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Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) is a critical task across diverse domains. Despite significant advancements in LTSF research, we identify a performance bottleneck in existing LTSF methods caused by the inadequate modeling of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Qi Xiong , Kai Tang , Minbo Ma , Ji Zhang , Jie Xu , Tianrui Li

Multivariate time series forecasting is an important machine learning problem across many domains, including predictions of solar plant energy output, electricity consumption, and traffic jam situation. Temporal data arise in these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-20 Guokun Lai , Wei-Cheng Chang , Yiming Yang , Hanxiao Liu

Identifying a biomarker or treatment-dose threshold that marks a specified level of risk is an important problem, especially in clinical trials. This risk, viewed as a function of thresholds and possibly adjusted for covariates, we call the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-22 Lars van der Laan , Wenbo Zhang , Peter B. Gilbert

We regularly consider answering counterfactual questions in practice, such as "Would people with diabetes take a turn for the better had they choose another medication?". Observational studies are growing in significance in answering such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-16 Guanglin Zhou , Lina Yao , Xiwei Xu , Chen Wang , Liming Zhu

We introduce a transfer learning framework for regression that leverages heterogeneous source domains to improve predictive performance in a data-scarce target domain. Our approach learns a conditional generative model separately for each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-03 Yikun Zhang , Steven Wilkins-Reeves , Wesley Lee , Aude Hofleitner

State-of-the-art neural language models (LMs) represented by Transformers are highly complex. Their use of fixed, deterministic parameter estimates fail to account for model uncertainty and lead to over-fitting and poor generalization when…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-02-10 Boyang Xue , Jianwei Yu , Junhao Xu , Shansong Liu , Shoukang Hu , Zi Ye , Mengzhe Geng , Xunying Liu , Helen Meng

Lifelong machine learning (LML) is an area of machine learning research concerned with human-like persistent and cumulative nature of learning. LML system's objective is consolidating new information into an existing machine learning model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-01 Sazia Mahfuz

This tutorial discusses methodology for causal inference using longitudinal modified treatment policies. This method facilitates the mathematical formalization, identification, and estimation of many novel parameters, and mathematically…

Latent variable models provide a powerful framework for incorporating and inferring unobserved factors in observational data. In causal inference, they help account for hidden factors influencing treatment or outcome, thereby addressing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-29 Tetsuro Morimura , Tatsushi Oka , Yugo Suzuki , Daisuke Moriwaki

When examining the relationship between an exposure and an outcome, there is often a time lag between exposure and the observed effect on the outcome. A common statistical approach for estimating the relationship between the outcome and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-28 Seongwon Im , Ander Wilson , Daniel Mork

There has been a significant recent surge in deep neural network (DNN) techniques. Most of the existing DNN techniques have restricted model formats/assumptions. To overcome their limitations, we propose the nonparametric transformation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-28 Tong Wang , Shunqin Zhang , Sanguo Zhang , Jian Huang , Shuangge Ma

This paper addresses the problem of data-driven model discrimination for unknown switched systems with unknown linear temporal logic (LTL) specifications, representing tasks, that govern their mode sequences, where only sampled data of the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-19 Zeyuan Jin , Nasim Baharisangari , Zhe Xu , Sze Zheng Yong

We study the use of Temporal-Difference learning for estimating the structural parameters in dynamic discrete choice models. Our algorithms are based on the conditional choice probability approach but use functional approximations to…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-23 Karun Adusumilli , Dita Eckardt

Diagnosis of cardiovascular diseases usually relies on the widely used standard 12-Lead (S12) ECG system. However, such a system could be bulky, too resource-intensive, and too specialized for personalized home-based monitoring. In…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-15 Rahul LR , Albert Shaiju , Soumya Jana

Longitudinal imaging studies are essential to understanding the neural development of neuropsychiatric disorders, substance use disorders, and the normal brain. The main objective of this paper is to develop a two-stage adjusted…

Applications · Statistics 2011-08-12 Xiaoyan Shi , Joseph G. Ibrahim , Jeffrey Lieberman , Martin Styner , Yimei Li , Hongtu Zhu

Augmenting randomized controlled trials (RCTs) with external real-world data (RWD) has the potential to improve the finite sample efficiency of treatment effect estimators. We describe using adaptive targeted maximum likelihood estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-30 Sky Qiu , Jens Tarp , Andrew Mertens , Mark van der Laan

Various studies that address the compressed sensing problem with Multiple Measurement Vectors (MMVs) have been recently carried. These studies assume the vectors of the different channels to be jointly sparse. In this paper, we relax this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-14 Hamid Palangi , Rabab Ward , Li Deng

This study presents a multi-stage approach to mental health classification by leveraging traditional machine learning algorithms, deep learning architectures, and transformer-based models. A novel data set was curated and utilized to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-11 Korhan Sevinç

In existing deep learning methods, almost all loss functions assume that sample data values used to be predicted are the only correct ones. This assumption does not hold for laboratory test data. Test results are often within tolerable or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-09 Mei Wang , Jianwen Su , Zhihua Lin

In this paper, we present a novel hybrid deep learning model, named ConvLSTMTransNet, designed for time series prediction, with a specific application to internet traffic telemetry. This model integrates the strengths of Convolutional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-23 Sajal Saha , Saikat Das , Glaucio H. S. Carvalho