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In this paper, we consider the problem of propagating an uncertain distribution by a possibly non-linear function and quantifying the resulting uncertainty. We measure the uncertainty using the Wasserstein distance, and for a given input…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-13 Eduardo Figueiredo , Steven Adams , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Luca Laurenti

We study a distributionally robust mean square error estimation problem over a nonconvex Wasserstein ambiguity set containing only normal distributions. We show that the optimal estimator and the least favorable distribution form a Nash…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-02 Soroosh Shafieezadeh-Abadeh , Viet Anh Nguyen , Daniel Kuhn , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani

This paper develops a data-driven safe control framework for nonlinear discrete-time systems with parametric uncertainty and additive disturbances. The proposed approach constructs a data-consistent closed-loop representation that enables…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-02 Amir Modares , Bahare Kiumarsi , Hamidreza Modares

While the existing stochastic control theory is well equipped to handle dynamical systems with stochastic uncertainties, a paradigm shift using distance measure based decision making is required for the effective further exploration of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Venkatraman Renganathan , Sei Zhen Khong

We study a discrete-time portfolio selection problem with partial information and maxi\-mum drawdown constraint. Drift uncertainty in the multidimensional framework is modeled by a prior probability distribution. In this Bayesian framework,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-02 Carmine De Franco , Johann Nicolle , Huyên Pham

We propose a novel data-driven stochastic model predictive control framework for uncertain linear systems with noisy output measurements. Our approach leverages multi-step predictors to efficiently propagate uncertainty, ensuring chance…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-18 Haldun Balim , Andrea Carron , Melanie N. Zeilinger , Johannes Köhler

We consider settings in which the distribution of a multivariate random variable is partly ambiguous. We assume the ambiguity lies on the level of the dependence structure, and that the marginal distributions are known. Furthermore, a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-27 Stephan Eckstein , Michael Kupper , Mathias Pohl

Structuring ambiguity sets in Wasserstein-based distributionally robust optimization (DRO) can improve their statistical properties when the uncertainty consists of multiple independent components. The aim of this paper is to solve…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Lotfi M. Chaouach , Tom Oomen , Dimitris Boskos

We study statistical inference and distributionally robust solution methods for stochastic optimization problems, focusing on confidence intervals for optimal values and solutions that achieve exact coverage asymptotically. We develop a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-03 John Duchi , Peter Glynn , Hongseok Namkoong

In this paper, we discuss the ambiguous chance constrained based portfolio optimization problems, in which the perturbations associated with the input parameters are stochastic in nature, but their distributions are not known precisely. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-09 Pulak Swain , Akshay Kumar Ojha

This paper studies robust time-inconsistent (TIC) linear-quadratic stochastic control problems, formulated by stochastic differential games. By a spike variation approach, we derive sufficient conditions for achieving the Nash equilibrium,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Bingyan Han , Chi Seng Pun , Hoi Ying Wong

We revisit Markowitz's mean-variance portfolio selection model by considering a distributionally robust version, where the region of distributional uncertainty is around the empirical measure and the discrepancy between probability measures…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-15 Jose Blanchet , Lin Chen , Xun Yu Zhou

This paper considers a security constrained dispatch problem involving generation and line contingencies in the presence of the renewable generation. The uncertainty due to renewables is modeled using joint chance-constraint and the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Amin Maghami , Evrim Ursavas , Ashish Cherukuri

We consider a class of finite-horizon, linear-quadratic stochastic control problems, where the probability distribution governing the noise process is unknown but assumed to belong to an ambiguity set consisting of all distributions whose…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Feras Al Taha , Eilyan Bitar

Non-convex sampling is a key challenge in machine learning, central to non-convex optimization in deep learning as well as to approximate probabilistic inference. Despite its significance, theoretically there remain many important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-18 Mohammad Reza Karimi , Ya-Ping Hsieh , Andreas Krause

We propose a Stein variational distributionally robust controller for nonlinear dynamical systems with latent parametric uncertainty. The method is an alternative to conservative worst-case ambiguity-set optimization with a deterministic…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Hrishikesh Sathyanarayan , Ian Abraham

The efficacy of robust optimization spans a variety of settings with uncertainties bounded in predetermined sets. In many applications, uncertainties are affected by decisions and cannot be modeled with current frameworks. This paper takes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-03-29 Omid Nohadani , Kartikey Sharma

Recently, literature on dynamic coherent risk measures has broadened the choices for risk-sensitive performance evaluation. A running example includes Cumulative prospect theory and Conditional variance at risk. Most of them can be can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-14 Weixin Wang

This paper investigates the robustness of stochastic optimal control for controlled regime switching diffusions. We consider systems driven by both continuous fluctuations and discrete regime changes, allowing for model misspecification in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Somnath Pradhan , Dinesh Rathia

We explore the infinite-horizon Distributionally Robust (DR) linear-quadratic control. While the probability distribution of disturbances is unknown and potentially correlated over time, it is confined within a Wasserstein-2 ball of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-13 Joudi Hajar , Taylan Kargin , Vikrant Malik , Babak Hassibi