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Economic policy and research rely on the correct evaluation of the billions of high-frequency data points that we collect every day. Consistent clustering algorithms, like DBSCAN, allow us to make sense of the data in a useful way. However,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-25 Nicholas Waltz

This paper presents a formal framework and proposes algorithms to extend forecast reconciliation to discrete-valued data to extend forecast reconciliation to discrete-valued data, including low counts. A novel method is introduced based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-16 Bohan Zhang , Anastasios Panagiotelis , Yanfei Kang

Hierarchical Clustering (HC) is a widely studied problem in exploratory data analysis, usually tackled by simple agglomerative procedures like average-linkage, single-linkage or complete-linkage. In this paper we focus on two objectives,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-08-08 Moses Charikar , Vaggos Chatziafratis , Rad Niazadeh

With large quantities of data typically available nowadays, forecasting models that are trained across sets of time series, known as Global Forecasting Models (GFM), are regularly outperforming traditional univariate forecasting models that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-22 Rakshitha Godahewa , Kasun Bandara , Geoffrey I. Webb , Slawek Smyl , Christoph Bergmeir

Hierarchical time series demands exist in many industries and are often associated with the product, time frame, or geographic aggregations. Traditionally, these hierarchies have been forecasted using top-down, bottom-up, or middle-out…

Graph-based clustering methods have demonstrated the effectiveness in various applications. Generally, existing graph-based clustering methods first construct a graph to represent the input data and then partition it to generate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-17 Yuheng Jia , Hui Liu , Junhui Hou , Sam Kwong

Visual grouping is a key mechanism in human scene perception. There, it belongs to the subconscious, early processing and is key prerequisite for other high level tasks such as recognition. In this paper, we introduce an efficient, realtime…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-09-23 Dominik Alexander Klein , Dirk Schulz , Armin Bernd Cremers

Time series is a special type of sequence data, a sequence of real-valued random variables collected at even intervals of time. The real-world multivariate time series comes with noises and contains complicated local and global temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Site Mo , Haoxin Wang , Bixiong Li , Songhai Fan , Yuankai Wu , Xianggen Liu

Hierarchical clustering seeks to uncover nested structures in data by constructing a tree of clusters, where deeper levels reveal finer-grained relationships. Traditional methods, including linkage approaches, face three major limitations:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Maximilien Dreveton , Matthias Grossglauser , Daichi Kuroda , Patrick Thiran

This paper considers networks where relationships between nodes are represented by directed dissimilarities. The goal is to study methods for the determination of hierarchical clusters, i.e., a family of nested partitions indexed by a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-09-03 Gunnar Carlsson , Facundo Mémoli , Alejandro Ribeiro , Santiago Segarra

We quantify the amount of information filtered by different hierarchical clustering methods on correlations between stock returns comparing it with the underlying industrial activity structure. Specifically, we apply, for the first time to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-19 Nicolo Musmeci , Tomaso Aste , Tiziana Di Matteo

Hierarchical clustering studies a recursive partition of a data set into clusters of successively smaller size, and is a fundamental problem in data analysis. In this work we study the cost function for hierarchical clustering introduced by…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-12-17 Bogdan-Adrian Manghiuc , He Sun

Reconciliation enforces coherence between hierarchical forecasts, in order to satisfy a set of linear constraints. While most works focus on the reconciliation of the point forecasts, we consider probabilistic reconciliation and we analyze…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-15 Lorenzo Zambon , Arianna Agosto , Paolo Giudici , Giorgio Corani

The data mining technique of time series clustering is well established in many fields. However, as an unsupervised learning method, it requires making choices that are nontrivially influenced by the nature of the data involved. The aim of…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-07-19 Iwo Augustyński , Paweł Laskoś-Grabowski

The paper describes clustering problems from the combinatorial viewpoint. A brief systemic survey is presented including the following: (i) basic clustering problems (e.g., classification, clustering, sorting, clustering with an order over…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-06-01 Mark Sh. Levin

Hierarchical time series forecasting plays a crucial role in decision-making in various domains while presenting significant challenges for modelling as they involve multiple levels of aggregation, constraints, and availability of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Zhao Yingjie , Mahdi Abolghasemi

New methods are proposed for adjusting probabilistic forecasts to ensure coherence with the aggregation constraints inherent in temporal hierarchies. The different approaches nested within this framework include methods that exploit…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-18 Jooyoung Jeon , Anastasios Panagiotelis , Fotios Petropoulos

Forecasting is critical in areas such as finance, biology, and healthcare. Despite the progress in the field, making accurate forecasts remains challenging because real-world time series contain both global trends, local fine-grained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Zihao Chen , Alexandre Andre , Wenrui Ma , Ian Knight , Sergey Shuvaev , Eva Dyer

Following the work of arXiv:2101.09512, we are interested in clustering a given multi-variate series in an unsupervised manner. We would like to segment and cluster the series such that the resulting blocks present in each cluster are…

We describe many vantage points on the Baire metric and its use in clustering data, or its use in preprocessing and structuring data in order to support search and retrieval operations. In some cases, we proceed directly to clusters and do…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-20 Fionn Murtagh , Pedro Contreras
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