications in interactive media and social robotics. Challenges remain in these fields for generating diverse motions given past…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Wenjie Yin , Ruibo Tu , Hang Yin , Danica Kragic , Hedvig Kjellström , Mårten Björkman
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